Tuesday, July 5, 2016

EM 2016--Semi-Finals

Hallo Syndicate Members,

EM 2016Greetings from a “Completely-Satisfied-Kraut” ; ) ; ) Indeed. ; ) My beloved Nationalmannschaft made the Semi-Finals! That’s all that we Krauts truly care about. I’ve beaten this point to death. I’ve routinely smacked the shit out of this point with a dirty phallic object. I’ve regularly reminded all of you that the German Populace is entitled to a minimum of six summer football matches. We need to wave our flags a bit come Summertime. We need to show support for our football team. We need to take pride in our nation.


The German Press prematurely heralds the advent of a “New Golden Era”. “Kicker Magazin” and “Die Bild-Zeitung” hype up the possibility of the current World Champions taking the European Crown, signaling a new era of German Dominance. Such analysis misses the point. The “Golden Era” has already arrived. Jögi Löw’s Germans have attained the semi-finals for SIX consecutive tournaments. We’ve been blessed with a whole myriad of chances to cheer on our team and wave our flags. The German Women have been very helpful in this regard too. They’ve captured two World Championships and two European Championships over the past fourteen years.


 Germany’s “Golden Era” has arrived.

Whether or not they actually get to the finals is almost irrelevant….ALMOST. Of course we’d love to watch the European Championship Final on a “Fußgänger Fan-Mile”. German “Public Viewing” is second to none. We’ll still remain satisfied with our placement in this tournament irrespective of the result against France on Thursday.

The French own this chapter of the Syndicate. It was this bookie’s great pleasure to dedicate it to them via pictorial references to the Charlie Hebdo Protests.

We’ll still do everything we can to beat you. Tooth and Nail. I just won’t be disappointed if we lose. My Fatherland fields “The Best Football Team in the World”. No discussion. Should we lose, we’ve still got “The Best Football Team in the World”. ; )   

With a memorable “Win, Place or Show+” assured for the remaining four teams, let’s take a moment to eulogize those came oh so close.

 8th Place-Iceland 

Congratulations to the “Ancient Norwegians” on their improbable run, but your friendly bookie must allow himself a backhanded gripe: The Ice-ssons had no business being in the Quarterfinals. Sure we all enjoyed the stunning visual support furnished by the Icelandic fans in support of their “Strakanir”, but Sunday’s fixture didn’t come close to impersonating a football match. Germany vs. Italy was a full-fledged Heavyweight Boxing Title Bout. Iceland vs. France was more akin to a Fly-Weight End-of-Day sparring session.

Seeding Issues need to be sorted out. Similar problems arose last Summer in the Women’s World Cup—another tournament that expanded from 16 to 24 teams. I’m doubly aware that there’s no way to construct a perfect algorithm and that the seeding pots are meticulously calculated. Moreover, I accept the fact that every tournament’s “luck of the draw” will produce Enjoyable Cinderella Stories. Nothing seriously wrong with that in the final analysis.

It’s just that Lars Lagerbäck’s Rustic Eleven never really stood a chance against a European Juggernaut like the French. There was literally zero chance that they could hope to prevail against such polished and professional players. It may make for a great story—and your friendly bookie may have pocketed some solid money from the “Bandwagon Jumpers”—but it was pure fantasy against undeniable reality. As a person who genuinely wants to see the appeal of the sport grow in the States, I remain concerned that Americans will dismiss football once they realize that Europe’s “Elf-Fairy Micro States” aren’t carrying rucksacks full of magical pixie dust.

I honestly fear something similar might happen to Wales tomorrow. Everyone loves the story, but the final result might turn out extremely lopsided. For football’s sake, let’s hope not. I’ve personally been re-reading the Syndicate’s 2004 Euro Chapter. Doing my best to remember the fascinating and enchanting manner in which the Greeks topped Europe in that year. Er…I’ve also been watching more than my fair share of Leicester City re-runs.

I WANT TO BELIEVE!

We might actually see these guys in Russia. They’ve been drawn into a very soft qualifying group. It’s possible.  

 7th Place-Belgium 

Let’s assess the fate of the so-called “Golden Generation”. Eden Hazard and Romelu Lukaku are only 25 and 23-years old respectively. Kevin De Bruyne, Divock Origi, and Christian Benteke are also young, though the demands of the Premiership’s schedule may age them prematurely. Vertongen and Vermaelen are likely finished, but Alderweireld, Denayer, Meunier, and Jordan Lukaku are just getting started. I’d be very surprised to see the Red Devils fail to qualify for Russia. I’d also be shocked if they didn’t return with an even better team, given the great status of their Youth Program.

Getting guys like Marouane Fellaini, Dries Mertens, and Moussa Dembele out of the way may be just what this team needs to finally catch fire. Getting Radja Nainggolan out of Serie A wouldn’t be a bad idea either.

They’ll return. The “Golden Generation” lives on for at least another two years.

 6th Place-Poland 

Tough luck, Polska. It really looked as if they had finally turned that corner. Lewandowski’s brilliance made one think—if only for a fleeting moment—that a return to the Glory Days of the Late Seventies and Early Eighties might be possible. One always feels deeply for nations who didn’t relent over the course of a grueling 120-minute match. Penalties remain 25% skill and 75% luck. Your friendly bookie feels that way about every shootout, including the one his Fatherland just narrowly escaped.

Blaszczykowski, Piszczek, Jedrzejczyk and Grosicki are in line for retirement. Time to rebuild around Milik, Kapustka, and Szczesny. Lewandowski isn’t in any danger of slowing down soon. He’s just one of those players who will boost his own standards well into his mid-thirties.

The “Red-White Eagles” will have to fend off the Romanians and Danes if they wish to make it to Russia. Not exactly an easy path. Nevertheless, they should be able to do so easily enough, provided they rebuild their defensive back line and cultivate the potential of the above-mentioned youngsters.

We shall see. This Kraut is rooting for you!

 5th Place-Italy 

Deep respect for what Conte put together. Can’t wait to see how he fares at Stamford Bridge this season. In some respects, it’s sad to see a talented tactician like Conte relinquish his international duties. The Giampiero-Ventura-Era now officially begins. He has to rebuild his striking corps, find a new goalkeeper, and figure out a way of re-recruiting/re-incorporating Italy’s most talented foreigners back into his side.

He truly has his work cut out for him, especially in a qualifying group that also features Spain.

Let the “rebuilding project” begin! Bring Balotelli back into the fold as soon as possible. ; ) 

WEDNESDAY, JULY 6th

Wales vs. Portugal

 vs. 

This one can’t get here soon enough. We need to know. We MUST know! Can Bale and his crew of “Championship Also-Rans” pull off the massive upset? Will one of Real Madrid’s Super-Strikers outclass his club counterpart? Will we behold a piece of “true history”?

WE MUST KNOW!! 

It all comes down to the lineups. Your friendly bookie invested some time in figuring out how the space will be used. His verdict follows.

We’ll begin with the Navigators. Santos has little choice but to maintain his 4-3-1-2. Ronaldo plays on the left. Nani technically finds himself deployed alongside him, but fulfills more of a “short-striker” role in practice. The Suspension of William Carvalho affords Santos the chance to place Renato Sanchez directly behind the big boys. The new Bayern-Signee earned this honor after his last performance.

Adrien and Joao Mario may be guilty of some slow-footed work over the course of the tournament, but there’s only a solution to one half of the equation. Joao Moutinho can fill in on the left, but Mario must keep his place on the right. Danielo get’s deputized as an anchoring defensive midfielder. The back four stands unchanged.

The Welsh response?  Clog up the midfield with a conservative 5-4-1. The suspensions of Aaron Ramsey and Ben Davies will hurt, but placing Jonathan Williams, Joe Ledley, and Joe Allen should ameliorate the pain. Chris Gunther and Neil Taylor should have license to move forward, but only if Ashley Williams stays put directly in front of Wayne Hennessey.

The Welsh Dragons can only carry the day if they close ranks quickly and consistently.

Slowly but surely tiring out the Navigator Attack is their only chance.

Let’s hope it works.

Projected Lineups:

 “The Navigators”—(4-3-1-2) 

     C.  Ronaldo             Nani
              Renato Sanchez
  Joao Moutinho      Joao Mario       
                     Danielo
 Cedric   Jose Fonte   Pepe    Eliseu              
                 Rui Patricio

 “The Cyd Dragons” (5-4-1) 

                  Gareth Bale     
                Hal Robson Kanu
J. Williams    J. Ledley    J. Allen
C. Gunther  J. Chester J. Collins N. Talyor
                 Ashley Williams
               Wayne Hennessey      

Prop Bets (as always, feel free to offer your own)

Over/Under— 2 Goals
120 Minutes—Straight Up
Penalty Shootout—2 to 1

THE LINE: Portugal +1 Goal

THURSDAY, JULY 7th

Deutschland vs. France

Germany vs. France

I’ll reiterate my firm belief that Germany has the “Best Football Team in the World”. Were fixtures decided on the basis of statistics printed on paper, my Krauts would roll over the hosts easily. Matches aren’t decided on paper, brothers. Ze French will be buttressed by the dynamic support of their awesome crowd. The audience absolutely has the potential to carry them. Never doubt the power of the “hometown fans”.

Having done my level best to figure out where Didier Deschamps is going with his lineup selections, I’ll project a highly-pragmatic 4-2-3-1 with Giroud deployed alone up front, supported by Payet and Pogba. Griezmann slips back and Coman takes Pogba’s role.

Matching Löw’s careful planning isn’t easy, but your friendly bookie put on his French “Chapeau” and gave it a shot.

Kickoff. Bring it on. Let’s go.   

Projected Lineups:

 “Les Bleaus”—(4-2-3-1) 

              Oliver Giroud
   Dimitri Payet      Paul Pogba 
           Antoine Griezmann
   Blaise Mathuidi  Kingsley Coman
P. Evra L. Koscielny A. Rami B. Sagna              
                 Hugo Lloris

 “Die Nationalmannschaft” (4-1-2-3) 

 J. Draxler M. Götze T. Müller
     Meshut Özil   Toni Kroos                             
            Andre Schürrle
Jonas Hector     Joshua Kimmich   
       Emre Can    Jerome Boateng
             Manuel Neuer

Prop Bets (as always, feel free to offer your own)

Over/Under— 2 Goals
120 Minutes—Straight Up
Penalty Shootout—2 to 1

THE LINE: Die Nationalmannschaft +1 Goal

GENTLEMEN, ENTER YOUR WAGERS