Saturday, June 9, 2018

WM 2018--Group G Preview

Introduction—“Meet the Favorites”
WM 2018 
(Belgium, England, Tunisia, Panama)

      

Everyone set to learn the bookie’s favorites to win it all? Excellent. If history’s any guide, some of you will immediately place your money elsewhere….and end up better for it. ; )

As Syndicate Member 36-M so aptly reminds us, Vicey has only thrice predicted the correct champion from the outset. Twenty-Five Chapters. Twenty-One incorrect picks. Merely typing a hyphenated “3-21” pains the soul. Prognosticating a’int so easy, gentlemen. As pertains to football tournaments, the only thing one can say with absolute certainty at the beginning is that England won’t win.     

….
….

No, I’m not picking the Limey’s, gentlemen! Thought I might string you along for a second there. Incorrigible fun. Nope. Hells’ to the nope.

This year we’re backing the Belgians. Yes sir. It’s about time for this arbitrarily cleaved little leftover of the Napoleonic wars to do my confused continent proud. Conditions are ideal for them to sneak through the early knockouts and peak at just the right time. They feature an outrageously talented squad and a highly competent coach who’s putting it all on the line. I see them replicating the Spanish performance from 2010 in what will be a tournament of similar tenor.

Contrarians will point out that Roberto Martinez tends to be too much of a player’s coach. That might be relevant if we were discussing club forecasts. It can serve as a catalytic asset in tournament football. There’s also the matter of that humiliating defeat to Wales two years ago. Also immaterial. This new team, previewed below, is infinitely better. I’ll aver that Martinez runs this side with the inverse of Wilmot’s conservative approach. He goes for broke here and it will pay off. Still others will argue that “El Tiki-Taka” has long been declared legally dead….as if that has something to do with anything. Martinez never was a Tiki-Taka coach. Strictly speaking, neither was Pep! Stop painting Spanish coaches with such a broad brush!

No need to feel bad about the latest impending English collapse. Through the fabulous Premiership, they still rule the world of football eleven months out of the year. They’ll receive ample coverage in this Sportsbook and most of this bookie’s attention for the duration of the calendar year. As I remarked two years ago, we stateside viewers are truly spoiled thanks to NBCSN’s sumptuous coverage of the EPL. On the topic of “sumptuousness” we also get to meet, through the splendid irreverence of the “Men in Blazers”, colorful characters like this:


Ah. Good old “English Beef”. Move to England and get in line, ladies!


Belgium—“De Rode Duivels”

Indeed. For those keeping track, we’ve now introduced this team using all three of the lingua franca’s used by this accident of a country: Rural Archaic German, Hick Walloonish French, and what one might gently term a feeble attempt at sophisticated Dutch. (Apologies to any Flemish readers).

Done and done. We’ll be introducing them as defending World Champions next time. Not so farfetched when you think about it. If you’ve seen them play recently, they have all the markings of a tight team, communicating fluidly and seamlessly on the pitch. Pick em. Ride em. Take them home and cuddle them. They’ll capture a star for their crest. You’ll see come Schwag Pack time ; )  

Excellent squad selection by Martinez, especially up front. It’s often a family affair in Belgium. Customarily one of the team’s players totes along his younger brother, as was the case with Jonathan Benteke and Jordan Lukaku. It’s Eden turn this time. Christian Benteke didn’t even make the final cut. He had to make way for Mönchengladbach’s Thorgen Hazard. The younger Hazard finally found his form this season in Nord-Rhine Westphalia. He’s gelling well with the National team as well, looking a great threat on set pieces.

Dropping Benteke took some courage, but Martinez played the right hot hand. He knows what he’s looking for. This bookie absolutely loves that he left off falling stars like Kevin Mirallas and Divok Origi in favor of the absolutely on-fire Michy Batshuayi. Brilliant. Put it together and you have the most marvelously performing attack in all of football. Watch them ignite!

The new-look midfield looks great too. With Witsel out of form and Nainggolan gone, Martinez can move de Bruyne even further up secure in the knowledge that Dembele, Fellaini, Carrasco, or even Januzaj will play solid defensive football, adroitly moving forward when the occasion merits. Chadli and Tielemans look great as well. A fantastic kader means there’s plenty of options.

Here’s how your friendly bookie sees it shaking out:

Lukaku still spearheads the blitz after another tremendous season. This time Hazard and Dries Mertens are assigned far more aggressive positioning. They practically hug his hip. De Bruyne takes care of the distribution and calls the lanes not far behind. With such an extravagant assault, Dembele does what he does best and stay at home. Vertongen moves up into central defense to steady play in the middle of the park. With a dearth of true fullbacks, Chadli actually moves back and to the left. Kompany plays traditional centerback while Menuier serves as wing decoy for Alderweireld. He can function like Mertesacker, shocking everyone with a dazzlingly run in a pinch.

It’s poetry. It’s perfect. It’s going to work this time.

….says the amateur oddsmaker who often gets it dead wrong. ; )

Either I see the Matrix or I just wrote the sequels. Either way we should have fun finding out.

 Projecting the Belgium Lineup (4-2-1-3) 

  Eden Hazard  Romelu Lukaku Dries Mertens                              
                        Kevin de Bruyne
        Moussa Dembele     Jan Vertongen                        
  Nacer Chadli                           Thomas Menuier
       Vincent Kompany  Toby Alderweireld
                       Thibault  Courtois        

The Talisman—Kevin de Bruyne

Image result for kevin de bruyne smallThe discussion around him two years ago centered around his imminent transfer to the Etihad. 58 Million British Pounds! Worth every penny. He’s evolved into one of Europe’s best. In addition to his touch and long-range prowess, he demonstrates an uncanny ability to pick out colleagues with his amazing vision and passing skills. Further words from an unworthy source won’t do him justice. Just watch the highlights.





 “A Syndicate Classic—Freedom Waffles”

Editor’s Retroactive Notes:
Sorry to make you relive this, Stateside Bettors. Skip it if you’re the sensitive Yank type. Wondo should have scored. You should have made it to the Quarterfinals and beyond.

Oh what might have been. Here’s what was:

From WM 2014—Day Nineteen Recap:

Good morning Stateside Bettors,

WM 2014….

….

….

It was a BREATHTAKING match. That much you have to admit. Captivating and absorbing from start to finish; one of the most pulsating encounters we’ve seen all Summer. It kept you, me, and numerous Krauts frequenting all the quaint Biergartens I visited last night on the edge of our seats right up until the final whistle. You went out it fine style. Long live football!

All of Howard’s seemingly infinite acrobatic saves, Yedlin and Bradley’s supersonic individual runs, Besler and Beasley’s dramatic last minute tackles, Wondolowski’s heart-stopping miss, and Green’s hair-raising gorgeous finish off the volley. Admit it. You had fun. You felt alive. The final result notwithstanding, Red, White, and Blue blood pounded through your veins.

19 (1)Of course you would have had more fun if you were hopping from one Biergarten to the next with your boy Vicey. Extra added time enabled me to hit up three of my favorites last night: Wolfbräu, Waldbräu, and Vogelbräu. Oh yes sir. All of these breweries provided the perfect atmosphere for a bit of public viewing, along with some of the most luscious Craft Beer your taste buds have ever known. Nothing quite like sitting underneath the lights and getting slowly blitzed while watching an enlivening football match.

Most of the neutral Krauts threw their support behind the Yanks last night, though a few red-clad expatriate Belgium enthusiasts were to be found. I also encountered a couple of members of “Sam’s Army”, though they were sadly doing their best to go incognito. A Beer Garden supplies you with just the right atmosphere to swap a few stories with a stranger. There was plenty of that last night, but not as much as one might expect. The match kept us all completely enraptured. Only after the final whistle was there truly time to make a few new friends.

For those still washing the acidic taste of defeat out of their mouths, your friendly bookie has a full EIGHT PAGES of USA post-mortem below for you to chew on. I’d care to add that the Yanks last night displayed some of the final levels of fitness I’ve ever seen. Klinsi’s known to be a wizard when it comes to maintaining discipline and fitness among his players. They ran their hearts out and showed no sign of fatigue. You’ve got a capable leader and a great team. Every reason to be proud ; )

It’s not over yet America. Next summer the Women get their turn as favorites to win the 2015 Women’s World Cup. After that, Klinsi’s boys get to compete in the historic “CONCACAF-COMNEBOL Inter-Continental Super Cup”. America will even serve as hosts for the 2016 Summer Event. Following that, assuming you win the cakewalk “CONCACAF Gold Cup”, we’ll see you compete in 2017’s “Confederations Cup”. See? It’s not over for another four years……stop saying that!

19 (2)Vincent Kompany recovered from injury in time to don the captain’s armband. Wilmots stuck with his goal-scorer from the previous match up front and kept Lukaku in reserve. What a brilliant fucking decision that turned out to be. Christ almighty. West Brom used to use Lukaku in the same capacity….to incredibly successful effect.

Yep. That struck fear in my heart. As a U.S. Sympathizer, even though I stood to make a large sum off the U.S. loss, I recall feeling a distinct pang in my chest the moment I saw a fresh-legged Romelu Lukaku coming off the bench as the first period of overtime. He looked pumped up. His eyes burned with the fiery passion of a man with a serious point to prove. Most of the U.S. eleven were leggy and mistake-prone. A Sixth Sense conveyed to me right then and there that this was about to be over.

It took less than a minute for him to slice and dice through the tired defensive ranks and set up van Buyten with that brilliant cutback. De Bruyne hit him with that incisive through ball twelve minutes later and he had his own goal. Holy Shit. Lukaku off the bench as a “Super Sub” constitutes one explosive secret weapon for the Red Devils of Antwerp.

Actual Lineup:

 “The Yanks”—Match Four (4-1-2-3) 

                     Clint Dempsey
  Alenjandro Bedoya     Fabian Johnson
         Michael Bradley Graham Zusi       
                      Jermaine Jones                 
D. Beasley M. Besler O. Gonzalez G. Cameron    
                      Tim Howard

In one of the more inelegant solutions to a problem I’ve ever seen, Klinsi moved Borussia Mönchengladbach fullback Fabian Johnson all the way up to striker! Whoa! There’s simply no other explanation for it! Beasley, Besler, Omar Gonzalez, and Geoff Cameron were all on the pitch so he wasn’t being deployed as a defender. Zusi and Bradley were clear instructed to sweep the middle of the pitch. Jermaine Jones's positioning was right in front of the centerbacks. Johnson served as a striker on the right Unbelievable!
 
Johnson is another one of the German half-breeds. (for those keeping track that’s FOUR American players who give flawless German-language interviews to our media afterwards). He’s never (to my knowledge) played as a forward before. Then again, neither had German defender Per Mertesacker when Klinsi needed him up front in a pinch. It’s not unheard of to deputize tall and fast defenders as emergency strikers, but remains extremely rare. Klinsi now has the distinction of being the only manager I’ve ever seen to do it twice in two major tournaments. Neat. Inelegant, but still neat.

Johnson lasted only 32 minutes before succumbing to injury. This would have constituted the perfect opportunity to bring on Green. Instead, Klinsi subbed in another mobile defender, DeAndre Yedlin. The 20-year-old product of Seattle’s Youth System played another very good game. He definitely counts as the biggest U.S. surprise of this competition. He’s a strong and skilled Lahm-like speedball who sweeps his way past defenders with an impeccable touch. Surely he’s caught the attention of some of Europe’s big clubs by now. This bookie foresees a September transfer to either the Premiership or the Championship. He’ll soon be strutting his stuff on English pitches.

As well as he played as a right flank forward…well never know if Green could have produced something more helpful. This match needn’t have gone 120 minutes. We found that out the hard way once again in the 89th. Observing that Zusi just couldn’t get on the same page with Bradley in the center, Klinsi introduced San Jose Earthquakes striker Wondolowski in the 72nd.

How in the hell did Wondolowski miss that effort? Ach! The ball fell right at his feet. It was easier to finish that to miss! He actually wasn’t even whistled offside. The linesman was flagging for a defensive foul. It could have been all over, America. You could have had your place in the good chance of making the Semis! Oh je. It just wasn’t to be.

England—“The Three Lions”

Shirt badge/Association crestImagine for a moment just how badass England’s prospects would be if big Sam were managing this team. Okay…perhaps that’s a sensational stretch. I’ll cop to it.  Allardyce’s almost mythical ability to rescue sinking Premiership clubs from relegation may be nothing more than that; a myth. A solid tactics man with a strong appetite for challenging jobs (along with plenty of hefty game pies) hardly makes for an Arthurian Legend. We all crave a modern day equivalent of Brian Clough and Peter Taylor; distinctively English heroes who only just barely missed their chance to redeem Football’s most perplexingly snake-bit team. It makes for good copy, though not quite as good the exposé the Telegraph ran.

When will the odds finally cave in? When will our proud Anglo-Brothers stop pissing on their own cursed feet? Someone must eventually lead this confounded country back to glory. The Lions feature enough talent in any given year to easily thrash through the rest of the field. This year is no exception. Talented team? Of course it bloody well is! It’s comprised of the Premiership’s best players; players who happen to play in the undisputed best bleeding league in the world!

They should be the favorites They should sport thirteen freaking stars on their crest by now. At least one expert, oddsmaker, or pundit should list them as their pick…but not ONE SINGLE ONE has. Why? Because England always loses. Because your friendly bookie has already written up half of the obituary section and began to think about placement for the traditional graphic. We’re five days removed from kickoff and it’s already over.

“Mother England” is mother-fucked. Such is life. Let’s just get it over with ; (

Of course that doesn’t mean your friendly bookie won’t root for them heart & soul. He’ll even likely lose some money on sanguinely set lines. He’ll even “draw it up” for them after each match, wasting precious moments of his life straining to see the solution.   

We’ll embark upon that journey right now. Manager Southgate made few surprising moves in his final selection. A plethora of in-form defensemen meant there remained no room for Ryan Bertrand or Chris Smalling. A packed defensive corps meant that Adam Lallana got the last-minute axe. Wilshere, Cork, and Oxlade-Chamberlin weren’t even given consideration.

When initially building the lineup, I assumed that Gareth would format with a 5-3-2. He still might revert to that when needed, but that would crowd out a refreshed and re-tooled Jaime Vardy. Thusly, I’m seeing a 4-3-3 as the default look.

Vardy lurks behind Sterling and Kane, all three of whom are red-hot and hungry. Dier reprises his role as the safety midfielder, flanked once again by Dele Ali on the right. Rooney no longer merits even an honorary midfield role. Praise St. George! He weighed the team down significantly in 2016. Jesse Lingard counts as a magnificent upgrade. The back four remains mostly unchanged, but I’ll project John Stones over Phil Jones at least as an experiment.

Great team. Great lineup and formation. Will we revel in spiritual renditions of “God Save the Queen” well into the knockout phase?

Of course not. Best case scenario they lose in another shootout. Goodbye Limeys ; )  

 Projecting the “Losing Lion Lineup” (4-3-3) 

    Raheem Sterling            Harry Kane   
                         Jaime Vardy
 Jesse Lingard     Eric Dier        Dele Ali         
Danny Rose                             Kyle Walker                          
                Gary Cahill  John Stones
                       Jordan Pickford            

 The Talisman—Harry Kane 

Image result for harry kane small
The real prince Harry. To hell with that red-headed guy and his multicultural American Princess. Believe it or not I actually had to think about this choice for a tad. Sterling’s amazing season, Vardy’s revival, and Lingard’s breakthrough gave me some pause. You just have to go with the newly anointed captain; maybe the world’s best all-around player. Many have tried to find a weakness in his game. “Many” are still looking.





 “A Syndicate Classic—Brexit Rage…and James Milner”

Editor’s Retroactive Notes:
A disastrous English performance—perfectly predictable by the way—coupled with the unpredicted Brexit, left your friendly bookie feeling most unfriendly. Perhaps it would much behoove him to behave more like James Milner.

Note that the 2012 selection pre-dates the now famously brilliant twitter-feed ; )

From EM 2016—Day Fourteen Recap:

“Riffs of the Day”—Day Fourteen

Reader: Your thoughts on the British Referendum, Vicey?

Vicey: Greetings, “Generic Reader”. I have little to say on the decision by the U.K. to leave the European Union. Your friendly bookie is no longer an “EU Scholar”. Sorry, brothers. I used to care. I really did. As a Shadow Scholar, I literally wrote hundreds of pages on EU Policy and the Continent’s attempt at regional integration.
I wrote numerous papers on the Lisbon Treaty. I wrote even more on the Transatlantic Trade Pact. I wrote still more on the need to integrate Eastern European Countries like Latvia, Estonia, and Lithuania into the currency union.

EM 2016I can’t be bothered to care anymore ; ( Academia threw my ass out, leaving me destitute, dis-consulate, and dirt poor. The Ivory Tower has little use for those of us not interested in licking the assholes of our professors.

Let them have their niche. They deserve to lord over a world in which Donald Trump wins a major party’s presidential nomination and the elderly tea-sipping ladies of England vote to sever themselves from Europe.

The Overpaid Academics can keep this world.

Alzo Sprach your friendly bookie. ; )

From EM 2016—Day Fifteen Recap

Oh to be home at a time like this. All across the Fatherland, everyone’s out “taking her for a spin”. The car-horns, drums, bicycle bells, chants, and yells won’t relent until early in the morning. Everyone’s partying….except me. ; (

*Sniff*


Your friendly bookie REALLY misses Europe. It makes him so melancholic to think he won’t be returning there anytime soon. Were I on the other side of the pond at this precise moment, I’d be cruising around the Willy-Brandt-Alle with the top down pounding my car horn and ceaselessly screaming Deutschland. I’d have a couple cute girls in the back seat waving flags and blowing kisses. At present I’m all alone in an empty house dealing with a very vocal cat who keeps beseeching me to get off the keyboard and feed him.

…..

….

Dammit. A piece that opened with such elation suddenly took quite the morose turn. This may well turn out to be most bi-polar post in the history of the Syndicate…and that’s actually saying something. Mixed emotions reign. Watching the sublime skills of Draxler, Neuer, Poldi, and “Bringschuld Baby Boateng” constituted the highlight of my Summer. On the other hand, I’ll remain melancholic about my long-term exile from my beloved homeland. This are the first Euros since 2004 that I haven’t spent at least some of the tournament in good-ol-Europe.

*Sob*

I MISS MY FATHERLAND! Why, oh why, did every last force have to conspire against me during my last sojourn? Oh well. Sometimes you just can’t be with the one you love. Crosby, Stills, and Nash remind one to “love the one you’re with”. As it so happens, I love my Syndicate brothers even more than the Fatherland. Thanks to you, this has been a very special day indeed.

My sincerest gratitude to all of you for re-connecting with me today. I treasured every last text, phone call, and riff-laden e-mail. Today worked out well. We all got together and caught up. We recaptured the true meaning of the Syndicate. We’re also not done, ye. Argentina vs. Chile in the Copa America Centenario tonight! I took a well-deserved day off work; my first non-holiday day away for almost a year! I’ve already had the privilege of touching base with almost half of you. Let’s shoot for the full 100 percent!

Dammit. I really miss Europe. When can I go home? I wanna have an impromptu wine and cheese picnic on the Pointe Alexander Bridge! You guys are living MY life…and I’m insanely jealous.

Image result for seines bank picnic 
Damn you to hell!

Okay…sorry for the pettiness. I’m actually glad you guys FINALLY decided to enjoy Paris. You finally decided to relax. Hope to join you soon.

--So much talk centers around “awakenings”. Teams seem to take their time to round themselves into form.

“Germany took their time to get up and running”

“Belgium took their time to get up and running”

“France still needs to get up and running”

That’s a consequence of a diluted 24-team-field. It has its disadvantages. My colleagues can attest that I’ve been bitching about the fact that there are too many teams in this tournament…and that there’s a competing Pan-American tournament to boot.

I think we should all dispense with such criticism. Your friendly bookie complaining about not having enough time to watch football is ultimately just insipid. The languid tempo of some of the opening matches must be forgiven. We got some great surprises out of the extended group phase. It’s true that the Round of 16 will yield fewer surprises. It’s also true that the larger countries took advantage of the format and spent the early matches on “cruise control”.

We should all still back the expansion of Europe, particularly in light of the fact that we just lost the U.K. ; ) 

Keep expanding, Europe. Spread the wings of peace and prosperity!

From EM 2016--Quarterfinals:

 England

Shit on top of crap. What a terrible selection. Way to humiliate your country by keeping Lallana on the bench, flipping Danny Rose, and starting Raheem Sterling. Horrendous display from Rooney, Walker, AND Joe Hart. That’s it for “Uncle Roy”. He’s finished. Too many experiments. No way that just happened. The Three Lions disgraced football.

Period.

Excrement. Futile fucking turds dropped into a toilet bowl. I’m personally embarrassed to be a fan of England. I’m beyond ashamed. It sucks being a fan of diarrheic excrement. Way to blow it, lads.

Why does a country with so much talent keep stumbling? Because England always loses. Enter the Graphic!

From EM 2012—Group D Preview:

 3) No Frank Lampard

Related imageUh-oh. News of this just broke yesterday. Though he generally stays back in midfield, Lampard has a knack for cherry-picking opportunities. His speed, passing ability, and superb pitch vision will be sorely missed. He’s one of the greatest Englishmen playing currently. Despite his reputation as a stay-at-home midfielder, he scored 16 goals and doled out 10 assists this season. He’s tallied 23 times for the national team. The roster spot now belongs to Liverpool’s Jordan Henderson, with James Milner likely to take Lampard’s place. Milner lacks Lampard’s mobility and gusto. I’ve watched him shuffle his hulking frame around, seemingly doing his best to be a non-factor in the match for three Premiership Clubs now. He failed win me over at Aston Villa, Newcastle, and finally Man City. Physically he looks as if he should be every bit as celebrated as Steven Gerrard. Somehow he just fails to inspire.

Editor’s retroactive notes:

Props to Milner, who didn’t do a bad job filling in after all. Still, one must conclude that Barry and Lampard might have precluded yet another debilitating knockout-round exit via penalties. Even if the pair aren’t especially known for being the strongest boots on the Isle, a dearth of leadership certainly played a role in this country’s demise. 

Tunisia—“The Eagles of Carthage”

Shirt badge/Association crestThey always find a way to punch through to the knockouts in the African Continental Championship, but have never escaped their group in four trips to the Global Competition. Might as well make it five here as they’ve gotten even worse than their uninspiring last incarnation. An unbeaten qualifying campaign gives one hope, but the losses of Yousef Msakni and Aymen Abdennour loom large. The Tunisians had their fair share of issues even before that. They never played very exciting football to begin with. Now Nabil Maaloul has to frankenstein the lineup and this bookie honestly hates the look of this stitched up monster. Ugh. Don’t back this team if you value your purse.

After Ahmed Akaichi fell out of favor with the new management team, Saber Khalifa assumed sole responsibility for the offensive initiative. It quickly became clear that he wasn’t up to the task, necessitating call-ups for domestic league players Anice Badri, Ghailene Chaalali, and Taha Khenissi. Fakhereddine Ben Yousef is still around pitching in where he can.

These plug-ins have generated goals, but it what they don’t endanger is any real fear of a creative forward impetus. At present the only source from whence genuine danger in the attacking third can spring remains the spirited captain of the team. Sunderland’s Wahbi Khazri spoke well with his feet this season, turning in eleven total tallies on loan to French Side Rennes. He’s spoken even more emphatically with his mouth on more than one occasion. Khazri all but guarantees that his team will exceed everyone’s expectations.

He possesses the talent to back up such talk. This bookie will go so far as to project that he’ll even start at striker. It’s the only solution I see. The other lads simply aren’t ready. He might prove a good fit for the position, knowing his tendency to run too hard in midfield leave himself gassed too early.

Khazri’s move up front, coupled with the Mskani injury, leaves Sliti in need of a partner. I’ll slot in the increasing desperate Srarfi. He needs a huge tournament to get his career back on track. Ben Amor and Sassi cover roughly half of Khazri’s former ground while Ali Maaoul moves in to the centerback position to watch over the rest. Ousssama Haddadi takes over at Left Back with plenty of space to do his thing.

Hmmm…no. Not happening. Can’t talk myself into this team. Can’t trust them. Don’t get suckered in.

 Projecting the Tunisian Lineup (4-4-2) 

        Wahbi Khazri  Saber Kalifa        
          Bassem Srarfi Naim Sliti
       M.A. Ben Amor  Ferjani Sassi  
 Oussama Haddadi          Hamdi Nagguez
           Ali Maaoul  S. B. Youssef
                   Farouk Mustapha

 The Talisman—Wahbi Khazri 

Image result for wahbi Khazri smallThe last man standing after all the injuries and reshuffling, it’s long past time for him to evolve as a player. He’s always had the fancy footwork to compete as a forward, not to mention the speed and height to serve as a worthy target man. Should he manage to carry his late-season form into this tournament, he’ll become a standard name in football circles.  




 “A Syndicate Classic—Litany of Letdowns”

Editor’s Retroactive Notes:
The Carthaginians have received ample coverage in the AFCON Chapters. For the most part this oddsmaker briefly talks himself into them, then talks himself out, then gets mired in regret. Something like that.

Here are some selections:

From CAN 2013—Quarterfinals

 Tunisia

Exhale, exhale, exhale. For the first time since 1992, we’ve got a FULLY SUB-SAHARAN CAN Knockout Phase. As we prepare to undertake a brief flit through my personal journey from jitters to joy, I welcome you the EIGHTH installment of “Your friendly bookie doesn’t much care to expend too much energy on North Africa”.

From the CAN 2013 Introductory Section:

“Well, well. If it isn’t my old nemesis: The Eagles of Carthage.”

….

When first evaluating the roster, I had high hopes that the reds wouldn’t advance. Regrettably, the immediate reaction to that cursory glance turned out to be quite erroneous. Sure their midfielders are young and untested….but that doesn’t necessarily mean that they’re unproven.

….

So we have an experienced midfield, a veteran defensive corps, and…..Islaam Jemaa is still playing?

CAN 2013….

Gritting my teeth as I say this, but the Tunisians might just advance out of the group.

FROM CAN 2013—“Round One”:

It’s the battle of the Berbers! Two North African states duel some 9,000 miles from their usual sandpit. For every goal scored, we’ll see an extra minute of injury time. These footballers have to pray, after all.

FROM CAN 2013—“Round Three”:

“Hahahahaha. DIE! DIE you indolent bastards.”

Whew. What a relief. With any luck Sierra Leone, Equatorial Guinea, and Cape Verde will ensure that I won’t have to write about this team again next summer. Er…wait a second. Those three countries once more? Dammit. I’m screwed. The dominant Eagles of Carthage are off to an epic start, beating the everlasting shit out of that creampuff group. They’ll be back next Summer whether your bookie likes it or not. Fuck me.

Editor’s retroactive notes:

….or maybe not! Les Indomitables ran roughshod over them in the final qualifying leg! The once proud Eagles of Carthage have now failed to qualify for two consecutive World Cups and cycled through three head coaching changes in the last year alone. Catch the downward spiral.

From CAN 2015—Semi-Finals

 7th Place—Tunisia

Sweet crucified and crying Jesus! What the hell happened? For those of you who missed it, the hosts were awarded an absolutely unforgivable penalty in the third minute of injury time. Horrible officiating enabled the one-time Real Madrid prospect to grab a brace with an admittedly brilliant free kick in the 102nd minute. It still wasn’t fair.

2015The unsportsmanlike behavior of the Tunisians after the controversial call absolutely warrants financial sanction, but the “Eagles of Carthage” deserve to feel hard done by. CAF has suspended the match referee for good reason. He blew it. Terrible call. Atrocious judgment.

Akaichi did his job and his team should have punched through to their first semi-final in eleven years. This was to be their year. Esteban Becker assembled a fine team. Akaichi, Mskani, and Chickhaoui crushed it with their performances.

Sheiße! Always a pity when overwhelmingly shitty officiating gets in the way ; ( ; (  

From CAN 2017—Round Two:

 16 Tunisia

What the floppin-wop was that? Sloppy and outright stupid. So much the Carthage crew making it through the “Group of Death”. As it appeared to your friendly bookie, Kasperozak deployed the dreaded “False-9 Formation”. Difficult to ascertain with as the Tunisians were clearly making even more in-match tactical tinkering than the Algerians.

For the most part, however, it looked as if Ahmed Akaichi spent most of the match “pocketed”. What? True he’s failed to catch fire with domestic clubs since he left the Bundesliga, but possesses far too much raw talent to work 18 yards deep. Let the man work!

Horrible marking on set pieces, utter disorientation from the back four, and a general sense that the midfielders have nothing to offer other than endless triangulation passes. Done and done. Kasperozak doesn’t have really have any options other than grizzled veterans in his Kader. Your friendly bookie is prepared to write them of right here right now.

Nothing I saw bodes well for their next fixture. The “Desert Derby” will be won by the Algerians.

From CAN 2017—Round Three

 6) Tunisia

(Previously #16)

CAN 2017Always a pleasure to be proven dead wrong. The “Desert Derby” defied my prognostications fully, even if there was some luck involved. Mathlouthi weathered the initial storm well, enabling his outfielders to take control of the tempo and force a stalemate. Nagguez’s ambition deserves plaudits, but the keeper deserves most of the credit for shutting down all of the early chances from the Fennecs.

Auspicious Scheduling means the Eagles will likely punch through, but we’re still not dealing with a convincing team here. The flukish own goal almost defied physics. The so-called “penalty against Ghoulam” was a textbook example of a well-sold “Wop-Flop” after minimal next-to-nothing contact. Khazri executed the “clever play”.

Not feeling this team. Cheating is never acceptable. Though they’ll likely best the Warriors, they should prove doormats cometh the real challenge.

From CAN 2017—Semi-Finals:

 8th Place—Tunisia

Knew I couldn’t trust this team. It was always something. A wretched inability to deliver quality crosses. Failure to establish proper midfield rhythm. Cynical flailing simulation from players like Youseef Msakni, Naim Sliti, Aymen Abdennour, and Ferjani Sassi. Though the free-kick gifted to Bancé that ultimately ended up killing this team wasn’t exactly fair, neither was the routinely shifty play from Hamdi Nagguez, the deplorably cheap challenges from Yacoubi, or the unforgiveable attempts at the “clever Wop-Flop” from Wahib Khazri! Poetic justice was served. Take a closer look at Nagguez’s insanely flagrant shirt tug on Issoufou Dayo if you’re not convinced! Kharma comes home.

We bid farewell to the “Carthage Cats” for the fifth time in Syndicate History. In both WM Years they never made it past the Group Stage. In both AFCONs, they were eliminated in the Quarters. Plenty of sympathy was in order for them after a poor-officiated elimination back in 2015. No such empathy is deserved this time. This was a bad team that played bad football.

Khazri looked gassed throughout the entire competition. Msakni seems to have lost quite a bit. Akaichi and Sliti were….somewhat difficult to phrase…they were “nowhere”. That’s all I can say.

Qualification for 2018 shouldn’t prove too hard. Kasperczak, likely to be retained, has an unwritten obligation to present us with a squad capable of playing more attractive and honorable football.

Panama—“Los Caneleros”

Image result for Panama national football team crest smallWelcome, Syndicate Debutantes! Can’t wait to see fans the rabid fans in the stands, proudly waving their quad-quadrant Banderas for as long as luck and circumstance will allow. Their unforeseen qualification actually wasn’t a fluke.  A grand engineer built, structured and directed a well-balanced team. International football enthusiasts recall the name Hernan Gomez; a Colombian Manager once famous for leading both his native country and Ecuador to the World Cup Finals. “El Bolillo”, as he is sometimes called, currently renders a largely unknown footballing commodity even more mysterious. He’s opted to leave most of the veteran architects responsible for this team’s improbable run at home.  Roberto Nurse, Rolando Blackburn, and Ricardo Buitrago all didn’t survive the final cut.

Gomez does retain two “old-pro” strikers in Blas Perez and Gabriel Torres. Difficult to envision how precisely he’ll wish to use them or even if he plans on starting them. Also coming along for the ride are young emerging talents like Ismael Diaz and Abdiel Arroyo. The latter showed us glimpses of his potential with a breathtaking finish in the Copa America Centenario. The former merits a very close look. The former can’t seem to really establish himself on the reserve squads of Portuguese and Spanish Clubs, but merits a very close look.

For now, this bookie projects Diaz helming the attack with Perez and Torres close behind. Gomez has brought two more very young developing talents with him for his midfield kader. Ricardo Avila and Jose Luis Rodriguez, Youth Academy stars for Gent in the Belgian League, have only been capped a combined seven times for country. Either one of them might earn a place in the starting eleven when Gomez decides to go for broke. Careers are defined in this tournament. Coaches love to furnish an opportunity for truly hungry players.

The most exciting novel prospect in defense is the itinerant, and somewhat inauspiciously named, Fidel Escobar. He may be forced into a midfield starting role with Alberto Quintero out injured. Sort of a “make-or-break” tournament for him as his sluggish development keeps seeing him demoted to MLS B-Teams. He’ll also relish a chance to shine.

As hard as it is to fathom, the Canal Men remain, statistically speaking, only the fourth-worst-ranked team in the competition. That sadly won’t translate to a 28th Place Finish. Not in this Group.

Don’t shy away from high lines as there will be blowouts.      

 Projecting the Panamanian Lineup (4-3-3) 

                    Ismael Diaz
      Blas Perez          Gabriel Torres
V. Pimentel  G. Gomez    A. Godoy
Erik Davis                       M.A. Murillo      
        Felipe Baloy  Roman Torres
                   Jaime Penedo

 The Talisman—Roman Torres 

Image result for roman torres smallA traditional centerback with a hulking gladiator-like build, Torres is the man responsible for the electrifying goal that placed the Isthmus-ers in the tournament. All of its citizens earned a presidentially-decreed National Holiday thanks to him. He never quite got on the radar of European scouts, but found a steady home anchoring the defense for the Sounders in MLS. A solid tackler with adroit sweeping instincts, he’s freed up to have some fun in this tournament. No pressure when your name is already immortalized in the eyes of your countrymen ; ) 




 “A Syndicate Classic—Brazilian Baseball”

Editor’s Retroactive Notes:
Some discussion of this country in the five WMQ Qualifying Sections, but little substantive about the hitherto unknown CONCACAF Isthmusers. Even went back to the WBC Chapter in the hopes that there might have been something about Vincente Padilla there. Nada.

Oh well. Might as well re-post something from the Syndicate’s “Lost Episode”. Insane that we once wagered on this tournament…and that we had some fun whilst doing so!

From WBC 2013—Syndicate Reloaded:

 Brazil (Overall Winning Odds 10-1)

Former owner of the Texas Rangers, and current nude self-portrait painting ex-President George W. Bush, once infamously conceded that he had no idea there were blacks in Brazil. Ostensibly, had he known a little more about the world he was placed in charge of leading, he might have been a better President.

Former owner of the Little League Phillies Fantasy Baseball Club and current nude typing enthusiast Vice now concedes that he had no idea there was baseball in Brazil. Ostensibly, had he known a little more about the “sport” he was covering, he might be a better writer?

Brazil? Who the sura-del-bundaing fuck plays baseball in Brazil? That wasn’t even in that god-awful Albert Brooks movie! We did not see Brazil in 2006 and 2009, for the simple reason that there was no qualifying round, 16 teams were pre-selected, and the Brazilian team featured a goat at third base.

WBC 2013Everything changed when the IBAF invited the Samba Nine to participate. The Brazilian Baseball Federation hired none other than Cincinnati hall of fame shortstop Barry Larkin to sculpt a credible club. He made a mockery out of those minimalist expectations, upsetting two Latin American countries with well-established baseball traditions: Panama and Columbia. Twice Larkin’s lads eked out one run victories against the Panamanians. Additionally, they massacred Columbia in a 7-1 rout that made no sense whatsoever.

Okay…perhaps it makes a little sense. Granted, ten of the players on the Brazilian roster are currently signed to major league contracts. However, all of them play on the lowest levels of the farm systems. Until last year, no Brazilian had ever made it to the show. That changed when utility infielder earned an early season call-up to the Bigs last year.

One must admit that baseball looks about ready to break in the football mad nation. Japanese immigrants introduced baseball to Brazil in the 1920s. Shut out of the countries like Australia, South Africa, and the States due to racist immigration policies, hundreds of thousands of Japanese emigrated to Brazil, mostly to earn cash as coffee plantation laborers. Today, an estimated 1.5 million Brazilians are of Japanese descent. It remains less than one percent of the population, yet still significant enough to constitute the largest Japanese population outside Japan.

Accordingly, the, Brazilian baseball team is roughly half Latin and half Nippon. That’s a promising mixture! Over seventy-five percent of their players play in the top two baseball nations in the world. True, with most of them working their way up through the American minors and Japanese industrial league, they cannot accurately be described as ready for primetime just yet. Nevertheless, we’ve plenty to behold down the road. The Japanese and Brazilians have the potential to concoct wonderful things when they fuse….

“Things” like Sabrina Sato:


…..or Danielle Suzuki



Vicey’s Fearless Group Prediction (Straight Up Odds for bookie)

 1) Belgium
 2) England
 3) Tunisia
 4) Panama

Overall Championship Odds

  Belgium (2 to1)
  England (6 to 1)
  Tunisia (25 to 1)
  Panama (100 to 1)

Round of 16 Odds

  Belgium (NO BETS)
  England (NO BETS)
  Tunisia (2 to 1)
  Panama (10 to 1)

Quarterfinal Odds

  Belgium (NO BETS)
  England (2 to 1)
  Tunisia (8 to 1)
  Panama (30 to 1)

Semifinal Odds

  Belgium (NO BETS)
  England (4 to 1)
  Tunisia (18 to 1)

  Panama (75 to 1)