Friday, July 6, 2018

WM 2018--Day Twenty Recap

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Day 20: Recap


Record—
Spread: 23-35
Straight up: 33-19-6

Hot Girl Standings

Country
Tally
Games Played
Brazil
64
5 (finished)
Sweden
43
4
Colombia
41
4 (finished)
Mexico
40
4 (finished)
France
38
5
Russia
38
4
Belgium
36
5
Spain
34
4 (finished)
Argentina
34
4 (finished)
Poland
32
3 (finished)
Iceland
31
3 (finished)
Germany
31
3 (finished)
Switzerland
30
4 (finished)
Croatia
30
4
Japan
30
4 (finished)
Portugal
29
4 (finished)
Denmark
29
4 (finished)
South Korea
28
3 (finished)
Uruguay
27
5 (finished)
Nigeria
24
3 (finished)
England
24
4
Senegal
23
3 (finished)
Iran
22
3 (finished)
Egypt
21
3 (finished)
Tunisia
20
3 (finished)
Australia
20
3 (finished)
Costa Rica
20
3 (finished)
Serbia
19
3 (finished)
Morocco
18
3 (finished)
Peru
18
3 (finished)
Panama
13
3 (finished)
Saudi Arabia
11
3 (finished)

Don’t delete Belgium vs. Brazil, brothers. Watch it over and over again throughout the year. What a breathtaking football match it was! I don’t think we’ll get a better one this tournament, though I’d love to be proven wrong.

All the analysis anyone could ever want below. My condolences to the Latin American Contingent.

Your friendly bookie learned some truly sad news today. I had no idea Brazilian Über-fan Clovis Acosta Fernandez passed away back in 2015! I was wondering where he and his trophy replica were this whole tournament. Something was missing.

 Super fan: Clovis Acosta Fernandes helped produce one of the most iconic photos from the 2014 World Cup

Yeah. It’s a melancholic day for many. I shed a tear too.

We bid a bittersweet farewell to “Gaucho de Copa”, and to Brazil.

 S.S.S. Tactical Breakdown 

A business-like win from the French. Fervent domination from the team your friendly bookie initially projected to win it all.

With an outstanding Semi-Final tie on tap for Tuesday, let’s have what the Southerners colloquially term a “looksee”.

Are ze French about to get trumped by their hick cousins?

 Lineup—France—Match Five (Projected) (5-2-2-1) (7/5/2018) 

                       Kylian Mbappe
 Antoine Griezman        Ousmane Dembele              
               Paul Pogba  N’Golo Kante 
 L. Hernandez    Adil Rami         B. Pavard
          Samuel Umtiti  Raphael Varane      
                         Hugo Lloris

 Lineup—France—Match Five (Actual) (4-2-3-1) (7/6/2018) 

                                Oliver Giroud
 Corentin Tolisso  Antoine Griezman   Kylian Mbappe              
                    N’Golo Kante  Paul Pogba
 Lucas Hernandez                              Benjamin Pavard
                  Samuel Umtiti  Raphael Varane      
                                 Hugo Lloris

Just a simple plug-in from Deschamps at the end of the day. Tolisso took Mathuidi’s spot from the previous match. It looked to me like Kante spent more time on the left and occasionally occupied central midfield alone. That made perfect sense. No other player has executed more precise tackling in this tournament than him. Other than these two minor tactical adjustments, we didn’t see any radical changes to the gameplan.

Can’t say this wasn’t totally unexpected. Managers with experience in this tournament generally express faith in their players once they feel they’ve found their best eleven. Deschamps believes in riding the momentum. We saw him stick to his guns just like this in the latter stages of Euro 2016. Ironically enough in that tournament the big news was the benching of Kante in the Quarters, Semis, and Final. The 1998 captain stuck with the exact same eleven for all three matches…and we all recall how that turned out.

It’s safe to assume that he’ll do the same thing here. Not good news. We saw plenty of sloppy play out of the back today. Giroud continues to slow and experienced problems with his touch. Pogba’s form was up a notch, but I don’t think we’ll see the same tricks and flicks that he produced in the first two matches.

Mbappe had his moments along with some really good ideas, but all the hype surrounding him might prove detrimental. Don’t forget we’re still talking about a teenager here. I’m not sold on his legend status just yet. He’s demonstrated how explosively fast he can be, for all of ten minutes of the 350+ that he’s logged.

Don’t count on Les Bleaus advancing further. 

 Lineup—Belgium—Match Five (Projected) (3-4-3) (7/5/2018) 

  Eden Hazard   Romelu Lukaku  Dries Mertens                    
 Moussa Dembele                       Nacer Chadli                  
        Kevin De Bruyne    Thomas Menuier
            Jan Vertongen      Toby Alderweireld                      
                          Dedryk Boyata   
                         Thibault Courtois

 Lineup—Belgium—Match Five (Actual) (3-4-3) (7/6/2018) 

  Eden Hazard   Romelu Lukaku  Kevin De Bruyne                    
 Nacer Chadli                                 Thomas Menuier                  
       Axel Witsel                    Maroune Fellaini
             Jan Vertongen     Toby Alderweireld                      
                        Vincent Kompany   
                         Thibault Courtois

Following the show they put on today, this independent oddsmaker considers them unstoppable. I strongly suggest a second or even third review of the whole match those who have it on tape.

An absolute beast of a game from Lukaku. He was everywhere. Note how he blazed through every challenger on the one-on-one duels. The Congolese Giant is the one who has conclusively proved he possesses relentless and uncontainable explosive speed. To hell with all the hype about Mbappe. Romelu’s the real deal.

Phenomenal skills exhibited by Hazard. Lustrous touches and magnificent ball control. He cast a magnetic spell over the ball. You almost thought he had attached to his foot via a string. I definitely didn’t foresee Martinez bringing De Bruyne all the way up front, but why the hell not go with a “Cerberus Attack Formation"?

No one’s stopping this three-headed monster. They’re way to strong. Even their keeper is playing like a superhuman mutant. Check out those saves from Courtois again. How in the hell did he manage to see through all the outfielders screening him? Does he have X-Ray Vision.

If anything, the Menuier suspension helps them. He was never an attacker to begin with! Now they can keep De Bruyne at striker and deploy Mertens, Thorgan, or Batshuayi behind him. Chadli’s injury isn’t an issue as they’ve got Carrasco, Dembele, or Tielemans available to take his place.

Barring something unforeseen, here’s your Championship Squad gentlemen. They could have easily scored more goals today. Only a surfeit of options can sink them.

 S.S.S. Salute to Fallen Comrades 

 Uruguay—“La Celeste”

-5 games played
-7 Goals scored
-27 Hot Girls

That’s a wrap for this striking corps. No more World Cups for Suarez and Cavani. To my knowledge there’s no one in the pipeline to take their place. There may never be. I needn’t remind regular syndicate readers that Uruguay remains a ridiculously small country. Newcomers may not realize that a country with two World Cups actually has less than three million inhabitants.

I predict Tabarez will stick with this generation for one last go in next Summer’s Copa America. Following that, the whole program will fall into decline. We may not see them again for several cycles.

Loved how the fans kept cheering until the very end. ; )

 Lineup—Uruguay—Match Five (Projected) (5-1-4) (7/5/2018) 

           Christian Stuani     Luis Suarez             
        Rodrigo Betancur        Nahi Nandez                  
                       Cristian Rodriguez     
 Diego Laxalt    Martin Caceras   Sebastian Coates                                    
              Diego Godin  Jose Gimenez 
                        Fernando Muslera

 Lineup—Uruguay—Match Five (Actual) (4-1-3-2) (7/6/2018) 

      Christian Stuani       Luis Suarez             
     R. Betancur  M. Vecino   N. Nandez                  
                      Lucas Torreira     
   Diego Laxalt                     Martin Caceras                                        
           Diego Godin  Jose Gimenez 
                     Fernando Muslera

This didn’t work for a variety of reasons. First and foremost, Stuani didn’t show up at all. Betancur got crowed out by his immobility and Vecino’s positioning. Torreira was never going to work as a “flight director”. He did well against the Russians, but that was because they were a man down.

Maxi Gomez or Cristian Rodriguez would have been better choices. Tabarez introduced them too little, too late. I really think Coates would have matched up well against Tolisso and Hernandez. Pity.

Of course no one could have predicted that an experienced veteran like Muslera would make such a rookie mistake. Rotten luck, but they weren’t configured to be very competitive anyway. As soon as I learned that Cavani had been ruled out as a sub, the outcome was clear.

 Brazil—“A Selecao”

-5 games played
-8 Goals scored
-64 Hot Girls

A lot of good work from Neymar wasted. Really liked what I saw from him in this match both in terms of skills and class. His colleagues simply couldn’t finish. Paulinho, Coutinho, Costa, Fernandinho, and Augusto (after the goal) all screwed up some wonderfully served chances. No shortage of gorgeous long switches from the team. Lovely nutmegs and dekes as well. They had enough hustle and creativity to win. Unfortunately, no one wins without finishing.

Suppose I should briefly address the two questionable touches on Neymar in the box. I don't think either one was strong enough to warrant a penalty, but I don’t think he dove either.

The Brazilians are well poised to take next Summer’s Copa America. This collection of players will obtain some silverware soon. They’ll simply have to wait longer for that sixth star. The Germans get another chance to catch up ; )

 Lineup—Brazil—Match Five (Projected) (5-1-4) (7/5/2018) 

                      Gabriel Jesus
    Neymar      P. Countinho     R. Firminho         
               Paulinho        Willian
 Marcelo                                       Danilo
                 Miranda  Thiago Silva
                          Alisson

 Lineup—Brazil—Match Five (Actual) (4-1-4-1) (7/5/2018) 

                      Gabriel Jesus
Neymar  Fernandinho   Paulinho  Willian         
                       P. Coutinho
 Marcelo                                       Fagner
                 Miranda  Thiago Silva
                          Alisson

Haven’t checked any other media reports yet. Your friendly bookie prefers to complete his write-up first, then see what others are saying. I’m sure Firminho’s non-start will be a huge talking point. I was shocked. That may have cost them the match. If not Firminho, why not Costa if he was fit?

These were not the right moves. They didn’t really come to life until Firminho’s insertion after the restart. The above positioning reflects how I saw them attempting to play in the first half. It was just plain wrong. Moving Fernandinho and Paulinho up while dropping Countinho back scrambled any flow.

I guess he went with the four-man-support line in an attempt to shut down the ferocious Belgian attack. It didn’t come close to working. Willian and Neymar got toasted. Another bad game from Gabriel Jesus. Ugh. Fairly sour note to exit on.

 S.S.S. Half-Assed Culture Minute

It’s the triumphant return of a segment everyone’s been wondering if I forgot about! To be honest, I’ve been so hooked on the program “Phenoms”—discussed in the Day One Recap—that I haven’t been inspired to pimp anything else football related. If you haven’t given that series a look yet, mates, I can assure you it’s very much worth your time. Truly a fabulous way to augment your tournament. The Brazilian and Russian episodes are my favorites thus far.

Another great tournament augmentation comes from a program that was making the rounds on Fox before we got started. Though it’s no longer being broadcast, I checked and you can watch on multiple web sources. As we draw closer to trophy time, check out an excellent piece put together by FIFA itself. It’s called “One to Eleven”. The feature covers all of the World Cup Finals in the eleven cycles since the current World Cup Trophy was introduced in 1974; the tournament many consider to be the first of the modern World Cup Era.

You get to relive it all. All of the splendor. All of the drama. Interviews with all of the players. We’re very likely to crown a totally new champion, something we’ve actually only done twice in those eleven cycles (France in 1998 and Spain in 2010). Everyone already knows who won these tournaments, so you surely won’t mind me giving you the other winners of the cycles covered ; )

 -3 for Deutschland (1974, 1990, 2014)
 -2 for Argentina (1978, 1986)
 -2 for Brazil (1994, 2002)
 -2 for Italy (1982, 2006)

Who’s next?


“Riffs of the Day”—Day Twenty

 Related image

Reader: A Norman Conquest Final would be fun.

Vicey: Cool idea, 128-M. Just don’t think France will make it. England vs. Belgium could be billed as revenge for starting the most pointless and bloodiest war mankind has ever known…then setting up a sequel.

Reader: Too many sad Brazilian girls. I feel bad.

Vicey: Look. At least it wasn’t 7-1. Don’t feel bad for them.

Reader: $100 on the Swedes. I profit off your bias.

Vicey: (figuring out how to prostitute himself)

Reader: Why weren’t you paying attention to the constellation lecture at the planetarium?

Vicey: ….probably because I was high. Haven’t been to the planetarium in my adult life. Wanna go, 135-M?

DAY TWENTY-ONE—PREVIEW

England vs. Sweden

  vs. 

Don’t miss a moment of this one. St. George with the best look at a title they’re likely to ever get. Will they fuck it up? Probably, but bookie holds the line just in case.

THE LINE: England +1 Goal (holding)

Russia vs. Croatia

  vs. 

The highlights of this one might be a better option…or watch it in Russian on a peer-to-peer website. I’ll stick with the line as I’m still feeling an upset.
  
THE LINE: Russia +1 Goal (holding)


GENTLEMEN, ENTER YOUR WAGERS