Sunday, June 17, 2018

WM 2018--Day Three Recap

Your “Syndicate Hangover” is proudly presented by “Heineken 0.0”

Image result for Heineken 0.0 logo small 
All of the calories and none of the intoxication! 

This dog don’t bite ; )


Day 3: Recap


Record—
Spread: 3-5
Straight up: 4-3-1

Hot Girl Standings

Country
Tally
Games Played
Spain
10
1
Argentina
9
1
Russia
9
1
Denmark
8
1
Iceland
7
1
Egypt
7
1
Peru
6
1
Morocco
6
1
Iran
6
1
Croatia
5
1
Australia
5
1
Nigeria
5
1
Portugal
4
1
Uruguay
4
1
France
4
1
Saudi Arabia
2
1

Not the greatest day for an independent oddsmaker. Nothing broke your friendly bookie’s way. No reason to moan. I shall take your money another day…and do it without rants this time. Had my “Angry Croat Dude” moments today, but all that’s behind me.

 Image result for ugly croatian fans

Ah… “Angry Croat Dude”. So nice to see you back in these pages again ; )

 S.S.S. Tactical Breakdown 

Apologies to those you woke up early to see the French, only to have them directly put you back to sleep. Though your friendly bookie augured a slow start for Messi & Co., even he didn’t expect the degree of torpor that we witnessed.

Two disappointments to cover., Let’s take a closer look.

 Lineup—France—PROJECTED (4-3-1-2) (5/30/18) 

       A. Griezmann              Paul Pogba                      
                          Kylian Mbappe
Thomas Lemar   N’Golo Kante Blaise Matuidi                            
 Benjamin Mendy                      Djibril Sidibe
            Samuel Umtiti  Raphael Varane
                           Hugo Lloris          

 Lineup—France—ACTUAL (4-3-3) (6/16/18) 

                          Kylian Mbappe                      
   Antoine Griezman              Ousmane Dembele
Paul Pogba                             Corentin Tolisso                            
L. Hernandez       N. Kante                B. Pavard
            Samuel Umtiti  Raphael Varane
                           Hugo Lloris          

A good early result from Deschamps, but we’ll call this a failed experiment. An attack-minded 4-3-3 should have produced significantly better results against such a weak side. It actually looked to me as if they played more of a 4-4-2 at times, Mbappe shifting right to make way for Griezman. That still didn’t yield much of note.

Toilsso certainly deserved a shot following his fine club campaign at Bayern, but he looks all out of sorts on this squad. Lemar will likely inherit his spot in the next match. Matuidi might as well step in for Dembele. His timing was of all afternoon. I spent a good portion of the match thinking what a waste it was to have Pogba so far back, but I suppose his agile crashing of the net, as evidenced by the game winning goal, can prove an asset. He can stay put. Ditto Kante. He’s simply better as a pseudo third centerback.

The fullback selections were nothing more than a trial for young players possessing only a combined 13 caps. Mendy and Sidibe by the knockouts.

A very poor match overall. Les Bleaus were turgid off the transition, displayed almost no rhythm, and could barely maintain possession most of the time. Results are results, but Deschamps will have some serious “splaining” to do if he doesn’t build something more solid next time. He could have built a championship squad using most of the players he left off. A little experimentation in a soft group remains permissible.

The best team still needs to get on the pitch soon….and start gelling as a unit.

 Lineup—Argentina—PROJECTED (4-3-3) (6/1/18) 

           Gonzalo Higuain Sergio Aguero                         
                            Lionel Messi
               Ever Banega        Angel Di Maria                              
                        Javier Mascherano 
M. Rojo    G. Mercado  N. Otamendi  N. Tagliafico
                            Nahuel Guzman    

 Lineup—Argentina—ACTUAL (4-2-3-1) (6/16/18) 

                           Sergio Aguero                         
 Angel Di Maria   Lionel Messi   Maxi Meza
               Lucas Biglia       Javier Mascherano                              
  Nicolas Tagliafico                    Eduardo Salvio
                Marcus Rojo  Nicolas Otamendi   
                          Willy Cabaellero    

Was it a 4-2-3-1 or a 4-3-2-1? After some debate, I’ve settled on the former. In any event it was just silly. Placing a player like Meza so far up when one knew Messi would draw triple coverage makes no sense. Mascherano doesn’t need a partner in midfield! It throws him off. He kept getting outmuscled as he had no idea where to go. No surprise that Biglia was substituted off early. Tagliafico looked uncomfortable on the left. Otamendi couldn’t find any quality space with such a jammed midfield and a defensive partner he wasn’t used to.

My worst fears are confirmed, right down to the lack of goaltending experience and Messi’s fragile confidence. La Albiceleste don’t have the luxury of taking their sweet ass time to get a plan together. Not in this group. The Icessons just gave everyone else a blueprint for how to shut down this predictable squad: Play a compact offside trap, clearing any cutbacks for Messi immediately.

It says much about this country’s tendency to cannibalize itself that they practically demanded an apology from Messi for his weak penalty. Not good news.   

Weighing in on VAR

Did VAR get it right on Risdon’s challenge of Griezman in the 56th?

I actually don’t think so. He got a toe poke in on the ball first and simply followed through with his slide tackle. A harsh penalty. Ze French were very lucky to escape with a win.


“Riffs of the Day”—Day Three

 Related image

Reader: I love the World Cup. I can never find time to be depressed!

Vicey: One can always find time to be depressed 67-M. Try harder. I recommend setting absurdly high standards for yourself and then deliberately sabotaging your own chances of success. That generally works. Should that fail, ponder for a moment the fact that the only human antidote to the painful reality of your fleeting and meaningless existence revolves around the primitive self-delusion of an intangibkle monotheistic deity, the existence of which can never be proven.

Er….have I mentioned that Germany plays today?  

Reader: Why doesn’t VAR work?

Vicey:  Rational analysis of a subjective concept invariably fails. See above.

Reader: How heartbreaking was Bouhaddouz’s own goal?

Vicey: Since you asked, about $75’s worth, depending on the exchange rate.

Reader: Is that Kasper or Peter [Schmeichel] in goal today? Holy Hell!

Vicey: Diggin’ the historical reference, 128-M. Good Old Peter Schmeichel, the legendary Manchester United keeper who captained the “Danish Dynamite” Side to the 1992 European Championship.

Nice.

He never disappointed. The only amazingly cool thing he never did was sire a son named Michael.

Reader: Do you accept Denmo?

Vicey: Fuck the fuck NO, 86-M. This isn’t a “Millenial Sportsbook”. We don’t do fucking I-Phone Payment Apps. We are “Generation X/Y Zennials” and fiercely fucking proud of it! We do not live on our “Me-Me-Me-I-I-I phones.” We shall never surrender to the lurid self-absorbed temptations of “The Snap-my-Face”!

Er…we’re kind of kindred spirits to “Angry Croat Dude”  

PayPal is as far as I'm willing to go.

DAY FOUR--PREVIEW

Costa Rica vs. Serbia 

  vs. 

Down to a pick with all of the uncertainty in the air.

THE LINE: Pick em’ (rolling down soft from Serbia +1)

Deutschland vs. Mexico

  vs. 

I’ll allow another wager or three to give myself a much needed insurance policy.   

THE LINE: Pick em’ (rolling down hard from Deutschland +2)

Brazil vs. Switzerland

  vs. 

One of the higher tier teams needs to get rolling in this tournament. Smart betting, brothers. A well-rested Neymar might be a good choice.

THE LINE: Brazil +2 Goals (rolling up soft from Brazil +1)


GENTLEMEN, ENTER YOUR WAGERS