Wednesday, July 4, 2018

WM 2018--Day Nineteen Recap

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All of the calories and none of the intoxication!

This dog don’t bite ; )


Day 19: Recap


Record—
Spread: 21-35
Straight up: 31-19-6

Hot Girl Standings

Country
Tally
Games Played
Brazil
44
4
Sweden
43
4
Colombia
41
4 (finished)
Mexico
40
4 (finished)
Russia
38
4
Spain
34
4 (finished)
Argentina
34
4 (finished)
Poland
32
3 (finished)
Iceland
31
3 (finished)
Germany
31
3 (finished)
Switzerland
30
4 (finished)
Croatia
30
4
Japan
30
4 (finished)
Portugal
29
4 (finished)
Denmark
29
4 (finished)
South Korea
28
3 (finished)
France
26
4
Belgium
26
4
Nigeria
24
3 (finished)
England
24
4
Senegal
23
3 (finished)
Iran
22
3 (finished)
Egypt
21
3 (finished)
Uruguay
20
4
Tunisia
20
3 (finished)
Australia
20
3 (finished)
Costa Rica
20
3 (finished)
Serbia
19
3 (finished)
Morocco
18
3 (finished)
Peru
18
3 (finished)
Panama
13
3 (finished)
Saudi Arabia
11
3 (finished)

Genuinely mad about having a shitty team get through, gentlemen. These pesky Swedes grate me. I don’t care what FIFA says, Forsberg shouldn’t have gotten credit for that goal. Also didn’t like the flop from Olssson’s flop deep into injury time. An exaggerated fall and a lengthy delay killed off Swiss chances.

Oh well. Credit to Team Blaugult for their fine defensive work. The Nati didn’t play like a top-tier team today.

Of course the big news is that Mother England has FINALLY prevailed in a shoot-out! With all the stoicism of chivalrous Knights, they withstood the sleazy cheating tactics of the Columbians and got the job done. Yes Sir!


These guys say it all. Onwards brave Crusaders! Strive for the divine en-route to the grail

Grown men in Moscow’s Red Square.

 S.S.S. Tactical Breakdown 

The Blaugult Band of Brothers coalesced without their captain. While they didn’t play anything resembling exciting football, they did incredibly well collapsing Swiss passing tunnels. Simply no way through for their opponents. Ekdal, Augustinsson, and the much-maligned Gustav Svensson deserve major plaudits. We’ll analyze their unanticipated accomplishment.

Far less tactical scrutiny on the English side. They advance thanks largely due to cogent preparation. Southgate taught them to remain calmly professional under the duress of both dirty play and the crushing tension of a shoot-out. For once the English power through the pressure. Now they have to avoid dropping the ball against a clearly inferior opponent. Easier said than done in any tournament, let alone this one.

 Lineup—Sweden—Match Two (4-4-2) (6/23/2018  

          Ola Toivonoen   Marcus Berg
 Emil Forsberg                Viktor Claesson         
      Sebastian Larsson Albin Ekdal  
  L. Augustinsson                    Mikael Lustig     
     Andreas Granqvist Viktor Lindelöf
                        Robin Olsen

 Lineup—Sweden—Match Three (4-4-2) (6/27/2018)  

          Ola Toivonoen   Marcus Berg
 Emil Forsberg                Viktor Claesson         
          Albin Ekdal   Sebastian Larsson
  L. Augustinsson                    Mikael Lustig     
     Andreas Granqvist Viktor Lindelöf
                        Robin Olsen

 Lineup—Sweden—Match Four (Projected) (4-4-2) (7/1/2018) 

         Ola Toivonen  Marcus Berg            
 Emil Forsberg                 Viktor Claesson                      
         Albin Ekdal  Oscar Hiljemark     
  Mikael Lustig                Victor Lindelöf
        L. Augustinsson A. Granqvist
                       Robin Olsen

 Lineup—Sweden—Match Four (4-4-2) (Actual) (7/3/2018) 

         Ola Toivonen  Marcus Berg            
 Emil Forsberg                 Viktor Claesson                      
         Albin Ekdal  Gustav Svensson    
  L. Augustinnson                Mikael Lustig
          A. Granqvist      V. Lindelöf
                       Robin Olsen

Andresson tapped Svensson after all. Heroic display from him and his counterpart Ekdal in midfield. Admirable match turned in by the two centerbacks as well. Contrary to my predictions, Lustig and Augustinsson settled into more stable roles. This allowed Forsberg to set-up some conventional attacks outside the 18. Were it not for atrocious finishing from the strikers, the scoreline might have been higher

Claesson spent more time in between Granqvist and Lindelöf than he did on the flanks. Whenever Forsberg couldn’t get established, the Swedes immediately re-organized into a 5-2-3 that swarmed Dzemali in triple coverage. It worked today mostly because Shaqiri was denied many useful touches. It might not work as well against England because concentrating on their point man won’t shut down distribution in the same way.

It shall prove interesting to see how they fit Larsson back in. He can take either Claesson or Svensson’s spot. They might even drop the utterly disappointing Berg and try a 4-5-1.

A sharp strategy and some lucky bounces could see the Swedes through to the Semis.  

 Lineup—England—Match Four (Projected) (3-1-4-2) (7/3/2018) 

           Harry Kane   Raheem Sterling                 
 Ashley Young                     Kieran Trippier                      
            Jesse Lingard     Dele Alli     
                    Jordan Henderson  
Fabian Delph   John Stones   Harry Maguire
                      Jordan Pickford

 Lineup—England—Match Four (Actual) (3-1-4-2) (7/3/2018) 

           Harry Kane   Raheem Sterling                 
 Ashley Young                     Kieran Trippier                      
            Jesse Lingard     Dele Alli     
                    Jordan Henderson  
Kyle Walker   John Stones   Harry Maguire
                      Jordan Pickford

Delph was given the day off to return to England to witness the birth of his third child. It’s safe to assume that he would have earned the start otherwise. Not exactly easy to produce further evaluation of this novel formation as the match was full of interruptions. All that many of us will recall from today’s match will be the fouls and confrontations.

Markedly better play from Rose, Vardy, and Rashford off the bench. Dier and Henderson paired up decently as the Lions took up a 5-2-3 shape down the stretch. One can see how the Belgian match solidified the alternate game-plan of this side.

Young, Lingard, and Sterling may start the next fixture on the bench based on today’s play. Dier may also inherit Trippier’s place if Deli Alli’s re-aggravated injury forces a 4-3-3 deployment.

S.S.S. Salute to Fallen Comrades

 Switzerland—“Die Schweizer Nati”

-4 games played
-5 Goals scored
-30 Hot Girls

Truly terrible choices from Petkovic today in match he took far too lightly. He made similarly stubborn moves in the Euro Knockouts two years ago. The core group of this very talented side will remain in place for Euro 2020, but a manager I’ve lavished with praise needs to start getting smarter if this country wishes to finally break through the barriers that have halted their progress over the past fifty years.  

 Lineup—Switzerland—Match Three (4-2-1-3) (6/27/18) 

                      Mario Gavranovic 
      Breel Embolo                Xerdhan Shaqiri
                       Blerim Dzemaili
         Granit Xhaka          Valon Behrami
R.  Rodriguez  M. Akanji  F. Schär S. Lichtsteiner        
                         Yann Sommer                      

 Lineup—Switzerland—Match Four (4-2-3-1) (7/3/2018) 

                      Josip Drmic
                   Blerim Dzemaili     
      Steven Zuber     Xerdhan Shaqiri 
       Granit Xhaka    Valon Behrami
R. Rodriguez M. Akanji J. Djourou M. Lang           
                    Yann Sommer         

Let’s begin with Drmic as the lead striker. Really no need for this as Seferovic had been doing just fine in the role. Behrami and Dzemaili intuitively sensed how to place the ball directly on the tip of his boot. In the Lines section, I advocated picking Zakaria in the interest of giving the side some carry-over club chemistry. Zuber made sense if the goal was to compete with the Swedes aerially, but that shouldn’t have been an issue with so much height at the back.

Moving Shaqiri to the right also wasn’t sensible in either match. He often switches to that side in the latter stages of the match when opposing defenses start to break down, but if he himself gets shut down early it disrupts the whole flow of the offensive engine.

I strongly supported and expected Elvedi to get the start at centerback. Djourou only barely secured a roster spot following some late injuries. Elvedi worked very hard to beat him out of a place and would have been the perfect choice to pair with Gladbach teammates Michael Lang and Yann Sommer at the back.

Stupid, stupid, stupid. Your friendly bookie had a bad premonition when he saw how Petkovic planned how to deal with the absence of Schär and Lichteteiner. Starting Elvedi and flipping him with Akanji would have surely prevented that own-goal.

Argh. Such an imprudent waste. Possibly their best chance ever squandered by horrible managerial decisions in the third and fourth matches.

 Columbia—“Los Cafeteros”

-4 games played
-6 Goals scored
-41 Hot Girls

It should have absolutely been possible to win without James. Now it’s back to Bogota to regroup for next summer’s tournament. One last opportunity for Falcao, Barrios, Cuardrado, Aguilar, and Carlos Sanchesz to capture glory. As early as it is, I predict they’ll falter in that quest and the Coffee Growers will drop off the international footballing map for a good long spell.

 Lineup—Columbia—Match Three (4-2-3-1) (6/28/18) 

                    Radamel Falcao
 J. Rodriguez   J. F. Quintero    J. Cuadrado
          Carlos Sanchez  Matues Uribe
    Johan Mojica                   Santiago Arias    
                   Y. Mina    D. Sanchez
                       David Ospina

 Lineup—Columbia—Match Four (4-3-2-1) (7/3/2018) 

                         Radamel Falcao    
     J.F. Quintero                    J. Cuardrado              
   J. Lerma        Carlos Sanchez        W. Barrios
Johan Mojica                               Santiago Arias
               Yerri Mina          Davidson Sanchez
                           David Ospina   

The actual form of the team was a great deal more compressed for most of the match. For some reason Pekerman just pulled everyone inward early on. Practically no lateral play from a team that had up until now excelled at it. They were all bunched together, particularly on the second and third lines. Ostensibly this strategy was used to draw Trippier and Young in off the flanks and keep the match tight.

Though it’s impossible to know for sure, I’ll conjecture that this tactic ultimately led to the raw frustration to which the players succumbed. Packed densely into an unnatural formation, most of the guys just lost their nerve when lining up in close quarters for the free kicks. Too crowded.

Your friendly bookie fails to understand why a 4-3-2-1 was needed. The loss of James Rodriguez wasn’t so critical as to necessitate a shake-up of the entire system. I only saw Pekerman return to his base formation shortly before the Zapata substitution in the second half of extra time. By then everyone was too spent and discombobulated for it to make any difference.

“Riffs of the Day”—Day Nineteen

 Related image

Reader: What’s with the low Hot Girl numbers this year?

Vicey: Could be that I’m missing more as I try to keep up with everything. Might also be the case that fewer female fans are traveling to Russia. Maybe your friendly bookie’s standards have risen a tad now that he’s not boozing. Those are your three main factors. Use them as the main analytical thrust of your article and turn it in on Friday by 4:00 p.m. EDT.

You’ve a bright future here at the “Department of Vice Studies”, 23-M ; )

Reader: Will you re-post your forty-page analysis of England’s shootout losses?

Vicey: No need for that. Do your own research you’d like tenure here at the “Department of Vice Studies”, 53-M.

Reader: Only an American ref would have the patience for this nonsense.

Vicey: I concur, 44-M. How in the hell Mark Geiger didn’t punch those persistently whiny little bitches in the face is beyond me. Never seen that kind of restraint from Jersey Shore guys like him or you.

Happy Independence Day, Yank Bettors!

Best wishes for a happy holiday and a day off from football.

Everyone’s laughing at your friendly bookie for repeatedly bashing the Swedes; labeling them a lost team from the very beginning. Even Princess Sofia gives me a sardonic smirk.

 

Yeah. We’ll see who’s smirking come Saturday. In any event, she bids you a coquettish adieu until the next Round of Lines ; )