Sunday, June 3, 2018

WM 2018--Group E Preview

Introduction—“Tight Tactics, Low Scorelines, and Brazil”

WM 2018(Brazil, Switzerland, Serbia, Costa Rica)

        

Loads of defensive-minded teams in this group means you can be forgiven for skipping matches not involving the Brazilian Juggernaut. 

Neymar & Co. should steamroll over the over-priced and over-promoted Ticos on June 22nd.  Clear your schedule for that one if possible. Complete pulverization of the group’s other two competing countries remains possible too. Yes…they’re that good this time.

Otherwise I’ll augur that we’ll get a few stinkers here. It’s bound to happen. Dusting off the “Football Apologist’s Handbook” and staying at the ready. The Serbs look set to utilize one of the weirdest ultra-compact 4-5-1s I’ve ever seen. It’s a bloody Slavic Stranglehold. The Swiss often keep it tight too and have every reason to withhold most of their energy for a tough bout in the elimination rounds. As hinted above, just don’t see Costa Rica replicating their improbable breach from 2014. A few minor upgrades won’t be enough here.

Devoted Krautness forced your friendly bookie to employ laser-like focus on the tactical trends of these teams. I’m previewing Germany’s Round of 16 Opponent, after all. ;)

I actually fear the Swiss the most. How ironic. Will the bookie’s “Classic Classless” ravings come back to haunt him? We’ll find out on July 3rd. The Serbs, who actually upset my beloved Nationalmannschaft during 2010’s Group Stage, scare only slightly. I reiterate that the Ticos are going to get blown out of the water. Proudly don your “Pura Vida” shirt out to the bar, but don’t wager on them.

As always I reserve the right to be dead wrong about everything, proudly admitting if any members collect on me. I’ll set the over/under on total goals scored in this group at 14; a tantalizing special. Syndicate Member 56-M loves his early Prop Bets. You’re welcome, sir. ; )

Great news for Brazilian fans. You’ve assembled your best team since 2002. The long national nightmare is over. The road to redemption will be swift and satisfying, I do believe we can officially bid farewell to the infamous “Bawling Brazilian Boys”. Goodbye forever, kiddos. Oh child, things are gonna get easier. Oh child, things will be brighter

Image result for brazil vs. germany crying kid  










Image result for brazil vs. germany crying kid











Awww……it’s okay kiddies. No more “Teuton Bombs” for you ; )      

Brazil—“A Selecao”

Shirt badge/Association crestRestocked, reloaded and ready, it’s fair to consider the Samba Kings favorites to finally claim their sixth star. The great joy of welcoming this country back into the fold each Summer is that one always invariably gets to meet an entirely new team. Always a treat. That’s what happens when a country’s talent pool runs deeper than the soulful grooves of Wilson Simonal. Oh yeah. They sure as shit better have been rebuilt after that 2014 trip to Onkel Jürgen’s Woodshed. Since then they’ve been coping with the disastrous consequences of the second “Dunga Era”. Not quite sure what the CBF was thinking there, but a horrendous start to qualifying and a Group Stage exit from the 2016 Copa America Centenario proved enough to get rid of a manager no one really believed in from the start.   

Names you won’t hear called anymore include Oscar, Hulk, Dani Alvez, Bernard, Jo, Maicon, Luiz Gustavo, Dante, Maxwell, and Henrique. The merciful Lord has also chosen to spare us amateur priest David Luiz after his on-pitch benediction minutes prior to the German dismantling fell upon deaf ears. Sorry, David. Prayer doesn’t work that way, or indeed in any way. Germans have a way of reminding you of that.

Willian, Thiago Silva, Fernandinho, and (shockingly) Marcelo return. That’s about it. You might recognize the name “Fred”, but this happens to be a different “Fred”. Don’t go confusing “Old Fred” (Frederico Chaves Guedo) with “New Fred” (Frederico Rodrigues de Paulos Santos). Thankfully “MLS Fred” (Helbert Frederico Carreiro da Silva) won’t be called up to the National Side ever and ManU’s “Fred the Red” won’t be making the trip.  

Dammit. Now I have E-Rotic’s “Fred Come to Bed” stuck in my head. Best to purge that quickly with unmentionable activities

Moving on, brining in experienced manager Tite immediately produced results. He immediately relieved Neymar of the burdensome captaincy and started rotating the armband. He got in-form players like Phillipe Coutinho, Roberto Firminho, and Paulinho back on the squad. He rebuilt the back four around stalwarts like Danilo, Fillipe Luis, and Miranda. Since taking charge, the Brazilians have gone on a nearly two-year unbeaten run on the bounce. They’ve even reclaimed the top FIFA and the World Football Elo rankings throughout most of it. (Occasionally they trade places with the Germans if it matters)

The attack looks good and scary. A plethora of expertise means we’ll witness some rotation Gabriel Jesus and Roberto Firmino are coming off Rockstar Club Campaigns for Man City and Liverpool. Neymar himself just racked up another 28 tallies for PSG in an injury-shortened season. Bayern man Douglas Costa hasn’t the greatest statistical year on loan to Juventus, but he’ll make his presence known amongst these hombres.

No need for Willian, Fernandinho, or Renato Augusto in midfield. Barça teammates Coutinho and Paulinho can prowl the edge of the box just fine. Should opportunities be found wanting, the above-mentioned tenacious trio threatens to come off a deep bench. Marcelo isn’t a natural right back, but Danilo or Fagner can step in for him if need be.

They’ll top the group easily. They’ll contend for the title. They still fall just short of being this bookie’s surprise pick to win it all. You’ll meet them in a subsequent post.

 Projecting the Brazilian Lineup (4-4-2) 

                 Neymar      Gabriel Jesus            
Roberto Firminho                Douglas Costa    
            P. Coutinho        Paulinho                           
 Fillipe Luis                               Marcelo                     
              Thiago Silva  Miranda
                           Alisson        

 The Talisman—Neymar Jr. 

Image result for neymar jr small psgWho else? The injury was actually rather auspiciously timed. He’s back, rested, and ready to show off the “prime-of-his-life” skills. Place him behind both Cristiano Ronaldo and Messi in the race for the best of this Generation, but there’s still plenty o’ time to catch up.  





 “A Syndicate Classic—Find your Magic”

Editor’s Retroactive Notes:
I remain adamant that everyone get out and enjoy this tournament. Yes, Stateside Syndicate Members. That’s why I’ve been phoning you up and tenaciously insisting. Europeans need no reminder, even when their team isn’t in the tournament. Don’t miss out! The game’s always on somewhere. It’s such a wonderful chance to witness history alongside some genuinely interesting people.

Everyone turns out for the Beautiful Global Game. They all come out. A magical mid-Summer’s Eves await you. Demonstrate some basic football literacy and you’re in on the conversation. Celebrate together with the color-clad fans and you’ll likely make some new friends. Maybe you’ll even get a chance to dance with a pretty girl. You only live once people, and when you’re dead you’re done forever. No magical “Land of Milk and Honey” awaits you after you expire. If it’s milk and honey you’re after, it must be found on this earth, in this life, preferably in THIS moment.

Might be the case that we won’t behold another spectacular Summer Football Festival for EIGHT full years. The 2022 World Cup in Qatar will take place in Winter. Ugh. For those of us still alive in 2026, the tournament and football in general may be unrecognizable. Look how much it’s evolved over the past 88 years.

Catch the WM Fever. You’ll never know when and if you’ll get another chance.

WM 2014 The following selection was written long before Walk the Moon’s “Shut up and Dance with Me” became an official Summer Hit. Back in 2014, Carly Rae Jepsen happened to still count—sort of— as a topical reference. Your friendly bookie practically presaged the former. I’ll take the credit for getting it right then. Hope you guys get it right now.

Er…apologies but the phot of the old man doing the tango wasn’t of high enough quality for a re-post.  We’ll throw in the intro from Group H just to compensate ; )        

From WM 2014—Day Six Recap:

Viva la Südstadt Syndicate Members,

My sincere thanks to all the lovely Brazilian ladies of a rockin’ little ethnic bar ironically named “Valhalla”! What a fantastically turbocharged evening! We may not have got any goals but we sang, we danced, we cheered, and then we danced some more. This is what it’s all about Syndicate Members. It’s written the following emphasis no fewer than 237 times all throughout the 12-year-history of the Syndicate, but let’s go for 240:

HANG OUT WITH AS MANY INTERNATIONALS AS YOU CAN!

HANG OUT WITH AS MANY INTERNATIONALS AS YOU CAN!

HANG OUT WITH AS MANY INTERNATIONALS AS YOU CAN!

We’re just getting started. Go find a Spanish bar tonight and cheer along with the La Roja enthusiasts. Grab a pretty girl and give her a twirl on the dance floor. Sing “Ole Ole” until you lose your voice. It’s the World Cup, gentlemen. It’s Summer. It’s MAGIC.

Your friendly bookie initially sat in a corner scribbling in his notebook as usual. That didn’t last long. As it turns out, Brazilian women are even more direct than Spanish ones. A striking beauty soon sauntered over and literally grabbed him by the hand.

Day Six Recap (1)“Hey there handsome. How about you put down the notebook and come dance with me?”

How could I refuse? A tip to all of the zero women reading this: That line….ALWAYS WORKS. YOU CANNOT LOSE. See something you like? TAKE IT. It’s yours. His stare was holding. Ripped jeans. Skin was showing. Hot night. Wind was blowing. WHERE YOU THINK YOU’RE GOIN’ BABY?

Employ the “Carly Rae Jepsen Maneuver”. It’s not crazy. You’re crazy if you don’t try it at least once. I assure you that your chances of success are 100 percent. Never in the history of the human race has that line not worked. Sometime in the early Holocene Epoch Ooga this Cavegirl found Grog the Hunter concentrating entirely too hard on his cave paintings. She walked over to him, struck him on the head with a club, and said,

“You stop working. Me have breasts.”

It’s worked ever since.

Vicey gets it……DEAD WRONG?

Yeah…..it’s about time we officially retire this segment. There simply isn’t enough time. There are so many things more worthy of my attention (kids, girls, beers). If anyone’s interested in knowing how often I get it wrong….it’s damn often. Just like anyone else. We humans get shit dead wrong every…fucking…day.

Someone who got it right last night was my 63-year-old father. The man is far from finished. Your friendly bookie wasn’t the only one dancing the night away yesterday eve. Check out the Old Man doing the Tango!!

From WM 2014—Group H Preview:

We find ourselves less than 96 hours from kickoff, less than 72 hours from uttering the sacred phrase, and less than 48 hours away from full activation of syndicate communication channels with your friendly bookie. Not to mention, IT’S SUMMER PEOPLE! Take a stroll outside. The temperature rises and the girls aren’t even attempting to cover up.

Even those with zero interest in football can certainly appreciate warm weather, outdoor seating, and scantily clad chicas. Girls in their summer clothes pass you by….


GIRLS IN THEIR SUMMER CLOTHES!!

….Everyone needs to go out and get laid tonight. EVERYONE! That’s an order, gentlemen!! ; )

We fittingly close the preview sections with the tournament’s unprecedented THIRD group of life. The Belgians have long been the consensus pick for the tournament’s Cinderella. The Algerians and Russians are nevertheless strong contenders. The South Koreans have reached their nadir in terms of FIFA’s international rankings. That doesn’t mean this bookkeeper has any intention of discounting them.

Let’s roll. After all, we all have to go out and get laid tonight, don’t we?

Switzerland—“Die Schweizer Nati”

Shirt badge/Association crestBosnian Maestro Vladimir Petkovic continues to build bold squads. As in 2016, he’s shown no hesitation in pitching otherwise experienced players currently in weak form. This year’s casualty is former Leverkusen striker Ahmed Mehdi, who didn’t even survive the initial round of cuts. Timm Klose, Fabian Frei, and Eren Derdiyok also got jettisoned early on. Petkovic has three more players to axe by midnight tonight. It’s possible he’s even already cut Djourou, Drmic, or Embolo. We’ll find out tomorrow.  

So many puerile rants have been written about the Swiss in this Sportsbook over the years. Much of it stems from their tendency to take up valuable place in these tournaments when we all know that they’ve no hope of making it past the Round of 16. It’s intolerably cruel how they throw a more interesting team out of the mix simply to serve as predictably boring cannon fodder for a larger program. Don’t consider this some cheap excuse not to exert too much energy on them.

It’s true and it suuuucks. It happens EVERY damned time.

In 1994 they edged the Americans out of their group…..just so the Spanish could immediately de-pants them 3-nil. In 2006 they eliminated the South Koreans thanks to disgraceful officiating…only to give us a woefully wretched nil-nil fixture against the Ukrainians which even featured a sleep-inducing shootout. Ecuador or Honduras could have furnished some entertaining football against the Argentines in 2014. But, no. Of course not. We had to make room for the Swiss and 120 minutes of forgettable frustration. Even the Poland match in Euro 2016 felt like it was 119 minutes too long after the Shaqiri Goal. The Albanians or Romanians could have surely done better.

It’s all set up for the same result here, though your friendly bookie will need to curl up in a fetal position and sob solemnly for a solid thirty minutes if they buck the trend and beat the Germans. I’ll spend what space I have left on this section preparing for that possibility.

This year’s Nati feature a fine assemblage of forwards; enough to induce some slight tremors. I’ll project that they’ll opt for the same 4-2-3-1 that we’ve seen in previous tournaments and the friendlies. Xhaka or Drmic can used about anywhere. Either Seferovic or Zakaria would work up front. For now, I’ll place the Benfica man on the apex and move Xhaka down to the base. That appears the most effective way of making use of the former’s current finishing ability and the latter’s sniper skills.

Shaqiri’s counterpart on the right makes a huge difference. Lichtsteiner can’t support the right flank in the same way Rodriguez will, creating a huge balance deficit. Behrami and Gelson Fernandez have not worked well in that capacity and Drmic would look all out of sorts. I’ll go out on a limb and say that Breel Embolo’s time has arrived. He’s struggled with injury since joining Schalke, but made a fine comeback this year. Love his composed dribbling. Zakaria fits well there too. I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see either one of the African-born youngsters make a quantum leap this tournament.

Piece it all together and you’ve got a quality national eleven, one that could absolutely make the Quarterfinals. I’m also very impressed with the development of Gladbach’s centerback Nico Elvedi. I think he’s likely beat out the flailing veteran Jonathan Djourou for the starting nod.

Fully expect to learn tomorrow that Djourou will be the last piece of dead weight cut. ; )      

 Projecting the Nati Lineup (4-2-3-1) 

                     Harris Seferovic 
Xerdhan Shaqiri               Breel Embolo
                      Granit Xhaka
      Blerim Dzemalli    Valon Behrami
R.  Rodriguez  N. Elvedi  F. Schär S. Lichtsteiner        
                      Yann Sommer                      

 The Talisman—Xerdhan Shaqiri 

Image result for xherdan shaqiriI know, I know. Not exactly a stellar season for a relegated side. Looking back, it would have much behooved him to continue his career over at Bayern. Following his sparkling performance in the 2014 campaign, it looked like he could succeed just about anywhere. Alas, the Premiership has a way of humbling even the most magical of dwarfs. He’s still the one set to make or break this team. The diminutive Kosovar still has plenty of magic left in him, and he’s looking for a new club too.

Don’t forget that goal against Everton, or Euro 2016’s “Goal of the Tournament”. ; )  





 “A Syndicate Classic—Ottmar Hitzfeld meets Shakira”

Editor’s Retroactive Notes:
The oddest pairing since “Napalm and Silly Putty”. Sorry to perversely infect anyone’s mind with a sexual visualization. Unintentional I assure you. Somehow these two keep popping up in the Syndicate.

For the uninitiated, old man Hitzfeld was given a fine sendoff in the last WM. We all wish the one of the great German “Football Generals” a pleasant retirement. Watching what he was able to achieve tactically with the Swiss was delightful. Our World Cup Queen be doing both the opening and closing ceremonies. She’s also still doing “Gerard Pique”, so we can expect plenty of candid shots or her in the stands.     

Shakira returns…again…with yet ANOTHER WM Song. She’s now officially the official “Global Soccer Songstress”. Christ we can’t get rid of her. After the ridiculous success of 2010’s “Waka, Waka”, the Brazilian tournament adopted “La-la-la” readily. We’ll have to wait for the new one. Online rumors and hoaxes abound.

Anyways, here’s some random ramblings on both of them.

From WM 2014—Group E Preview

What does one make of group in which the Swiss are the highest ranked country? One makes another “Group of Life”, of course. Seriously, the Swiss? The “Goat Herders”? The “Alpine Assholes”? THE SWISS? No way. Your friendly bookie isn’t having any of it. Someone sound our time-honored alarm:

We go BLAH!

(alpine horn)

We go BLAH!

German General Ottmar Hitzfeld has assembled a team every bit as boring as a trip to the Gruyelles Cheese-Processing Factory. Like the great Swiss medical student Victor Frankenstein, he’s once again stitched together a patchwork of human refuse to create a hulking, slow moving, hideously ugly monster that clumsily destroys everything it its path.

WM 2014Okay that last part isn’t entirely accurate. I think Frankenstein was a biologist.

The Swiss aren’t exactly welcoming of immigrants except as pertains to their football team. Strikers Drmic, Seferovic, and Gavronovic are all of Bosnian descent. Captain Gökhan Inker is a Turk. Midfield stars Granit Xhaka, Blerim Dzemali, and Xerdhan Shaqiri are all Albanians. Three Africans and a Spaniard are also among “Hitzfeld’s Heroes”.

The Swiss out-diversify the Germans in this tournament. As we shall see in a few days’ time, the immigrant character of Die Mannschaft sadly fades away. ; (: ( The Swiss coasted through qualifying mostly thanks to goals from Xhaka, Inler, and Shaqiri, though homegrown boys Fabian Schär and Tranquilo Barnetta pitched in too. Barnetta and Gelson Fernandez are the most notable holdover from the 2010 side that couldn’t get out of the group after drawing with Honduras. Both appear to have lost their starting spots/ Von Bergen, Senderos, Benaglio, Inler, and even Drmic were on that side, but none started regularly or featured prominently.

Many recognizable Swiss names are either retired or no longer in Hitzfeld’s line of sight. Midfield mainstay Benjamin Huggel announced his retirement on the day the Swiss were eliminated in South Africa. So did defender Lugovich Magnin Former team captain and all-time leading scorer Alexander Frei withdrew from international competition after being regularly heckled by Swiss fans in 2011. Talismanic veteran Hakin Yakin hung up his cleats shortly thereafter. Defender Stephane Grichting followed suit. Fullback Mario Eggiman fell out of Hitzfeld’s favor. Ditto attackers Pirim Schwegler, Eren Derdiyok, and Albert Bunjaku.

The German legend thus trots out a starting eleven comprised of ten outfielders, none of whom have scored a goal in meaningful international competition. The aforementioned Gelson Fernandez (Cape Verdian by birth) tallied in Switzerland’s stunning scalp of Spain in 2010, but it appears he’s lost his job to Herta left-winger Valentin Stocker for now. Bullied by the press, this new generation of Swiss footballs insist they’re ready for the big time. We shall see.

From WM 2014—Day Four Recap

I may be running on less than two hours of sleep, but the football fever of my beloved country helps me hold my own. Had to hit the road this morning and head out to the country. Luckily (in between Shakira songs) German Radio reminded me that “Jetzt geht’s endlich los”! An entire country prepares for one helluva party.

By the way, I have two distinct thoughts on the Shakira songs blared out at me by my car radio this morning. First, on “Wherever, Whenever” she actually sings the line “lucky for my breasts they’re small and humble so you don’t confuse them with mountains.” ……What? Excuse me? You can’t fucking be serious.

Secondly, someone was seriously running out of ideas when composing the “Don’t Bother” ballad. It’s a standard little ditty about a scorned woman lamenting her old flame’s new lover. The shunned girl reminds the man that his new girl can’t give him what she can. There’s invariably a line about how she gives better head or something. Eventually the girl summons her inner-strength and makes peace with her current situation. Blah, blah, blah. Pretty much every female vocalist is contractually obligated to sing one of these songs at some point.

The Shakira version, however, gets downright weird. Her home wrecking bitch is “the greatest fat free cook”, “speaks perfect French”, and “practices Tai-Chi”. That’s one seriously worldly home wrecker! When it comes time for her to break down and directly address her ex-man via a spoken-word interlude, Shakira tells him,

“For you I’d give up everything I own and move to a communist country
 I’d file my nails so they don’t hurt you, lose those pounds, and learn about football”

Baby….I don’t think you’re quite getting what men are interested in. I don’t need you to cook me fat-free meals (though I wouldn’t mind a sandwich!). You don’t need to relocate to North Korea or memorize tactical formations. Let your nails grow and carry some extra pounds if it suits you. I merely want what every man needs: Some occasional peace and quiet. It’s really that simple, ladies. Just leave your man alone sometimes. He’ll be content.

Enough of that. We’ll hear plenty more about Shakira when Gerald Pique touches the ball again. That’s how we get the old brain into first gear on a sleep deprived Monday Morning….and we did it all before the kids woke up! On to last night’s matches….

Serious oscillations with respect to your bookies personal finances. The wretched Swiss took a sizeable bite out of my black. Never came close to dipping into the red but it was still profoundly irritating. The slow-starting Froggies and dogged B & H Lillies brought it all back. Asante sana, my two blue-clad heroes.

Image result for Ottmar Hitzfeld squint smallOh those damn Swiss! Hitzfeld’s plan worked out after all. The old wayfarer still has some spunk left, even if he’s turning into a “squintier” old fart than Clint Eastwood. Seriously. The man’s eyes appear to be retreating into the back of his skull like a couple of spooked French cockroaches. He’s turning Japanese!

Anyway, all was going according to plan right up through the first half. Rueda rolled out the 4-4-2 with Caicedo as the target forward and E. Valencia as the rover. Lichtsteiner and von Bergen were defending sloppily. Drmic couldn’t get established. The Valencia goal arrived courtesy of some abhorrently bad marking from HSV centerback Johan Djourou. I’ve no clue why Schär didn’t start. It’s one thing to bench Senderos, but why employ a converted midfielder?

Ottmar’s halftime adjustment was spot on. Mehmedi for Stocker. Perfect. The Freiburg man had the equalizer within two minutes. The second substitution yielded the second goal. Seferovic for Drmic in the 75th. Ingenious.

Serbia—“The White Eagles”

Shirt badge/Association crestA lame name may very well supply us with some lame game. The loads of offensive talent on this side never seems to play the vim and vigor their club form would suggest. Mighty confusing if one asks this bookie. The Balkan Boys and their National Football Association actually appear confused with respect to a wide-range of matters; from the most docile presentation of a name/crest to the curious moves they’ve been making management-wise. The sacking of highly experienced veteran coach Slavoljub Muslin after a celebrated qualifying campaign made little sense. The controversial former Red Star Belgrade player and trainer does have a reputation of being something of an irascible control freak, but it was till an unexpected and potentially damaging midstream move.  

None of this may fundamentally matter as Mladen Krstajic, a name familiar to fans of Schalke and Werder, may prove the right fit for this team after all. He knows full well how to eke out narrow victories, something this team is expected to do. Nemanja Matic and Alexsandr Kolorov are sterling defensive midfielders who can also play centerback. Insofar as I can make out, their primary purpose will be to choke out most any overlaps opposing offenses can hope to muster.  

The Serbian assault (pardon any unfortunate historical connotations) shouldn’t be taken lightly. Even if these Eagles aren’t expected to rely on attractive football, they’ve got plenty of players who can catch fire at any moment. Budding young Premiership star Alexsandr Mitrovic has been on everyone’s radar for some time. Slow to take off since signing on for Newcastle, Rafa engineered a loan spell for him over at Fulham this year. He immediately lit it up for the newly-promoted Londoners, making him probably the hottest commodity on this Summer’s Transfer Market. A great tournament here will net him additional millions. I don’t see him returning to St. James.   

Mitrovic can even be used as a faux-number-nine. Kostic and Tadic, skilled Stürmers in their own right, will start behind him. Rounding out the attack we have another amazing raw talent angling for a fat new contract. In some years-time Lazio Rom’s Sergej Milinkovic-Savic may come to be known as one of the game’s great midfield conductors. He shows a great flair for making things happen, especially on the counter. Great intuition for where his teammates are and an impeccable ability to place the ball right on their toes.

Of course he might be hamstrung by the fact that the Serbs exhibit a dearth of quality on the flanks. They’re also vulnerable down the left. I foresee Krstajic coaxing virtually the entire team inward as the lineup below reflects. Should this deft precautionary measure see them out of the group, they’ll be well poised to give the Germans a good scare in the Round of 16.

Yes….I’m officially getting nervous.

 Projecting the Serbian Lineup (4-5-1) 

                  Alexsandr Mitrovic
           Filip Kostic      Dusan Tadic
              Sergej Milinkovic-Savic
        Nemnja Matic  Alexsandr Kolorov
D. Tosic B. Ivanovich U. Spajic A. Rukavina    
                   Vladamir Stojkovic

 The Talisman—Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 

Image result for sergej milinkovic savic smallMemorize the name. Practice your pronunciation. Become accustomed to spelling “sergei” with a “j”. He’s on the cusp of something big. I’ve been asked to predict this Summer’s James Rodriguez and I shall right here. As much of a threat as he can be in front of goal, the truly frightening source of his potential lies in his capacity to control the ball outside the 18 for prolonged periods of time. It’s very difficult to get a tackle in on him. Forwards love how he frees them up.

Watch out!




  “A Syndicate Classic—Ontological Football”

Editor’s Retroactive Notes
Can’t deny my fascination with the break-up of the former Yugoslavia. Back in the Shadow Scholar years, I accepted every paper having even a tangential relationship to it. Wonderful stuff to write about. Post-Communist State-Crafting situated directly in the middle of juxtaposed giants:  EU/NATO expansion and a belligerent, resurgent Russia. Welcome to the trenches!

Not nearly enough time to discuss it here in great depth.  Some excerpts track how it played out football-wise. Retroactive notes added in 2012.
  
From WM 2006—“The Curse of the Syndicate”

 Serbia and Montenegro

Fellow international news junkies will pose a germane question here. Didn’t Montenegro literally JUST declare independence the day before yesterday? You are correct my info cannibalizing minions. The cleaving of the former Yugoslavia continues. The Kosovars are next. Following the results of the May plebiscite the separation is complete. In five weeks this team will be dissolved. Knowing full well that no one wishes to hear me blabber on about how fascinating I find the developments in the Balkans, I’ll do my level best to stick to the subject at hand….for once in my life.

WM 2006In football terms the split means little. Schalke’s Mladin Krstajic is the only Montenegrin on the team and he’s surely the lone athlete tired of receiving menacing glares from the captain Milosevic. Yes you read that accurately. The Serbian team is captained by an “S. Milosevic”. I haven’t witnessed such an unfortunate coincidence since Adolf Stalin dove for the East German Olympic Team. Savo Milosevic led “S & M” to an astounding thrashing of Spain in the qualifiers. Together with Athletico’s Mateja Kezman, the two strikers propelled the soon to be defunct “country” to the top of the group. Other red-hot commodities on the “S & M” Side include Man U’s Nemanja Vidic and Inter’s Dejan Stankovic. Somehow “Stankoivic” and “S & M” leave me feeling a mite past the “dirty-guilty” line.

Editor’s retroactive notes:

My complex infatuation with Balkan events only worsened as Kosovo declared independence in the Spring of 2008. Buoyed by this watershed moment in contemporary conflict resolution, I spent an intense two weeks formulating research directives for my Graduate School application essay. After finally perfecting the piece and sending it out, the acceptance letter came back in a matter of hours. I was forced to contend with the reality that no one on the admissions committee ended up reading the damn thing. I imagine the acceptance process went something like this.

“Are his grades decent? Cool. Let’s get that money. Money, money, money, money, money….MONEY!! Yeah, we pimpin. We got that fire. Been gettin’ that money. We fixin’ to get paid! You know dat’s true. So much MONEY”

The Shadow Scholar has worked with over 60 nervous students fretting over their application essays.

After they’ve calmed down, they’re capable of producing some of their finest work. Relax, everyone. They just want your money. Time does not permit them to give a pebble-sized shit about anything else.

From WMQ 2009—“Syndicate Afterlife”

 Serbia

There is some debate whether or not they plan to show up. Evidently, they haven’t been given enough “time to prepare”. The lousy Karadzic joke aside, I hope this is the beginning of great things for Serbia. On the Euro-political stage, they appear to making all the right moves. Mark my words; it will not be long until they recognize Kosovo's independence. They threw those bastard radicals out in the 2008 election! One can tell they crave EU Membership. Everyone’s favorite holistic healer (Karadzic) has been delivered. He will die in The Hague just like Milosevic did! The only thing the Serbs have left to prove, insofar as I’m concerned, is that they can find Mladic and hand him over. That’s it. Well, I will subject you to my time honored tradition of making fun of countries in which every football player has the same last name suffix.
I present to you…..
WMQ 2009 (2) 
“Peter’s got the ‘itch’”
Antiç, Dukiç, Stojkoviç, Subtociç
Stankoviç, Ivanoviç, Petroviç, Lukoviç
Tomoviç, Vukoviç, Ninkoviç, Dragutinoviç
Cvetkoviç, Cvetkoviç, Cvetkoviç!!!!!!

Ahhh. That is so immensely satisfying. I need to start a book of “Football Suffix Haikus”. Welcome to the Party Serbians. “No one will beat these people again!” (Actually you will be beaten; crushed before the group stages are over. Sorry!)

From WM 2010—Round Four (Part III)

 The “White Eagles” of Serbia (3 games played, 11 Hot Girls)

Quite the drama as we awaited the final whistle today. The Serbs, much like Lara Baldesarra, ultimately put up a coquette façade. Sorry about the two French words in a row L I have been gifted an opportunity to gloat over the Serbs undeserved victory! Fuck you, you primitive Balkan fucks! Advancement belongs to countries that decided to consolidate BEFORE the invention of the telephone! Right. Now that I have that out of my system, I’ll congratulate the Serbs on jettisoning Montenegro and surprising us all with some fairly decent football. Come on over to the EU whenever you’re ready. Meanwhile, do enjoy your special moment, produced at my expense:


From WMQ 2013—Das Fröhliche Syndikat

Serbia vs. Croatia

  vs. 

ARE YOU FUCKING KIDDING ME? Might as well organize a “Sunni vs. Shi’ite” match. Have a real bad feeling about this one. ; ( It’s scheduled to take place in Belgrade…with a German referee. I’ll reiterate my long held belief that Croat fans are nothing more than a bunch of worthless hooligans:

As for the Serbs…..they got Mladic! They did it. They won’t qualify for Brazil, but they’ll earn a moral victory against the Croat reserves. 

Costa Rica—“Los Ticos”

Shirt badge/Association crestTwo victories against the United States in qualifying would count as a hopeful sign in any year but this one. A fair amount of buzz surrounds last tournament’s Cinderella. With seven players now enjoying verifiable success at top flight European clubs, many bettors seem to feel as increased confidence and a proven system will lead to another overachieving run. This romantic bookie would personally love to see it happen, even if it meant a few a stinging punches to the pocketbook. It doesn’t look like we’ll see these underdogs progress very far, however. They’re not well matched against the competition in this group. Hope evaporates. The well reservoir runs dry.

Grounds for pessimism begin with the ill-suited tentative strategic nature they’ll be coerced into. A 5-2-3 with Campbell and Ruiz up top yields the best results for Ramirez & Co. It won’t work here. The absolute last thing Ramirez can afford is to spread Bolanos and Borges too thinly. No way that twilight couple can hope to cover enough ground at their age. Though he’s yet young, Campbell turned out to be a total dud at Arsenal. Ruiz’s improbable late-career resurrection notwithstanding, he still hasn’t fully regained the creative touch he displayed prior to his foot injury.

Creative forward thrust in central midfield, or lack thereof, will make all the difference. Unable to seize control on their own, Campbell and Ruiz will have to wait to get “sprung” by the likes of Tejeda and Borges. One sees them getting bogged down in the many crowded midfield battles that will take place in this group. Jorge Luis Pinto kept his opponents guessing in 2014 by constantly flipping these two to open up the lateral game. They can switch fields all they like this time. It still won’t open up enough space against the formations they face. Gears will grind to a halt here.

If there’s one X-Factor capable of disproving my assessment, it’s the left-defensive duo of Michael Oviedo and Oscar Duarte. These fresh faces take over for respectively retired Junior Diaz and Michael Umana. By drawing coverage and engineering some spontaneity, the Serbs could ostensibly come undone in the opening match. An electrifying start to the competition can build enough confidence for the team to steal a point from the Brazilians and/or Swiss. Los Ticos require but one win and one draw to escape the group. That’s not out of the question at all.

Nothing wrong with daring to dream. Dreams were actualized in 1990 and 2014. What a spectacular story another run would make.

Eh. Don’t bite. Los Ticos better know the way to San Jose because they’re headed back there come June 28th.

 Projecting the Tico Lineup (5-4-1) 

                Joel Campbell
Christian Bolanos   Bryan Ruiz
    Celso Borges  Yeltsin Tejeda
 Bryan Oviedo     Christian Gamboa
  O. Duarte G. Rodriguez J. Acosta
                Keylor Navas

 The Talisman—Keylor Navas 

Image result for Keylor navas smallYes, it’s a keeper selection. Your friendly bookie strives to avoid these wherever possible as they make for neither exciting copy nor highlights. Every so often it can’t be avoided. Sometimes the backstop carries the team on his back. Navas doesn’t really belong in the same league with Kahn, Cech, Buffon, Neuer, or Akinfeev. Nevertheless, his work between the pipes will heavily influence this side’s ultimate fate. An exceptional athlete and magnificent performer, the Real-Madrid Champion’s League Winner just completed another world-class season.

He’ll need to stand even taller here if the La Muerte are to inflict any pain of their own.




 “A Syndicate Classic—Set the World Ablaze”

Editor’s Retroactive Notes:
Is there any other choice? Actually yes. Wanchope’s two brilliant scintillating strikes in the 2006 WM Opener come to mind. I’ll never forget those pulsars; a wonderful introduction to football for casual observers all around the world. May he always be remembered for them…and not the barfight that cost him his job as the team’s new manager ; )

Ultimately, the re-visit has to be this match.  Very little to add here, other than to thank Los Ticos for one of the most memorable football matches ever.

Love you guys!

From WM 2014--Day Three Recap:

Bom Dia Football Fans,

In case you haven’t noticed, we’ve got an unassailable firecracker of a fucking football tournament on our hands. Your friendly bookie has neither seen nor dreamed of a start like this. End-to-end action. Endless goals. Free-flowing play. This is what football is all about! Another action-packed day. For those keeping track, that’s 28 Goals from only EIGHT matches.

An average of 3.5 Goals per game sets this tournament pace to smash all the previous records. It’s already the highest scoring tournament since 1982. We’ve not yet seen a draw or a goalless match and no fixture has come even remotely close to being a bore. At this point in 2002 we were discussing pitch conditions. In 2006 we were calculating the historic number of bookings. In 2010 we were still waiting for a team to catch fire (It took three days before ze Germans finally lit it up).

Hell yes these Latin Americans really know how to do it! How about those turbocharged Columbians and the upstart Costa Ricans? “PURA VIDA”! Los Ticos shock the World. We’ve got our first major bombshell. The entire Globe isn’t merely alight, we’re detonating more fusion blasts than the Sun itself. BOOM! “PURA VIDA” Please Herr Blatter. PLEASE! Let’s come back to Latin America in eight years’ time. Fuck Qatar. I don’t want to go to Qatar. Let’s stay here where we belong. We’ve been gone for 26 years. Give Beckenbauer some shady financial deals and bring us back home.

 
PURA VIDA!

(Fuck Qatar)

PURA VIDA!

(Fuck Qatar)

PURA VIDA!  

The Latin American style of play influences all the participants. Even the Wops and the Limeys played an uncharacteristically up-tempo instant masterpiece last night. Broadly speaking, the Latin American game distinguishes itself from the European one with a preeminent focus on speed and improvisation. Europeans play beautiful football too, but our game hinges more on technical exploitation of set pieces and the lateral use of the pitch. Northern teams generally work the flanks more and focus on crosses. The Southern Style is to pour forward, rely on incisive through-balls, and flick/trick your way past the defensive ranks.

Yes, yes. There’s plenty of contrarian evidence to consign this rather lazy assessment right into the dustbin. Strip away the baroque language and your friendly bookies point essentially reads: “Duh…white people be dancin' like this and black people be dancing like this.” I might as well be aiming to get booed off the stage during “Honky Night” on “Showtime at the Apollo”. I won’t be publishing my theory in any peer-reviewed journals. I’m simply excited about the ebullient start that we’re off too.

Read the next section on the “EU Wing Theory” or skip it. Either way you’ve no choice but to concede that the globe is pulsating.
 
BOOM!

PURA VIDA

....  

SLOW DOWN? Surely the next encounter would bring us back down. Absent Suarez, the Uruguayans could be depended upon to play ugly and dirty. We’d have plenty of time to glance away from the screen with all those midfield whistles and languid throw-ins. This one had “defensive stalemate” written all over it.

To hell with that. Godin and Cavani generated quality chances early on, with the latter missing out on a golden opportunity. After the penalty, Campbell fired a scorching warning shot that just missed Muslera’s far post. Keylor Navas produced an insanely acrobatic save on Forlan as the half wound down. Your friendly bookie managed to type up all of two sentences as the game just wouldn’t let him go.

He managed perhaps a half a sentence during the throbbing second half. Campbell’s laser meant anything was now possible. Three minutes later Duarte’s diving header sent him into convulsions. So many intriguing story lines as Suarez began to warm up. But where would the time to write come from if the chronicler can’t take his eyes off the screen? Urena’s clinical finish, Pereira’s nasty foul, Cavani slotting for a non-existent Suarez…how can one multitask with all this great football?


Vicey’s Fearless Group Prediction (2 to 1 Odds for bookie)

 1) Brazil
  2) Switzerland
 3) Serbia
 4) Costa Rica

Overall Championship Odds

 Brazil (Straight up)
  Switzerland (15 to 1)
 Serbia (20 to 1)
 Costa Rica (30 to 1)

Round of 16 Odds

  Brazil (NO BETS)
   Switzerland (Straight Up)
  Serbia (Straight Up)
  Costa Rica (3 to 1)

Quarterfinal Odds

  Brazil (NO BETS)
   Switzerland (Straight up)
  Serbia (5 to 1)
  Costa Rica (6 to 1)

Semifinal Odds

  Brazil (Straight Up)
   Switzerland (10 to 1)
  Serbia (12 to 1)

  Costa Rica (15 to 1)