Thursday, May 29, 2014

WM 2014--Group B Preview



Introduction—“Redemption and the Road to Glory”
WM 2014 
(Spain, the Netherlands, Chile, Australia)

          

Prognosticating doesn’t get much easier than this. La Furia Roja will sail through this group, felling their soft opposition will all the ease of Javier Bardem holding the infamous air-gun. Thunk. We’d like to think that “El Tiki-Taka” has finally been cracked by the likes of Carlos Ancellotti (we’ve been claiming that tacticians have beaten the celebrated short-passing scheme for around six years know). We like to think that Xavi Alonso and Xavi Hernandez just don’t have the legs for tournament football anymore, that Diego Costa isn’t ready, and that Carlos Puyol was the master cylinder that kept the whole operation motoring on.

It’s tempting to declare and end to the era of Spanish International Football dominance, particularly when we find ourselves in a strange sphere where Athletico Madrid can capture La Liga and make it all the way to the Champions League final. Nonsense. The Reds now have Athletico forward David Villa back from injury and his teammate Diego Costa ready to rock the world. Athletico’s surprising surge only makes the national team stronger. The Chileans would make for the perfect Dark Horse candidates were they not in this group. Not only will the Spaniards have their way with the most talented Chilean side ever assembled, the resurgent Dutch will crush them as well.
 
Following the debacle that was Bert van Marwijk’s “2012 Oranje”, distinguished Dutch Meister Louis van Gaal was brought in to right the ship. He’s performed admirably, albeit with a surfeit of talent that makes his job easy. A distraction no one needs at the moment concerns van Gaal’s imminent departure to rescue the sinking ship at Old Trafford. Anyone thinking that van Gaal is somehow checked out and that this will adversely affected the performance of his squad will do well to remember that it was “King Louis” himself who oversaw the failure of “Clockwork Ornaje” to qualify for the 2002 World Cup. The man still has plenty left to prove. 

Down at the bottom of the table this will surely be the last time we see the “Socceroos” for some time to come. They’ve got no one. Timmy Cahill is now 34-years-of-age and playing for the New York Red Bulls. It’s over. Gott sei dank!

Spain—“La Furia Roja”

Shirt badge/Association crestOh they’re back in a big way. Two years ago I noted that the Spanish cadre earned over 800 million Euros collectively. Mind you this was a team that didn’t even feature David Villa (out on injury). They’ve done nothing but improve over the intervening two years. La Furia Roja are now officially the first “Billion Dollar Team” in the history of organized sport.

Virtually all of the familiar faces return. Juanfran Torres and Jordi Alba continue to develop and have integrated themselves into the side well. Azpilicueta and Arbeloa also constitute solid defensive options. All four players appear ever bit as capable of working with Ramos and Pique as Puyol did. Raul Albiol returns as well.

Del Bosque’s midfield continues to brim with depth, even more so than Löw’s Nationalmanschaft. The two Xavis may be getting on in years, but they both turned in solid performances. Cesc Fabregas’s game is down a tick, but that’s meaningless considering how ridiculously elevated the “Catalan Cougar’s” normal game happens to be. Sergio Busquets may not be as obscenely talented as Cesc, but he’s still a monster in midfield. David Silva and Jesus Navas both made brilliant contributions to Man City’s run at the Premiership title. At the other end of town, Juan Mata netted 15 goals to serve as once of the bright spots in ManU’s disastrous season.

We even need an entirely new paragraph to discuss Javi Martinez’s stellar season at the Allianz, Andres Iniesta’s midfield prowess at the Camp NU, and Santi Carzola’s passionate play at the Emirates. Did I mention that Athletico Madrid’s Jorge Merodio and Athletico Bilbao’s Anders Iturrasepe are prominent up-and-comers who could easily step in the unlikely event that half the other ten obscenely talented midfielders succumb to a mass outbreak of food poisoning. Two sizeable paragraphs and I haven't even mentioned the strikers yet.

It should be noted at this point that del Bosque still hasn't cut the requisite seven from his 30-man-provisional squad. Seven talented natural strikers presently accompany the trio of Fabregas, Iniesta, and David Silva (who can also comfortably play as attacking forwards should circumstances dictate.) Torres, Pedro, Llorente, Villa, Negredo all conceivably stand a chance of making the final squad. The two newbies are Athletico Madrid's Diego Costa and Everton’s Gerard Deulofeu. 

Decisions, decisions. We can say with 99.9% certainty that Deulofeu is simply there to mimic Robin van Persie in the Training Camp Exercises. Football enthusiasts (including this bookie) are almost united in our belief that del Bosque will give the emerging star Costa a chance to play center forward. He’s the new face of La Furia, and cannot be denied after his historic 36-goal season for Athletico. Beyond that, some very talented strikers who have served their national squad well throughout the unprecedented reign of Spanish dominance will be headed home. Decisions, decisions.

All that remains is the discussion as to whether it’s truly finetto for “El Tiki-Taka”. Since Pep Guardiola’s Bayern got embarrassingly bounced out of the Champions League, it’s all that the German football media cares to discuss. I suppose it’s worth a brief discussion. Your friendly bookie had the following to say when composing retroactive notes for last Summer’s tournament:

From CC 2013—Syndicate: Judgment Play:
CC 2013 
 Spain (Winning Odds—Straight Up)   

Can “La Furia Roja” capture FOUR straight titles? Why the del-Bosqueing fuck not? “The Walrus” once again has David Villa at his disposal. Carlos Puyol is back too, though del Bosque has wisely opted to let him sit the extra strain associated with this tournament out.  I’ve written so much about this obscenely talented squad over the years that I find myself remiss to think of anything new that might be said about either of the Sergios, either of the Xavis, or either of the Davids, either one of the Torres, or either of the Fernandos!

Editor’s retroactive notes:

La Roja remain the most analyzed team in Syndicate History. Small wonder. They began their run of World Football dominance just as this friendly neighborhood book was taking off. The football press has all but declared the “Era of Tiki-Taka” dead following Pep Guardiola’s Champions League fallout. As myopic as such analysis might be, Carlo Ancelotti (most recently) has showcased to the world a useful tactic for defeating the system.

1) Keep the defense compact and organized. Four tall defensive backs. Two defensive midfielders. Emphasis to the wingers: Stay back and defend. Interrupt all lateral traffic past the halfway mark. Don’t risk remaining on the flanks.

2) Completely forget about winning the possession game. Let your opponents tire themselves out and play for some rare chances on the break. That being said, don’t risk using the width of the pitch in possession. Allow yourself to be dispossessed if no better options are available. “El Tiki Taka” may allow your opponents to elegantly work their way out of a bad position you’ve cornered them in, but it won’t generate goals unless you dumbly deviate from your advantage in numbers.

3) Take advantage of the fact that “El Tiki Taka” doesn’t rely upon a “midfield flight director”. Blanket defend in a zone rather than smothering in possession. Allow forward runs and (once again) focus primarily on intercepting lateral traffic.

4) Maintain discipline in the back four. Consider defending the art of “defending one’s territory”. Don’t rush to challenge the ball. Ignore cycling, triangulation, and the midfield short passing came. Remain in your position and don’t cede a sweeping circle of approximately two meters around. Begins with the notion of an offside trap, but keep your eyes forward.

Who the hell knows if notions like this stand a chance of working against the most talented bunch of football players in the world. Various European trainers have been purporting to have cracked the system for over eight years now. Most any strategy is reduced to conjecture when dealing with the beautifully spontaneous game. All I know is that I’m eager to find out, then bullshit one way or another depending on the result. ; ) 

 Projecting the Spanish Lineup (4-3-3)   

                        Diego Costa
Andres Iniesta                      Pedro
   Sergio Busquets     Xavi Alonso
                             Xavi
Jordi Alba Gerard Pique  S. Ramos A. Arebeloa
                        Iker Casillas

 The Talisman—Andres Iniesta   

The “Maestro from La Mancha” is often categorized as a shy and humble midfielder, but he’s the most valuable player at his position in this entire tournament. Moreover, he’s makes it happen when it counts. It was Iniesta who scored that vital goal against Chelsea in the 2009 Champions League semi-final AND the winning tally in the 2010 World Cup Final against the Dutch. He was also actually the most consistent player of all those competing in Euro 2012. Practically everything hinges on how the Barça mainstay will work the left flank in the coming matches. So much rides on his performance. Hopefully he’ll give us a little bit of this:







 “A Syndicate Classic—Spain”   

From WMQ 2009—“Syndicate with A Vengeance”

Spain   
WMQ 2009 
Viva l’espana!! Viva La Furia Roja El fútbol es el deporte que más emociona a los españolos! Okay, I apologize for my terrible Spanish, but, as you can see, I’m downright sexually excited to have the Spaniards in on this..........and for good reason! Tune into any La Liga game and you will see more scorching senoritas than any other league in Europe (including the Serie A!) This is a blessing for us all. I only hope that Zapatero does not intend to skew the “hotness” ratio in the stands by bringing along his two rotund Goth daughters:


Ahhhhhhhhhh!!!!! I should have forewarned you. Once you see that image, there is simply no way to “unsee” it. It will remain seared in your retina and subconscious. I had several nightmares involving them last night. Presumably, these girls will be standing there waiting for my as I arrive at the smoking gates of my own personal hell. On the topic of me going to hell (my bags are packed, ticket in hand), go ahead and check out my comments on the Spain v. Armenia match if you haven’t been offended yet.

I swear I’m not the Antichrist:

The Netherlands—“The Brilliant Orange”

Shirt badge/Association crestYour friendly bookie memorably spent an entire day on a four-page write up extolling the virtues of the Brilliant Orange during the lead-up to Euro 2012. What happened? Arjen Robben simply couldn’t regain his form after flubbing a crucial penalty kick in the UEFA Champions League Final. As physically adroit as footballers may be, their confidence can be as fragile as a bi-polar girlfriend during Finals Week. Ibrahim Affellay, Nigel de Jong, Mark van Bommel, Jethro Willems, and Wesley Sneijder all had miserable tournaments as the woeful Dutch crashed out of the “Group of Death” without registering a single point.

The draw has been much kinder to them, even if the past two years have not. Liverpool let Dirk Kuyt transfer to the Turkish League for pennies on the dollar. Inter similarly had enough of Wesley Sneijder. Only Galatasaray was willing to offer him a relatively meek contract. Joris Mathijsen is back playing in the domestic league. Stuttgart parted ways with Khalid Bhoularouz, who now can’t even earn a starting spot in the Swedish league. Gregory van der Wiel has been a complete flop at PSG.  Ibrahim Affellay and Stijn Schaars both went kersplat in terms of their club form After falling out of favor with David Moises, Johnny Heitinga had had a catastrophic two years that included a botched transfer to West Ham and a dreadful run of play at Fulham. 

Klaas Jan Huntelaar, when not struggling with injury, has seen his production level off significantly. Reliable regulars Mark van Bommel and Wilfred Bouma retired. Keeper Martin Stekelenburg just had a nightmarish season for the demoted FC Fulham, leaving the team without a clear #1 net minder. Youngsters Jetro Willens, Luuk de Jong, and Kevin Strootman ALL failed to live up to their potential. As if all of this wasn’t enough, we’ve just learned that Rafael van der Vaart just tore his calf. He’ll have to sit 2014 out.

Wow. It’s really raining shit isn’t it? Not necessarily. The Dutch still have enough raw talent to get out of the group. They should be able to secure a victory against Australia and at least a draw against Chile. At the back van Gaal rolls out an entirely new back four and a new keeper. Swansea City’s Michael Vorm has done a great job between the pipes for the Welsh club, and his consistency is a large reason why they remain in the Premiership. Of the four new projected starting defensive backs Aston Villa’s Ron Vlaar has the most experience. Er…he’s actually the only one with experience. The remaining six have less than 40 International Caps among them, all of them coming in either qualification matches or friendlies. Van Gaal thus rolls the dice with four Feyernoord players you’ve never heard of. 30-year-old FC Augsburg right back Paul Verhaegh earns a late career call up to imbue this very green defensive corps with some veteran stability.

The uncertainties at the back remain overblown. Bruno Martins, Daley Blind, and Daryl Janmaat are actually competent players, even if you’ve never heard of them. Moreover, the Orange possesses enough midfield talent to avoid placing too much pressure on the tyros. Nigel de Jong continues to do good work for A.C. Milan. He’s one of the better defensive midfielders of his generation. On the opposite flank, Jonathan de Guzman makes for a fine complement. He also defends well and demonstrates decent occasional attacking flair for Swansea City.  

With respect to the attack, Arjen Robben looks to have fully recovered from whatever crisis of confidence he previously traversed. Simply stated, he’s been phenomenal for Bayern München over the past two years. This year he scored 21 goals and roamed all over the pitch with all the slick tricks of a bonafide superstar. This Jermain Lens character is highly intriguing. He appears to be a bit of a late-bloomer finally finding his peak form at the age of 26. Playing alongside Robben and van Persie will only accentuate his gift for precise long crosses and sharp give-and-gos.

Did I neglect to discuss Van Persie? I don’t need to discuss van Persie. He remains one of the greatest footballers there ever has been or ever will be. An injury-riddled season won’t slow him down one bit. It’s actually to his advantage that he got a bit of extra rest. He’ll kick some serious ass in this tournament. Expect him to contend for the Golden Boot.

Quite a bit to say about Holland, the national side that has undergone more changes since their last competitive tournament than any other. Don’t despair, Dutch fans. You mostly just lost dead weight. This experience will prove much brighter for you. 

 Projecting the Dutch Lineup (4-3-3)   

                  Robin van Persie
Jermain Lens                 Arjen Robben
                  Wesley Sneijder
   Nigel de Jong             Jonathan de Guzman
Daley Blind   Ron Vlaar Bruno M. Indi D. Janmaat
                      Michel Vorm

 The Talisman---Robin van Persie   

Not much more to write here concerning one of the greatest ever. We’ll let these highlight reels do the talking:







 “A Syndicate Classic—Holland”   

From WM 2006—“The Curse of the Syndicate”:
WM 2006 
Netherlands   

Here’s the team that will be decked out in all orange attire. New head coach Marco van Basten has selected some tantalizing strikers to keep Rambling Rud company. Roy Makaay and Patrick Kluivert have been dropped. They’ve abdicated in favor of the surging Feyenoord whippersnapper Dirk Kuyt and Arsene Wegener’s shiny new toy Robbin van Persie. The new look Orange will rely heavily on players that have received tutelage under van Basten’s aegis. Kew Jaliens, Tim de Cler, and Hedwiges Maduro are other faces.

The Dutch share much in common with the Germans, besides their farcical interpretation of the beautiful language of thinkers and poets. Their paramount players are coming off lackluster seasons with their respective clubs and it falls to a young coach with eccentric proclivities to weave together an atypical stitching of potential and performance into some sort of coherent entity. Arjen Robben has contributed suitably for Premiership Champions Chelsea, but courted far too much controversy for his on-field antics. Rafael van der Vaart had atrocious season for Hamburger SV, quite possibly solidifying his place as the biggest Bundesliga flop of all time. Mark van Bommel, Giovanni van Bronckhorst, and Phillip all Cocu all exhibited the pronounced dip in form that their advancing years dictate.

Much the same manner Fatherland hopes rest squarely on the shoulders of tenderfoots Podolski and Schweinsteiger, Clockwork Orange must hope that Van Persie and Kuyt find a way to make the issue of their age academic. I’m quite to eager to stop looking up absurd synonyms for youngsters such as “tyro”, “tenderfoot”, and “whippersnapper” and see what the boys have in store. Seriously, “whippersnapper”? Who the fuck am I all the sudden, Tennessee Williams?

Chile—“La Roja America”

Shirt badge/Association crest
The “L.A. Red Ones” return for their second World Cup in as many cycles. In South Africa they stunned everyone by upsetting the favored Swiss and advancing out of a group where few gave them a fighting chance. This year they tore through COMNEBOL Qualifying, finishing ahead of traditional regional powerhouses Ecuador and Uruguay.

Argentine manager Jorge Sampoli has undeniably assembled the most talented Chilean squad in over fifty years. He picked up right where his mentor (fellow Argentine Marcelo Bielsa) left off. The whole staff scouted and recruited with remarkable success. The result is a squad comprised of a record 13 players playing in Europe’s top leagues. With so much ability and momentum working for them, the Chileans have become the fashionable pick among amateur bookies to serve as this tournament’s Cinderella. In nearly every match they turn out to be comeback kids! Surely the Glass Slipper fits a country now run once again by Michele Bachelet!!

Oh how alluring it is. I want to don my Romantic Robes and tell you that this team can improbably punch through to the knockout stages, just as they did in 1998 and 2010. I just don’t see it happening. Might as well tell you why.

Alexis Sanchez and Eduardo Vargas are certainly upgraded over Humberto Suarez and Mark Gonzalez, but Vargas still strikes me as a “work in progress”. He needs to find a steady team and display more consistency. Nothing too critical to say about Sanchez, especially not after his marvelous season for Barça, but he benefited greatly from some of the set ups he got from veteran leaders like Suazo, M. Gonzalez, and Pizzaro. Sampoli can’t be accused of opting for youth in his selection, but questions regarding chemistry abound.

Why isn’t Beausejour hitting his teammates anymore? Did it have something to do with his saga with Borghi? Why doesn’t Vidal seem at home on the national side anymore? He’s been doing great for Juventus Turin. What’s wrong? Why is it taking so long for Marcelo Diaz to blossom on the grand stage? Why don’t Gonzalo Jara and Marcos Gonzales pour forward more often? They’ve got the aerial skills!

Okay enough. I could waste an entire evening downplaying the potential of what happens to be a potentially explosive team. Just know that your friendly bookie isn’t on the bandwagon just yet. No disrespect. It’s a tough group to see them getting out of.

 Projecting the Chilean Lineup (4-1-3-2)   

  Eduardo Vargas             Alexis Sanchez
                      Arturo Vidal
 Jean Beausejor                  Mauricio Isla
                      Marcelo Diaz
Gonzalo Jara M. Gonzalez G. Medel Eugenio Mena
                      Claudio Bravo

 The Talisman—Alexis Sanchez   

The above cynicism should in no way serve to diminish what this young man has accomplished since arriving at the Camp Nou. He’s just concluded a spectacular 21-goal campaign. At the age of 25, he’s likely to improve still more. We haven’t heard the last of him.





 “A Syndicate Classic”--Chile   

WM 2010From WM 2010—Round of Sixteen (Part IV)

“The Team for everyman” from Chile (4 games played, 24 Hot Girls)

“La Roja” is taken. As evidenced by my frantic attempt to come up with something clever from yesterday:

“Red Hot Chile Peppers”?—already used
“Chile con Carne”? ---taken
“Chile outside”?—already used
“Chile Forecast”?---already used
“Chile’s neighborhood bar and grill”? ---far too stupid
“Chile and beans”?—not playing Mexico
“Chillin with Chile”? ---Are you fucking kidding me?
“Chile Beer”?---Mmmmmm,…that sounds good right about now. Nothin like a little Bud Light and Tabasco!!  glug, glug. glug
Chile! The country that is 3,000 miles long and three feet wide!”---C’mon, Peter. Everybody knows you stole that from “The Onion!”

“Peneira likes to have sex with young boys.”---oh for heaven’s sake, Vivey, that’s just mean and disrespectful!!!!!!

I’m fresh out of Chile gags. “El Equippo de Todos” translates to “The team of the everyman”. Thus, it will be the sobriquet by which we send off some very formidable foes and deserving Latin Americans. I was ecstatic to see you hombres back in the WM!! You deserve to be here every four years and don’t you forget it!! Both the U.S. and Germany have had a somewhat tumultuous relationship with Chile over the past 40 years. I day it’s about time we bury the Milton Friedman and welcome you to the club of “Too Cool for School” Nation-States. Sorry about all the Sebastian Peneira jokes. Hope to see you and your senioritas in four years!!

Australia—“The Socceroos”

Shirt badge/Association crestThis surely is the end. This absolutely must be the end. Sorry, Aussies. You’ll always have your women’s team (lovingly known to Syndicate Members as “The Outback Ovaries”). You’re done. Tim Cahill is 34-years old and playing in the States. Mark Bresciano is 34-years old and playing in Qatar. Luke Wilshire is 32-years old and just had the season from hell over a Dynamo Moscow. Joshua Kennedy is nowhere near the player he used to be. Mike Jedinak had a classy, if not completely disappointing season at Crystal Palace.

Who the hell are Ivan Franjic, Jason Davidson, Matthew Spiranovic, Bailey Wright, and Adam Taggart? I don’t know either. Wouldn’t mind getting to know them, but witnessing the Swan Song of Australia’s “Greatest Generation” takes precedence for now. It will be glorious farewell. Best for us to focus on that.

Without in any way diminishing the final major international tournament contested by the players mentioned above, it will also be interesting to behold a few glimpses at the Socceroo Future. After the retirement of goalkeeper Mark Schwarzer, head coach Ange Postecoglou (believe it not, a native Australian) looks to trot out Borussia Dortmund third-stringer Mitchell Langerak. This could be his big break. Celtic signing Tom Rogic usually prefers to play as an attacking midfielder, but now gets the chance to anchor behind Cahill. Winger Tommy Oar has delivered in fits and starts for FC Utrecht. He’ll look to get his name in lights. FSV Frankfurt forward Mathew Leckie desperately needs to play for a better team. For the time being he’s signed with FC Ingolstadt 04. He still needs a better team. It’s a great chance for him to showcase his skills.

 Projecting the Australian Lineup (4-2-3-1)   

                            Tim Cahill
                            Tom Rogic
Tommy Oar                                Matthew Leckie
          Mile Jedinak          Mark Bresciano
Jason Davidson R. McGowan I. Franjic Luke Wilshire
                           Mitchell Langerak


 The Talisman—Timmy Cahill   

With all due respect to Langerak, Rogic, Oar, and Leckie, Timmy Cahill wrote the history of Australian football. He’s the primary reason this nation has qualified for three consecutive World Cups. He invented the “Kaiserslautern K.O. back in 2006, forever enshrining him in the annals of Syndicate Lore.

He’s no longer the player he once was, but we haven’t a choice but to bid adieu to Timmy Cahill with all due diligence:






 “A Syndicate Classic”—Australia   

From FWM 2011—“Semifinals”

FWM 2011Australia  

What did I say about the Australian back line?? Elyse Perry is a pretty girl with a pretty goal to her credit, but she had a nightmare day at the back. Unzunlar upgraded her performance from “catastrophe” to “miserable” and Tameka Butt was subbed in far too late to make difference. (No, people. I refuse to make a joke about either Tameka “what..what” or Bayern keeper Hans Jorg “in the” Butt).

So the dream dies for our “lady-roos”, “waltzing matildas”, “outback ovaries”, blah blah blah blah. Rest assured we’ll be back with this perennial oceanic qualifier next time around, talking about their fierce “Never say die” attitude, trying (and failing) to find something funny to say about the Prime Minister, and pretending as if Yahoo Serious is a legitimate pop culture reference. Yawn. Don’t you understand? They won’t go away! They’re always coming back! LEAVE ME ALONE!  

WE”LL GO WALTZING:

Elyse Perry would be the obvious choice. Kyah Simon is certainly cute. She purportedly has some aborigine in her, but I fail to see it. Guess she must be like those white guys I know that are proud to be 1/64th Cherokee. Laura Alleway, Caitlin Foord, and Samantha Kerr all deserve honorable mentions. In the end we have to spice things up with a red head. Our calendar has it all. Gentlemen, I give you Collette McCallum:


THE MOMENT:

Having been edged out for our Calendar, we’ll give Elyse Perry chops for her laser of a strike in the losing effort against Sweden (at 0:50)


Vicey’s Fearless Group Prediction (2 to 1 Odds for bookie)

1) Spain  
2) Netherlands  
3) Chile  
4) Australia  

Overall Championship Odds

 Spain (Straight up)
 Netherlands (3 to 1)
 Chile (10 to 1)
 Australia (22 to 1)

Round of 16 Odds

 Spain (NO BETS)
 Netherlands (Straight up)
 Chile (2 to 1)
 Australia (4 to 1)

Quarterfinal Odds

 Spain (NO BETS)
 Netherlands (2 to 1)
 Chile (5 to 1)
 Australia (8 to 1)

Semifinal Odds

 Spain (Straight Up)
 Netherlands (2 to 1)
 Chile (4 to 1)
 Australia (10 to 1)