Friday, January 16, 2015

AFC 2015--Round Three


Mwerrang Awelheyel Syndicate Members?

2015Yeah…a little Aboriginal to kick things off. Why Not? It was merely a week ago that your friendly bookie offered proactive apologies for what looked like a dull affair featuring three mediocre nations and a bunch of Gulf States that no one would be able to tell apart. This tourney has thus far exceeded all expectations. Sixteen matches complete and we’ve not witnessed a single draw.

In case you missed it, the Aussies, Emiratis, Saudis, and Japs have put on their own respective good shows. The race for the Golden Boot shapes up to be a nifty one indeed, with Keisuke Honda, Ahmed Khalil and Ali Mabkhout tailing this Jordanian character who came out of nowhere to net FOUR in a single match against the Palestinians.

Plenty of drama on tap as we head into Round Three. Five of the eight Quarterfinal spots have been secured. Of the five countries definitely headed to the Knockout Phase, only China has secured seeding. The remaining seven countries will duke it out to either top their group or snatch one of those three remaining tickets to the next round. Looks to be a great finish. Fun stuff.

Such a pity, but we were never going to be able to devote adequate resources to the Asian Continental Championship. Why? Because the African Cup of Nations is about to kick off!! Juchu! We’re due in Equatorial Guinea before dawn’s early light, gentlemen. It’s going to be some evening for your exhausted friendly bookie. If anyone needs me after it’s all said and done, I’ll be passed out on my keyboard for a few hours. No worries. I’ll eventually come to and accept your wagers. Just give me a power nap before it’s time to go back to work. I’ll be in touch shortly thereafter. ; ) ; )

Accordingly, it’s about time we got a move on.

No time for a mailbag tonight, gentlemen. Rest assured that your high-quality riffs are all stored in a special file. We’ll get to all you inspired smart asses soon ; ) ; ) You will receive recognition….and betting credits ; )

My Updated Stats

Spread: 9-7
Straight Up: 13-2-1

This has been a brilliant comeback for the independent oddsmaker. Feeling like a young man again, even if the guy in the mirror is beginning to look significantly worse naked. Ugh. Sorry for the turn off ladies, but it will happen to your man eventually too.  


A SYNDICATE CLASSIC

Never too tired to pad these posts with a bit of nostalgia. Bet you didn’t know that your Syndicate covered the 2013 World Baseball Classic! It’s okay if you forgot. I actually forgot I wrote it myself. Here’s a collection of classic rants to get everyone fired up for Film Festival Season.

From WBC 2013—Round Three:

WBC 2013Holå Syndicate Members,

Welcome to the lugubrious demise of your friendly bookie’s innocent proclivities. It doesn’t get much worse. The Italians are undefeated. The Dutch find themselves in the pole position. What a nightmare. Were there ever a time for the U.S. squad to emerge as “Heroes of the Game”, it would be this Friday evening. Your friendly bookie keeps an eye on this vital encounter even as he types these very words. He does so whilst simultaneously listening to the rude Trance DJs who insist upon interrupting his "high-energy power music”. Tonight’s doomed attempt at multitasking notwithstanding, tomorrow’s lines must be set so as to accommodate bettors who wish to get wagers in before the wee hours are upon us.

We must proceed…..after the concerted effort to compose a “Rambling Section” has been attempted:

--Anyone interested in the Nuclear Power Debate should definitively check out “Pandora’s Promise”. The ideals of this iconoclastic film ultimately do a fine job of concealing their asymmetrical portrayal….if that makes any sense. In any event, the film should be accorded “must see” status for any of my German friends currently considering whether they should once again lie down on the railroad tracks. Just see it, guys. “Leid und Demütigung wurde von Niemanden verlangt.”

--Is the Lehman Bankruptcy over yet? Evidently not. Someone needs to explain to me how General Motors exits Chapter 11 in a few short months while the bank that triggered a global financial collapse is still in court. Was it U.S. Government Assistance? Impossible. We all know that the government cannot possibly do anything right…even when it actually does.

--Apropos decent movies, Columbia Missouri recently hosted Year Ten of its very own homegrown True/False Film Festival. I won’t bore you with all of the minutiae. A Midwest Documentary Film Fest hardly qualifies as Sundance or Berlinalé I won’t pester you with obscure Docs….save for this one final exception. “After Tiller” qualifies as a “Must See” If you only see one documentary film on third trimester abortions this year, I recommend this one. Until seeing this film, I often wished I were dumped in the “Baby Klappe”. Now I finally understand how painful a “wanted pregnancy” can be.

--No rambling section would be complete without some up-to-the-minute assessments of the latest works of Allain de Botton. The prolific writer is up to no good again. Last year he kept far too many of us enthralled with his latest blockbuster, “Religion for Atheists”. The follow-up, “How to Think more about Sex”, has this commentator convinced that he’s found a Proust for the present age. De Botton’s genius lies in his ability to convey deeply existential concepts in a pleasurably readable narrative. If only us amateurs could hope to attain such a level.

--To the citizens of L.A.:

$5 for the megalith rock. Do we have a deal? I pay you $5 and some 4,000 citizens don’t get tax breaks. Everybody wins.

--Chavez’s death raises some serious questions. Namely, why are we paying attention to a passing (however sensational it my be) instead of trying to replicate Brazil’s Bolsa Familia Program? How truly it sucks when South America’s lessons fail to reach us.

--As I recall, there was something I read about the Danish Parliament that really pissed me off last week…but I can’t for life of me remember what it was. 

--Over  at:


You too can insist that “Iron Sky” be released in the States.

--The Chick-Fil-A President never pissed me off. He might have been a bigot, but the “Eat More Chicken” Advertising Campaign left me craving some foul. If anyone else is ready for the “Eat More Pussy” Advertising Campaign, I’ll get a few T-Shirts printed up. So the guy is against Gay Marriage. So what? I’m pro-gay-sex, pro-gay marriage, AND pro-fried chicken. Is there anything wrong with such a stance?

--Amid all of the talk concerning “America’s Missing Middle Class”, I beseech anyone dumb enough to listen to consider “Africa’s Missing Middle Class”. Seriously, no. We’ve got a problem….and it extends beyond South Africa’s “Pistourius and his Platinum Blonde” problem. In Nigeria, Lesotho, Botswana, Namibia….fuck it….in any sub-Saharan African country, the wealth disparity remains embarrassingly bad. Here in the States, we insist upon adhering to primitive economic theory. Across the Atlantic, primitive economic theory yields primitive results.

--Time to declare India’s “Tata Motors” officially dead. Early enthusiast or no….the sales just didn’t catch fire like we hoped. Some of the cars caught fire, but that doesn’t mean they were sold. Perhaps now might be the time for the world’s largest legitimate democracy to start considering a public transportation plan.

--“’Nudge’ vs. ‘Freakonomics’“. “Nudge” wins…..barely. Only just slightly. Look…both were great books. It was one helluva fight. In the end there can be only one. Sorry to be so blunt, but behavioral economics can be easily reduced to “How to best punch someone else in the Solar Plexus”

--A recent study suggests that Koreans and Germans pick the most secure website passwords. Forgive me for being cynical. Choose whatever password you like. No one cares. Stop pretending as if you matter. Stop now.

Let’s hurry up and  rank these countries.

 1) Australia (Previously #1) 

ADVANCING

Eight goals in two games. Such stats speak for themselves. They even dominated without captain Mile Jedinak. Thirty-two-year old Matt McKay is turning tricks for this team. There’s hot, there’s “on fire”, then there’s a washed up dinosaur playing like a bionic mech. Even Leverkusen’s Robbie Kruse is getting in on the fun. No stopping this 4-3-3 at the moment. They’re having a blast steamrolling anyone who dares challenge them on their home pitch.

 2) U.A.E. (Previously #2) 

ADVANCING

No big changes up top. Ali Mabkhout simply won’t be denied. Twenty seconds in the Bahrain match he had his third tournament goal. The Princes of Persia should be scared indeed.

 3) Iran (Previously #3) 

ADVANCING

The U.A.E. match likely has Queiroz up all night staring at the ceiling. Luckily, he has Sardar Azmoun. Who the hell needs “Gooch” when you’ve got this phenom? Reza can come off the bench!

 4) Saudi Arabia (Previously #13) 

Our first major shift. One has to give Al-Sahlawi credit for the brilliant brace, even if it came against soft competition. The Quarterfinals haven’t officially been secured, but they will be soon enough.

 5) South Korea (Previously #7) 

ADVANCING

Slowly but surely, the Taeguks are getting into gear. Cha Du Ri and Ki-Sung Yeoung are gaining confidence and embarking on more forward runs. They’re getting there. They’ll get there.

 6) China PR (Previously #6) 

ADVANCING

Well done, Team Dragon. Nice comeback victory. Welcome back to the quarters for the first time since 2004!

 7) Japan (Previously #4) 

If the Taeguks are stalking better form, the Blue Samurai are headed in the absolute wrong direction. I tried to warn everyone.

From Round Two:

 4) Japan 

Why aren’t they ranked higher after the 5-0 rout in Newcastle? For starters, the Blue Samurai summarily failed to dominate for the full 90. After that questionable penalty cracked the match wide open, the Japs threw it back into cruise control for the duration. Not remaining in high gear remains forgivable, but other worrying signs manifested themselves in the wee hours of this morning.

Apart from the early goal, Innui and Endo appear lost in what looks to be a slightly modified 4-1-4-1. Hasebe’s distribution isn’t as crisp as one might expect. A more talented squad can be expected to take advantage of his unfamiliarity with his midfielders. They simply didn’t look in sync. Plenty of time to rectify matters. Your friendly bookie will hold off on the Upset Button for now, but don’t expect a lopsided result against the “Lions of Mesopotamia”.

Another god-awful performance in which they met my precise line. This team is in trouble. They won’t repeat.

 8) Jordan (Previously #10) 

Who in the hell is Hamza Al-Dardour? I can’t honestly tell you, gentlemen, other than that he won’t be playing in Saudi Arabia very much longer. After netting FOUR goals in 81 minutes on the pitch in Melbourne, he’ll have a European contract come summer.  Perhaps I won’t be writing this team’s goodbyes section this weekend after all.

 9) Iraq (Previously #5) 

Still in good shape. They could have used (not to mention deserved) a draw against the Japs, but all they have to do is take care of business against the Palestinians and they’re home free. Consider it a lock.

 10) Uzbekistan (Previously #8) 

Off the rails we go. They’re finished. Time to go drink with the Dagestanis. Maybe invite the Cossacks over for a round too.

 11) Kuwait (Previously #15) 

ELIMINATED

Better, but no nearly good enough. They had their 25 minutes of glory. Now they have a meaningless match and one last day at the Breakfast Buffet.

 12) Bahrain (Previously #12) 

ELIMINATED

John Okwunwanne’s goal was a fine header of a ball. Can someone tell me why he isn’t playing for Nigeria?

 13) Qatar (Previously #14) 

ELIMINATED

They managed to hold their own against the Iranians for a hot minute. The other 89 minutes, however, illustrated why it’s time to hit up the Duty Free Shop and board that plane immediately.

 14) Oman (Previously #11) 

ELIMINATED

One just knew they stood zero chance. Kudos on the 4-0 drubbing. Go home and eat some Ruhkal.

 15) Korea DPR (Previously #9) 

ELIMINATED

What the hell was I thinking backing these losers? I can’t even claim to have been high since I don’t smoke. What a terrible lapse of judgment. Never again!

 16) Palestine (Previously #16) 

Sigh.

Is it over yet? This is like watching the “International Kitten Stomping Competition”. ; ( : ( I’d tell the Martyrs to go home to their nice cozy little Nation-State….but that’s rubbing salt in the largest gashing wound of the 20th Century. Oh God, tell me it’s over. I don’t want to watch this country fail anymore. Let it be over.

Let’s rock the lines, boys.

Saturday

Australia vs. South Korea

  vs. 

It will be closer than you might expect. That’s my assessment. Disagree? Put your money where your facial orifice is.

THE LINE: Australia +1 Goal

Oman vs. Kuwait

  vs. 

Who cares!?? Round three always features (nearly) simultaneous kickoffs. Don't bother flipping over to this one. 

THE LINE: Pick em’

Initial Group Projection (1/9/2015)

1) South Korea 
2) Australia 
3) Oman 
4) Kuwait 

Final Group Projection (1/17/2015)

Straight Up For Bookie

1) Australia 
2) South Korea 
3) Kuwait 
4) Oman 

Sunday

Uzbekistan vs. Saudi Arabia

  vs. 

The White Wolves should pose no real threat to the Green Falcons. At least that’s the way the formations look to my tired eyes.

THE LINE: Saudi Arabia +2 Goals

China PR vs. Korea DPR

  vs. 

The filthy Communists are having themselves a Derby! How about the loser of this one has to watch “Rocky IV” on a continuous loop for a solid week?

THE LINE: China PR +2 Goals

Initial Group Projection (1/9/2015)

1) China PR 
2) Korea DPR 
3) Saudi Arabia 
4) Uzbekistan 

Final Group Projection (1/17/2015)

Straight Up For Bookie

1) China PR 
2) Saudi Arabia 
3) Uzbekistan 
4) Korea DPR 

Monday

Iran vs. U.A.E.

  vs. 

Your friendly bookie knows something you don’t know. That’s why he’s backing the Persians here. Though technically not an “Upset Alert”, ambitious bettors are welcome. : )

THE LINE: Iran +1 Goal

Qatar vs. Bahrain

  vs. 

Another meaningless match, with the slight edge going to Reds.

THE LINE: Bahrain +1 Goal

Initial Group Projection (1/9/2015)

1) Iran 
2) U.A.E. 
3) Bahrain 
4) Qatar 

Final Group Projection (1/17/2015)

3 to 1 Odds For Bookie

1) Iran 
2) U.A.E. 
3) Bahrain 
4) Qatar 

Tuesday

Japan vs. Jordan

 vs. 

Still not a genuine “Upset Alert”, but a low-line as your friendly bookie remains unconvinced. Move me, Blue Samurai. Sell me. UPSELL ME!

THE LINE: Japan +1 Goal

Iraq vs. Palestine

  vs. 

It’s almost over.

Watch the Palestinians get creamed one last time and then we get to place our collective guilt on the shelf.

It’s almost over.

THE LINE: Iraq +3 Goals

Initial Group Projection (1/9/2015)

1) Japan 
2) Iraq 
3) Jordan 
4) Palestine 

Final Group Projection (1/17/2015)

Straight Up For Bookie

1) Japan 
2) Iraq 
3) Jordan 
4) Palestine 

GENTLEMEN, ENTER YOUR WAGERS