Friday, June 6, 2014

WM 2014--Group G Preview


Introduction—“The Undisputed ‘Group of Death’”

WM 2014

(USA, Germany, Portugal, Ghana)

         

Every night your friendly bookie finds himself haunted by three ghastly apparitions: Jens Nowotny, Freddie Bobic, and Kevin Kuranyi. They are the listless attacking trio that failed to lead my beloved Mannschaft out of the Group Stage back in 2004. They clank away at my already cowed cranium, reminding me that it’s impossible for the Fatherland to make the Semi-Finals every year, irrespective of what the populace expects.

Löw has assembled as squad every bit as questionable as the one back in 2004: No natural striker, three players making slow recovery from injury, highly uncertain tactical plans in midfield, and a mistake-prone back four. And.....of course we had to be drawn into the “Group of Death”. Of course.

It’s one giant neurasthenia-inducing clusterfuck…just like two years ago. Three world-class opponents can easily stake a Knockout Round Spot. Cristiano Ronaldo is very much accustomed to performing against the world’s best players. He just scored a record 16 Goals in the UEFA Champions League (the toughest and highest caliber league of all time). Counting EM 2012, the Mannschaft has now beaten the Navigators in three of the last four international tournaments. How long can this endure? Nothing lasts forever, not even the Syndicate.

The Krauts should also count themselves lucky for eking out a victory against Ghana’s “Black Stars” in 2010. This year’s incarnation of the “Gold Coast Playas” looks even scarier. Agyemang-Badu, Kwadwo Asamoah, and Shelley Muntari look to have what it takes to neutralize the German midfield. If all else fails they can send in Kevin Prince-Boateng to hurt someone. He’s fairly experienced at that ; ( ; (

This brings us to my adopted “country of convenience”. The Yanks are back. Don’t laugh. Many are tipping them to top this group, and with good reason. Even without Landon Donovan, new kid Julian Green posses the speed to carve up defenses. Beleaguered strikers Clint Dempsey and Jozy Altidore need only to have the ball placed at their feet. They still know how to finish. All it takes is one penetrating through-ball. Should the Fatherland lose to U.S. (a very real possibility) it will be a national embarrassment on par with the burning of the Reichstag. Many Krauts will stumble out of bed with the worst hangover of their life, raise their iron shutters, and wonder why we even bother having a country at all.

Oh man. It will easily take a whole pack of smokes to get through this write-up. If only wasn’t so far away from the cozy confines of my cherished university bar “Peer Review”. I could use a tall cold one and some familiar faces right about now. ; (

Welcome to purgatory, gentlemen. Your friendly bookie presents:

“The Group of Death”

Here comes the reaper..

USA—“Sam’s Army”
Shirt badge/Association crest 
You’ve waiting so long, Yanks. Welcome back. Here’s the lowdown of your all-new “Stars and Stripes”:

The U.S. Soccer Association boldly demonstrated their firm commitment to never again face mediocrity or obscurity on July 29th 2011 with the appointment of former German star-player and head trainer Jürgen Klinsmann. Since leading the German National Team to a surprise third-place finish in 2006, Klinsmann had a brief unsuccessful tenure as the head coach of Bayern München, but mostly mucked about California with his American wife and kids.

Much was made of the historic hiring of the U.S. Team’s first foreign coach in over twenty years, but Klinsi might as well be a Yank at this point. He continued to live in Cali whilst coaching the German side and resigned from the team citing “home-sickness” after the 2006 tournament. What isn’t insignificant is the strategy he and Austrian sidekick Andreas Herzog embarked upon. They began by launching one of the most aggressive eras of experimentation in international football history. The duo called up a staggering SIXTY separate players to represent the country in various matches over the course of two years. Practically everyone got a look. The U.S. Team rapidly evolved into the most fluid anyone has ever seen. A clear message was sent: We’re wiping the slate clean. Practically any player with a U.S. Passport now has a chance to make this team. No sacred cows. No fixed eleven.

Heavy recruitment of “dual-heritage” players commenced immediately. This is, after all, how the Germans roll. We seek out the best players of Polish, Turkish, Spanish, African, and Eastern European heritage and unapologetically steal them for our National Side. In spite of the fact that the U.S. is THE country of immigrants, the U.S. Men’s Team all too rarely utilizes this practice. After the Freddy Adu flop, it appeared that recruiting players too early, then developing them in a country with an embryonic men’s league was even a recipe for failure. Klinsi and Herzog still knew that the U.S. couldn’t hope to compete without a better international recruitment strategy. What better place to start than back in the Fatherland, where plenty of kids spawned by U.S. Servicemen were just waiting to be snatched up?

The pair’s first major coup was then S.C Freiburg midfielder Daniel Williams. Williams is the son of a German mother and a U.S. G.I. stationed in Karlsruhe. He grew up in Germany and had played for the national youth team as both a defensive midfielder and roaming right back. Williams showed great speed, mobility, and technical heading ability. Nevertheless, he simply wasn’t deemed good enough to continue with the U-17 team. The Klinsi/Herzog machine saw their chance and pounced. They convinced him to switch allegiances by promising him a tryout in midfield. A stellar debut gave way to professional frustrations that ultimately kept Williams off the World Cup squad. He transferred to 1899 Hoffenheim and failed to keep a spot on the first team. He later got a chance with the Reading Royals in the English Championship. Improved play earned him a call-up for the March 5th friendly against Ukraine, but he ultimately didn’t even make the provisional squad.

Their first major enlistment may have been a bust, but two subsequent German defectors can be considered unequivocal successes. Eighteen-year-old Bayern München prospect Julian Green has an American father and German mother. Although he was born in Tampa, his family relocated to Germany when he was two years old. He grew up an “aufrechter Deutscher”, earning a combined 11 Caps for the German U16, U17, and U18 teams. Acutely aware that they needed to shore up their midfield, Klinsi and Herzog spent virtually all of last Autumn and Winter convincing him to bring his talents stateside. Löw & Co. attempted to recruit him too, but they couldn’t compete with the attention and promise that the Americans could offer him. He finally chose the U.S. this Spring. The Götze-like prospect is one huge fish reeled in by Team America. He’s an excellent dribbler and trickster who looks to make a major impact this Summer.

They weren’t finished yet. Klinsi and Herzog lobbied oh so very hard to get Herta BSC defender John Brooks to roll up. Brooks is yet another son of a U.S. Servicemen. He grew up eating Currywurst and downing Döner Kebabs in the greatest city in the universe, Berlin. After a sub par tryout with the U.S. U20 side four years ago, he returned to the German ranks and seemed intent on letting America fall by the wayside. The Germano-Austrian Engine was having none of it. They hauled him in with the promise of starting center-back position. He’s a tall, hulking, beanpole of a defender who exhibits precision tackling and incredible aerial ability.

There are plenty of individuals out there of dual German and American citizenship. Most of them are harmless rubes of mediocre talent…like your friendly bookie. ; ) The new U.S. coaching tandem, however, just landed themselves TWO PROJECTED STARTERS. Kudos, Yanks. Your boys targeted the right guys and worked tirelessly to get them. Well done. They’ve also recruited you a pair of promising subs from Norway (midfielder Mikkel Diskerud) and Iceland (striker Aron Johannsson). Neither one of these guys calls the U.S. home. They wouldn’t be representing your country unless they were heavily sold on the experience.

With the character of this team so radically altered, it’s aufwiedersehen to a whole cohort of familiar faces. Farewell to former captain Carlos Bocanegra and his defensive partner Steve Cherundolo. Goodbye memorable strikers Edson Buddle, Hercules Gomez, Robbie Findley, and Eddie Johnson. There go all the recognizable names in the midfield. It’s bye-bye for Break Shea, Maurice Edu, Benny Feilhaber, Stuart Holden, Jose Francisco, Torres, Sacha Kljestan, and Ricardo Clark. No more Oguchi Onyewu, Jonathan Bornstein, Jay Demerit, Jonathan Spector, Edgar Castillio, or Clarence Goodson at the back. They’re ALL gone.

Klinsi kept us guessing until the very end. Many of the above mentioned players were called up as late as April and almost as many made the provisional squad. For better or worse, Klinsi opted for his favorite new recruits and a few proven veterans. That’s what you’re working with. Here’s the (perceived plan):

Jozy will be deployed alone up front. It’s been another frustrating year for the especially talented big-target man. After his lackluster spells warming the bench for Villarreal and Hull City, he appeared to have finally found his footing with Dutch Club AZ Alkmaar. He put strung together two very impressive campaigns. Then came this year’s debacle at the Stadium of Light. Altidore found himself demoted to the reserves even as his English Club fought relegation. How humiliating. He’s managed a paltry two goals in 20 appearances for Sunderland. Your main striker thus finds himself in a serious crisis of confidence. The tools haven’t gone anywhere. He just appears to have run out of ideas.

He may not necessarily need ideas, however. The midfield trio Dempsey, Green, and Alejandro Bedoya can handle business on that front while Jozy simply executes. The aforementioned Green can work wonders in possession. Dempsey got back into shape with a brief loan to his old English club Fulham during the MLS offseason. It took him a few fixtures, but he looked to regain his “faux number 9” prowess late on. Nantes winger Alejandro Bedoya is the last-minute replacement for the injured Landon Donovan. He’s no slouch, but he’s also no Donovan. Uncle Sam needs Dempsey to come up huge if Altidore is to have any hope of getting adequate support.

Veterans Jermaine Jones and Michael Bradley anchor in the defensive midfield slots. Jones barely beat out Maurice Edu despite a rather tepid year split between Schalke 04 and Turkish club Beskitas. He’s primarily the “stay-at home” sort and will likely be tasked with keeping the left side clogged. Michael Bradley, the son of previous U.S. Coach Bob, steadily worked his way back into Klinsi’s good graces with some inspired performances for Roma. He’s regarded as the more offensive minded of the duo, though he’s loyal to tactics first.

With the back four relatively green, 32-year-old midfielder Demarcus Beasley moves back into the defensive ranks. He’s better suited to such positioning given his age, but could still constitute a scoring threat up the left flank. Geoff Cameron will be his opposite number. He’s begun to venture forward up the right flank for Premiership club Stoke. Tim Chandler of Eintracht Frankfurt and Omar Gonzalez of the L.A. Galaxy close ranks in front of Howard. This will be the 35-year-old Howard’s Swan Song. He’s finished. With his form exhibiting observable decline, one half expected Klinsman to “pull a Lehman” and give Aston Villa’s Brad Guzan the nod. In the end he stuck with Howard. Don’t expect him to tolerate any howlers, though. He’ll yank Howard in a heartbeat if it gives him a chance to escape this group.

Good Luck, Yanks. You will need it. It’s not your greatest team and you really had some rotten luck with the Donovan injury. On the topic of brutal injuries, Charlie Davies remains alive and kicking. That in itself constitutes a miracle. He will probably never play for the National Team again, but we wish him well. So glad you’re still here ; )

 Projecting the American Lineup (4-2-3-1)  

                   Jozy Altidore
    Julian Green           Alejandro Bedoya
                   Clint Dempsey
  Jermaine Jones Michael Bradley
D. Beasley T. Chandler O. Gonzalez G. Cameron
                   Tim Howard

 The Talisman—Clint Dempsey  

His ‘Golden Days’ may be way behind him, but he hopefully still has something special up his sleeve. Something like this would be ideal:





 “A Syndicate Classic”—USA  

From FWM 2011—“Goodbyes and Championship Pick”
FWM 2011 
USA vs. Japan

 vs. 

Often times in lesser tournaments, I declare that all bets are off for the final. Finals are a time to lounge, drink, and leisurely/passively while away a Sunday afternoon with the beautiful game. Some may recall that I obstinately refused any bets during the Euro 2008 Spain-Germany Final. Why? Because I simply wanted to get blitzed, root for my country against the odds, and not have to sit down with my black book after a debilitating loss and do arithmetic of all things! Please consider my experience and reflect on this reasoning.

It has come to my attention recently that I’ve created a monstrous cadre of compulsive gamblers, totally unequipped for their team’s presence in “The Big Game”. As a result, I’ve been besieged by requests from anxious ogres, salivating at the chance to lay their wife’s sock-drawer money on the invincibility of Uncle Sam. One can only hope that our creditors display such zeal after we default on our debt in a few weeks. Look, I welcome your enthusiasm. The fact that I’ve played some small role in helping form fervent fanatics devoid of any common sense surely must be that “difference” my Kindergarten teacher kept insisting I would make in the world. Very flattering. Very touching. To remain aloof from this insanity would be in some ways disingenuous of me. This is why I’ve elected to afford you an opportunity to bet on your team whilst still doing everything in my power to discourage it.

You’ve already read my mini-lecture concerning the luxury of simply enjoying the match. Think further about the perils of hyping yourself up for a game, being improbably let down, and then realizing that the money you lost will invariably ruin next week as well. Finally, take into account that your bookie has to insist on a high line. This game is a VERY SKEWED mismatch on paper. The Japanese have been known to pull miraculous 54,827 Hit Combos out of their ass, but have about as much chance of winning here as poor Angurius had against Mechagodzilla. (The knowledge of an insomniac occasionally extends beyond C-Span)

YOUR TEAM WILL WIN! For your wife’s sake, for you children’s sake, for the sake of whatever gluttonous addictions happen regularly drain your wallet, DON’T SET YOURSELF UP TO LOSE! Choose life. Choose a job. Choose a career. Choose a family. Choose a big television. Choose washing machines, cars, compact disc players, and electrical tin openers. (Don’t you love how two of those are ludicrously dated?)

This looks to be a very exciting final! Samehima, Kinga, and Kumagi were supposed to be more exhausted than Larry Flynt after the AVN Awards. Instead they shocked us all by continually pressing forward in one the most hawkish displays I’ve ever seen from a defending corps! The strategy of this Japanese team is not difficult to discern: They are going full-blown Kamikaze, throwing EVERYONE forward without the slightest twitch of fear or regret. Following the conservative, disciplined approach to Germany Norio Sasaki evidently told the Nadeshiko to play with reckless abandon. In a stage of the tournament they have no business being in, against an unquestionably stronger team, with nothing to lose and a cajoling media pumping them up, look for them to encroach as many as nine players early. “Banzai, motherfuckers!” In American parlance, “Kitchen Sink” will be the watchword. They won’t let up.

How long will this strategy work?  Impossible to say. All indications are that the Japs will boldly trot out the same starting eleven they’ve been using for most of the tournament and deal with the fatigue issue only if it becomes a visible disadvantage. Iwabuchi and Maruyama are almost guaranteed substitutions, leaving them very little wiggle room should there be an injury. Other than these two sparkplugs, there isn’t another bench player who has logged significant minutes. Candidly, it will be up to the same squad that has played the entire tournament to deliver another improbably all out, maximum effort performance. They may well succeed in doing so, but let’s look at the team they face.

“All the Right Moves” isn’t merely a movie staring a maniacal midget with a one-inch penis, it also should be the headlines detailing Pia Sundhage’s managerial approach to the last game. It began with the brilliant decision to move Ali Krieger and start Becky Sauerbrunn in her position. A certain amateur bookie directly called for that move and wondered (as he often does) if he had finally attained the title of “complete moron”. As it turns out, Sauerbrunn handled her rather demanding assignment with aplomb. For an outfielder with only 11 international caps to step in late in a tournament and provide such ideal miserly defending is no small feat.  Another move advocated by a certain rambling idiot happened to be flipping Wambach and Rodriguez’s advancing assignments. This worked splendidly. Not playing as the lead striker appeared to allow Wambach to find her rhythm at her own pace. After Rodriguez was substituted, Wambach reclaimed the role and both her touch and timing were immaculate.

Fatigue and a lack of imagination set in around the 54th minute. Sundhage’s first move was to bring in Alex Morgan early and let her adjust to the tempo. Ten minutes later it was time to tinker with the midfield. Cheney switched sides, Boxx and O’Reilly were tasked with the central part of the pitch, and Carli Lloyd was substituted for Rapinoe. All the maneuvering enabled Rapinoe to work her preferred left flank. Three minutes after setting up Wambach’s goal she made her dominance of that flank obvious, setting up Morgan with an exquisite little through ball for goal number three. Marvelous. This woman should be coaching the men’s team!

So there we have it. One coach has his team on a suicide-mission; the other carefully calibrates the talent on the pitch with all the meticulousness of a Formula One mechanic. If this fails to engender enough optimism, consider that O’Reilly, Rodriguez, Rampone, Cheney, Buehler, Krieger and Boxx are all in extraordinary form. Those are just your starters! Rapinoe, Heath, and Cox will be the perfect substitution trio should you get into trouble, but a possible blowout means you may see Lindsey, Mitts, and O’Hara instead. Anything can happen, of course, but all signs point to a record third U.S. Championship      

 A MESSAGE TO ALL MY AMERICAN FRIENDS: 

What good is a World Championship in Women’s Sports? Were it in Volleyball, Shuffleboard, Handball, Ice Hockey, Basketball, Table Tennis, Golf, Softball………ANY OTHER SPORT BUT THIS ONE, you’re right! Who give a hemorrhaging fuck? This happens to be not “a” sport, but “the” sport; the sport than over 80 percent of the world holds in the highest esteem. In the burgeoning world of Women’s Football, two countries are tied at two when it comes to the most world championships. The U.S. won the inaugural tournament in 1991 and Brandi Chastain took off her shirt in 1999. Germany is the two time defending world champions, winning in 2003 and 2007. A win on Sunday will make you the UNCONTESTED ALL-TIME CHAMPIONS OF WORLD FOOTBALL (provided what happens to be between your legs is irrelevant). Please treat this as a cause for great celebration. A world champion is not crowned perfunctorily. This should ideally be a special day for you.

Surround yourself with trusted friends. Cheer, shout, and dance together. When it’s all over, remember to go kick a ball with a stranger (no matter what happens to be between their legs J)

THE LINE: USA + 3

Prop Bets (as always, feel free to offer your own):
Over/Under ---4 Goals
120 Minutes— 3 to 1
Penalty Shootout— 4 to 1

My Five Pledges to Syndicate Members:

1) No more Football Blogs until Euro 2012
(Bets on the final rounds of qualifying are of course welcome)

2) No more “Election Books”
(We’ll stick to sports, I promise. Politics may resemble sports, but it really shouldn’t)

3) I don’t care if Watson is coming back to Jeopardy!
(I’ve said all I’d care to about it. You’ll never hear any more from me on the subject.)

4) “This Week in Obscure Scholarship” Belongs on the Internet
(not in your inboxes. I’ve got it J.)

5) I will grow a pair and submit some things
(given present circumstances, I’ve officially run out of excuses J)

FINAL GOODBYE TO FOOTBALL FANS EVERYWHERE:
(Reprinted from 2006, 2008, and 2010)

Goodbye to all syndicate members: old, new, and morbidly curious. One day Karl Kasell will record this on my outgoing voicemail.

“Peace with the Metric System”

“I don’t know what to say really. Three minutes to the biggest battle of our professional lives. All comes down to today. Either we heal as a team, or we’re going to crumble. 2.54 centimeters by 2.54 centimeters…set piece by set piece….til we’re finished. We’re in hell right now gentlemen. Believe me. And…….we can stay here, get the shit kicked out of us, or………..we can fight our way back…….into the light…….we can climb our way out of hell. 2.54 Centimeters at a time.

Now I can’t do it for you. I’m too old. I look around, I see all of these young faces and think……..I mean……..I’ve made every wrong choice a middle-aged man can make. I…ah…. pissed away all my money, believe it or not. I chased off anyone who’s ever loved me. And lately, I can’t even stand the face I see in the mirror. You know, when you get old in life, things get taken from you…. I mean that’s…that’s…...that’s part of life. But, you only learn that when you start losing stuff. You find out life’s this game of 2.54 centimeters. So is football. Because in either game, life or football, the margin for error is so small…..I mean…one half a step too late or too early, you don’t quite make it. One half second too slow, too fast, you don’t quite kick it. The centimeters we need are everywhere around us! They’re in every break of the game, every minute, every second.

On this team, we fight for those 2.54 centimeters. On this team, we tear ourselves and everyone else around us to pieces for those 2.54 centimeters. We claw with our fingernails for those 2.54 centimeters! Because, we know when we add up all those centimeters, that’s gonna make the FUCKIN difference between winnin' and losin!!!!!!!! Between living and dieing!!!

I’ll tell you this: In any fight, it’s the guy who’s willin' to die, who’s gonna win that 2.54 centimeters. And I know, if I’m gonna have any life anymore, it’s because I’m still willing to fight and die for those 2.54 centimeters!!! Because….that’s what livin is!!! The 15.24 centimeters in front of your face!!

Now I can’t make you do it! You’ve gotta look at the guy next to you. LOOK INTO HIS EYES!! Now I think you’re gonna see a guy who will go those 2.54 centimeters with you. I think you’re gonna see a guy who will sacrifice himself for this team because he knows, when it comes down to it, you’re gonna do the same for him. That’s a team, gentlemen. And, either we heal, NOW, as a team……..or we will die…as individuals. That’s football guys. That’s all it is. Now………..WHAT ARE YOU GOING TO DO?!?!?!?!”

Editor’s retroactive notes:
RESULT: Japan 3, USA 2.  (3:1 PSO) Er…….ooops. Yes, I genuinely felt horrible after pumping everyone up for this one. I should have known that, had it come down to penalty kicks, the Japs would have better scouting intelligence. For the first time in my life, I was personally dismayed by a U.S. loss. It felt every bit as bad as a Fatherland loss. Sure, I pocketed some coin, but it didn’t brighten my mood at all. Heavy drinking following this one. I’m still rather sad about it. Oh well. The sooner we finish dissecting it, the sooner I can forget about the whole sordid affair.

Sundhage replaced Rodriguez with a brash attempt to slot in Cheney as an Anchoring Forward. This enabled her to give Rapinoe the start she absolutely deserved as Sam’s Angels deployed a reshuffled 4-4-2. Rapinoe was shot straight out of a cannon yet again. She proved herself a world-class footballer worthy of a spot on the grand stage, slashing all the way up the pitch past four defenders for a stunning effort on goal in the 8th. One minute later she tore through the Japanese ranks once again to set up Wambach, who fired over. Very much the animated start for the U.S. side as they generated a dozen or so decent chances in the first half. Cheney and Wambach shaved the woodwork while Rapinoe smacked the post twice. Carli Lloyd fired barely over as well. To top it all of, Cheney managed to find the top of the net at halftime.

Lacking a goal, Sundhage was forced to concede that the Cheney experiment wasn’t necessarily going to yield the desired results. Alex Morgan emerged from the tunnel as her replacement and the hungry little hottie went straight to work. She put the eighth U.S. post ball on frame in the 49th following a delicious setup from Rapinoe. Morgan and Rapinoe would continue to push until the lead was theirs. Rapinoe sprang Morgan on an up-tempo counter in the 69th. After crowding out Kumagai with an impressive show of strength, the Western New York Flash forward let fly with a rising drive that left Kaihori with no chance. The contest persisted in its one-sidedness. It was truly a shock to see the Nadeshiko equalize in the 81st.

The Japs had gotten virtually nothing going all afternoon, and a mediocre Maruyama cross didn’t seem set to alter matters. However, LePeilbet, Buehler, and Krieger were all sixes and sevens. Krieger made an unbecomingly horrendous mistake, feeding a diagonal clearance directly on the feet of Miyama, who then fired home. Watching the replays, one remains at a loss to discern what in the hell she was thinking. Terrible play from a magnificent player.

The U.S. continued to reign supreme throughout the first period of extra time. Alex Morgan played her heart out, finally making it count on the score sheet with a precision cross that Wambach nailed in for a 104th minute lead. Japan again improbably equalized from one of the only set pieces they had been awarded all evening. The veteran Sawa knocked in Miyama’s corner in 117th and this fucked up match was back to being tied. Morgan and fellow substitute Heath were clear on goal, sure to score a dramatic late winner in the 121st when Azusa Iwashimizu employed the so-called “professional foul”. As per the rules, she was dismissed with a straight red for preventing a sure goal-scoring opportunity. Somehow it just doesn’t seem fair enough. Given that the pair were surely about to score, a penalty might have been awarded. Alas, the foul took place outside the box.

To penalties we went and the Japs had done their homework. Kaihori knew precisely where the first three U.S. Shooters would go. Down they went in order: Boxx, Lloyd, and Heath. Solo managed to save Nagasato and no one else. Interviewed in the immediate aftermath of the debacle, an exchange between Pia Sundhage and a reporter on the pitch went as follows:

Reporter: How do you explain three straight penalty misses?
Sundhage: You don’t.

Couldn't agree more. What a devastating loss.

Well, gentlemen. We come to the conclusion of nearly four months work, done in spare time that might have been better spent…..ah hell….I probably would have just spent it getting drunk and watching C-span. Glad I wrote all of this. Ecstatic that it’s finally over. I can think of no better way to celebrate our return to the present with some final hot girl rankings for the U.S. and Japan. In the event that anyone considers me an insensitive asshole for ranking women based on their looks, I’ll freely admit that I’m probably no better than a 4.2 myself…maybe a 6.0 when I was younger. It’s only one man’s opinion in any case.

If you laughed out loud at any proportion of this over-scoped project, I’ve done as well as can reasonably be expected. I’d be more elated to learn that you’re still working on some of your own writing, breaking though whatever self-imposed block happens to be haranguing you this time. As always, send your stuff the Shadow Scholar’s way. For over ten years I’ve managed to make time for it all and I’ve no plans to neglect any individual who works the keys.

Keep assaulting those keys, my syndicate brethren. Never forget that you kick ass. You wouldn’t have been invited if you were anything less than the finest minds I’ve ever met. Drop by and hang with us anytime you like. The door remains open no matter what foolishness I’m up to…   

Japan  

Rumi Utsugi
9.6
Naihomi Kawasumi
9.4
Homare Sawa
9.2
Karina Maruyama
8.9
Kozue Ando
8.2
Aya Sameshima
8.0
Mana Iwabuchi
7.5
Asuna Tanaka
6.6
Megumi Kamionobe
5.9
Yukari Kinga
5.5
Saki Kumagai
5.3
Shinobu Ohno
4.5
Aya Miyama
4.2
Yuki Nagasato
4.0
Ayumi Kaihori
3.9
Kyoko Yano
3.7
Megumi Takese
3.3
Mizuho Sakaguchi
3.2
Azusa Iwashimizu
3.0

USA  

Kelley O’Hara
10.0
Ali Krieger
10.0
Alex Morgan
9.9
Hope Solo
9.2
Meaghan Rapinoe
8.9
Heather Mitts
8.2
Carli Lloyd
8.0
Tobin Heath
7.9
Amy Rodriguez
7.7
Lori Lindsey
6.9
Heather O’Reilly
6.8
Abby Wambach
6.5
Becky Sauerbrunn
6.4
Rachel Buehler
5.8
Stephanie Cox
5.6
Amy Lepeilbet
5.3
Shannon Boxx
5.1
Lauren Cheney
5.0
Christine Rampone
4.8

Deutschland—“The Glorious Fatherland”

Shirt badge/Association crest

Heart palpitation time. How are we meant to do this without one single natural striker? Where will the goals come from? I need some Rolaids…STAT!! This team is going to put me in the Intensive Care Ward ; ( ; ( Never trust the Germans in a year in which their flag is displayed prominently on their uniform. It’s bad luck…or so I’ve just decided to say. The 1990 World Cup kind of torpedoes that theory, but I’m still haunted by Euro 2004.

If anyone’s wondering where Mario Gomez is, he never fully recovered from his ankle surgery back in July 2012. He staged a brilliant comeback some nine months after undergoing the procedure, but by that time had been supplanted by Bayern’s new signing Mario Mandzukic. He transferred to Serie A Side Fiorentina the following Summer, only to re-aggravate his injury early in the season. After he once again staged an improbable comeback, he tore through most of the ligaments in his left knee this Spring. He was thus never a serious contender to make this team.

Löw had other options in Borussia Mönchengladbach’s Max Kruse and 1899 Hoffenheim’s Kevin Volland, but he ultimately decided that neither one was ready to occupy a valuable roster spot. In a very surprising move, Kruse wasn’t even called up to the Provisional Squad. That leaves us with….35-year-old Miroslav Klose. Yes, he’s back. He obstinately refuses to go away. He’s the little Polish Engine that could. He defied everyone’s predictions by resurrecting his career with Italian Club Lazio Roma three years ago. The man just won’t go gentle into that good night.

Klose himself has struggled with injury this season and looked well past his prime when gifted a start in Euro 2012. This bookie considers it highly unlikely that he’ll be part of the starting eleven when the Mannschaft kicks off against Portugal on June 16th. That means that Löw will be forced to trot out at least one midfielder who occasionally plays as a forward. At first glance that doesn’t appear to be a problem. Thomas Müller, Lukas Podolski, Marco Reus, and Andreas Schürrle can all play striker if need be. Götze’s been deployed as a Center Forward as well.

I’m still nervous. Reus does better as a winger. So does Schürrle. Podolski’s move back to central midfield is the primary reason he got his career up and running again. Götze and Müller serve better further down the pitch for the same reason: The can see more of the play develop and unleash vicious long-range efforts when the mood strikes. We’ve got this kid Julian Draxler, who’s improvisational attacking style will likely earn him a new contract/club before the summer is over. He’ll probably mature into a top tier striker at his new club. For the moment he’s nowhere near ready.

Projecting Löw’s lineup is an exceedingly difficult task, but we’ll give it the old “college try” anyway. I’ll predict that he places Müller and Reus up front. The former has the height while the latter has the speed. Götze gets the nod in central midfield, backed up by Podolski. Meshut Özil has just had too bad of a year at the Emirates, plagued by injury and some genuinely stupid play. He regained his form late on, but Podolski remains the safer bet. Another one of our exalted foreign-born heroes currently struggling with adversity is Sami Khedira. Injury and inconsistent form have sidelined him for most of the season over at Real. It doesn’t look like he’ll start.

The defensive midfield will be anchored by Schweine and Toni Kroos. For once I’m not too worried about Schweine. His never-ending saga with injury continues, but he’s had another fantastic year as Bayern’s “Flight Director”. He couldn’t possibly hope to emulate the 2013 Campaign, but he still looked good nonetheless. Kroos is another story. Again he appears not to be utilizing his talent. With respect to international competition, his soft performance had an awful lot to do with the loss to Italy in Euro 2012’s semifinals. Man, do I ever wish Kehdira could get it together. ; (

In terms of the back four, Jerome “Bringschuld Baby” Boateng retains his place at left back. Per Mertesacker has made the final squad, but it looks like Matt Hummels still has his center-back position. Holger Badstuber is hurt as is “sometimes” defender Ilkay Gündogan. Marcell Schmelzer and Marcel Jansen didn’t make the final cut. With Großkreutz still untested, I pick Benedict Höwedes as the most likely candidate to inherit Badstuber’s CB Spot.

That leaves us with our captain, the miracle-working Leprechaun known as Phillip Lahm. Hard to believe, but weeks ago many were speculating that he’d start as a midfielder. Bah-ha! We’ve got plenty of those! Besides that, to start Lahm in midfield would be like given detailed scene notes to a porn-star. Lahm does all the work of a midfielder from his fullback position. He needs no further direction.

Of course it’s a very good team! I’ve still got my bed in the Krankenhaus reserved. German elimination has never stopped the Syndicate before. Your friendly bookie will keep writing regardless. Just don’t act surprised if he files some very drunken dispatches after the Group Phase. Far too many of you falsely assume I file ALL dispatches tipsy. Not so. Not even close to true. If my Mannschaft get’s eliminated early…well…that's a different matter entirely. 

The fate of my liver is riding on Lahm’s ingenuity.  

 Projecting the German Lineup (4-3-3)  

  Marco Reus      Thomas Müller
               Mario Götze
               Lukas Podolski
    Toni Kroos     Bastian Schweinsteiger
J. Boateng M. Hummels B. Höwedes P. Lahm
              Manuel Neuer

 The Talisman—Philip Lahm  

As much as we’ll rely upon Schweinsteiger to regulate mot of the flow on the pitch, Lahm’s spontaneous play is the “X-Factor.” He has the potential to make or break our prospects. I reiterate that which is written above:

“The fate of my liver is riding on Lahm’s ingenuity”

Okay…once more

“The fate of my liver is riding on Lahm’s ingenuity”







 “A Syndicate Classic”—Deutschland  

From FEM 2013—Semifinals

FEM 2013 Deutschland (Projected third runners-up) 

 Deutschland—2011 Rankings 

Fatmire Bajramaj
10.0
Alexandra Popp
9.7
Lena Gößling
9.3
Simone Laudehr
8.8
Linda Bresonik
8.5
Kim Kulig
7.9
Ariana Hingst
7.8
Bianca Schmidt
6.9
Celia Oko da Mbabi
6.7
Inka Grings
6.6
Babbet Peter
5.8
Saskia Bartusiak
5.3
Vereina Faißt
5.1
Annike Krahn
5.0
Martina Müler
4.8
Birget Prinz
4.4
Kirsten Garefreckas
3.0
Melanie Behringer
2.8
Nadine Angerer
2.0

 Deutschland—2013 INITIAL Rankings 

Fatmire Bajramaj
10.0
Lena Gößling
9.5
Svenja Huth
9.4
Melanie Leupholz
9.4
Simone Laudehr
9.2
Nadine Keßler
9.0
Lena Lotzen
8.7
Isabelle Linden
8.5
Jenifer Cramer
8.3
Josephine Henning
8.0
Bianca Schmidt
7.8
Celia Oko da Mbabi
7.8
Dzenifer Marozsan
7.6
Leonie Meier
6.0
Saskia Bartusiak
5.9
Annike Krahn
5.8
Anja Mittag
4.5
Melanie Behringer
3.8
Nadine Angerer
2.0

 Deutschland—2013 (Revised Page One Rewrite) 

Fatmire Bajramaj
10.0
Melanie Leupholz
9.9
Simone Laudehr
9.3
Nadine Keßler
9.3
Lena Gößling
9.0
Lena Lotzen
8.9
Dzsenifer Marzsan
8.8
Leonie Maier
8.8
Isabelle Linden
8.7
Svenja Huth
8.3
Josephine Henning
8.0
Jenifer Cramer
8.0
Bianca Schmidt
7.8
Celia Oko da Mbabi
7.8
Saskia Bartusiak
6.5
Annike Krahn
5.9
Anja Mittag
5.0
Melanie Behringer
5.0
Nadine Angerer
5.0

Slight demotions for Svenja Huth and Lena Gößling. Perhaps I’m just tired of blondes. Promotion for Melanie Leupholz, another performer who made me eat crow. Upgrades for Dzsenifer Marozsan and the Lahm-like Leonie Maier, both of whom have done well. In Maier’s case it’s pure Id. Anyone who excels at the role of a roving fullback attains my attention. I would find myself captivated by a Llama if it could play like Lahm. 

 “Storia della bellaza – With Umberto Eco Peter Weis” (Part XVIII) 

Above you’ll find numerous references to my peculiar predilection with Women’s noses. Hallbera’s Icelandic “bubble nose” gets me excited for some reason. Veronica Boquete is said to be nearing “Jewess Status”. What’s the deal, Vicey? Is this some sort of sick inculcated Aryan fetish? Far from it, I will now argue. A young German man’s fascination with noses traces back to Steffi Graf.




Yes indeed. This is what we had to watch and fantasize about every weekend when our parents mercifully allowed us to watch a little bit of Eurosport. As counter-intuitive as it may seem, this woman’s huge honking schnauzer went from being a highly noticeable defect to a gleaming object of desire. There wasn’t much else for a lonely, misbegotten, confused boy who remained unsure of what language he was supposed to be speaking to daydream about. I wanted that nose. I had to possess that nose. That was my nose. Even as an adult I can recall wanting to fuck the everlasting hell out of Brooke Shields, not because I found her attractive in any way, but to exact revenge on Andre Agassi for stealing my Steffi.

It’s no small wonder then that when I look at Bianca Schmidt,




That’s MY NOSE GODAMMIT! Whew. Okay. Calm down, Vicey. Let her go. After all, I’ve still got Melanie Leupholz to venerate.





Awesome nose, baby doll. Sorry I doubted you. You’re a wonderfully mousey Jewess if I ever saw one ; ) ; )

Portugal—“The Navigators”

Shirt badge/Association crestOh, they’re good. As dangerous as ever. I believe I already mentioned that Cristiano Ronaldo scored SIXTEEN GOALS in the Champion’s League this season. I should also mention that Hugo Almeida netted a near-career-high fifteen for his Turkish Club, and Helger Postiga managed to hold his own in a broken season split between Valencia and Lazio Roma.

They haven’t lost much other than dead weight. Custodio never had what it took. Neither did Rolando. The “dead weight” comment notwithstanding, I was among many shocked that Ricardo Quaresma was left off the final squad. Eh? The cat scored 10 goals in 24 appearances on his triumphant return to Major European football. Strange stuff. Presumably Paulo Bento thought himself deep enough at striker already…deep enough to forgive the sliding form of Nani and Varela.

Other players on this team are showing signs of cooling too. Veloso, Ricardo Costa, Alves, Moutinho, and Meireles all appear to have lost a tick. I nevertheless label them dangerous, mostly because Pepe and Fabio Coentrao had solid seasons. Pepe in particular should be capable of keeping things tight at the back. In the final analysis it remains Ronaldo that lifts this team up and carries them on his shoulders. I can muse about the importance of defensive discipline all I like. Ronaldo is…..christ…he’s the football Jesus. He can turn New Orleans tap water into wine. I’m scared.

 Projecting the Portuguese Lineup (4-3-3)  

     C. Ronaldo           Nani 
                   H. Postiga
           Raul Meireles J. Moutinho
                   Miguel Veloso     
F. Coentrao B. Alves Pepe J. Periera
                  Rui Patricio

 The Talisman—Cristiano Ronaldo  

THE FOOTBALL JESUS I said. He’ll definitely miss Bale, but watch him walk on water:












"A Syndicate Classic"--Portugal

From EM 2004—“Revenge of the Syndicate”:
EM 2004 
Portugal

Hosts with the most? Undeniably. Luis Figo and Rui Costa return to carve up opposing defenses and define the midfield flow. Cuoto and Rui Jorges are fortress defenders that will form a stronghold not easily toppled. The attack consists of players at the unquestioned peak of their ability: Simao and Nuno Gomez. Should they fail to produce, a wild card sits on Luis Felipe Scolari’s bench: Young prodigy Christiano Ronaldo. Did I mention that former Brazil manager Luis Felipe Scolari? How can one bet against last tournament’s Maestro? He literally speaks their language! Should you wish to elicit my pick to win it all, look no further than the Navigators. They shall rock the coast, all the way from Porto to Faro. The hosts with the most coasts shall roast and boast all over the……fuck. Ever hate it when you come up with one rhyme too few? 

Editor’s retroactive notes:

Despite a breakout performance from Christiano Ronaldo, my pick for the overall winner fell flat for a second consecutive Sportsbook. At least this time we got out of the group stage. J


Ghana—“The Black Stars”

Shirt badge/Association crestThey’ve undergone few changes since we last encountered them in the 2013 African Cup of Nations. Kevin Prince-Boateng returns to reprise his role in central midfield. Andre Ayew is also back to take his spot kept warm by Albert Adomoah. Wakaso Mubark moves to the bench. John Paintsil moves to a nice Jewish retirement community. Perhaps he and Mohammed Idrissou can play some Mahjong. ; )

Asamoah Gyan is currently playing in the U.A.E., but appears to have overcome his fear of penalty kicks. Kwadwo Asamoah just had a kick-ass season for Juventus-Turin, even if he didn’t find the back of the net as often as one might expect. Daniel Opare takes over for Paintsil at right back. He’s a versatile speedster with a brand-spanking new contract for FC Porto. Watch out for him.

The Black Stars appear to have a new keeper. The Fatau Dauda experiment looks to be over. Your friendly bookie hates wasting time on keepers, but Adam Kwarasey has been handed a golden opportunity to bedazzle us all with some adrenaline-based magic.

 Projecting the Ghanaian Lineup (4-3-2-1)  

               Asamoah Gyan
Kwadwo Asamoah     Andre Ayew
           Kevin Prince-Boateng
    Michael Essien  Shelley Muntari
H. Afful J. Boye J. Mensah D. Opare
              Adam Kwarasey 

 The Talisman—Kwadwo Asamoah  

Before getting to the epic history of “The United States vs. Ghana”, I’d like to introduce everyone to Kwadwo Asamoah. He had a great African Cup of Nations and now it looks as if he’ll get a Premiership Contract. His worth has increased every year. Wanna know why? I’ll show you:







 “A Syndicate Classic”—Ghana  

From CAN 2013—“Syndicate: Dark Continent”
CAN 2013 
Settle down, Americans. I know full well of your hatred for Jerry Rawling’s “Black Stars”. Calm and collected now, Yank bettors. I know they eliminated your country in 2006 and then again in 2010. It’s okay, my poor forlorn friends. Everything will be okay.

When one actually invests some time into reflecting on the evolving fortunes of the Gold Coast Republic in international football, it’s truly an awe-inspiring tale. These beasts were always dominant on the African Stage, making it to a record nine-semifinals, winning four titles, while finishing second another four times. (For those not necessarily well versed in some quick tournament arithmetic, that’s four titles + four title game losses + one third place match win = nine semifinals). Sorry. You know us Germans. Always obsessed with the semi-finals.

Irrespective of their success, this continental behemoth first popped up on my radar screen. Here’s what I wrote about them in 2006, accompanied with retroactive notes from 2012:

WM 2006
From “ WM 2006--The Curse of the Syndicate--Into”:

Ghana 

Hey…who are these guys? Why it’s Jerry Rawling’s “Black Stars”, four-time African Cup of Nations Champions qualifying for their FIRST EVER FIFA World Cup. They’re situated in an extremely difficult group, but may turn a few heads with their starpower. They’ve got Chelsea’s Michael Essien, Dortmund’s Matthew Amoah, Rennes’ Johnny Mensah, and Udinese’s Asamoah Gyan, and Copenhagen’s Razak Pimpong! This talented bunch looks to galvanize the African continent by beating the U.S. for a place in the Round of Sixteen. West Africa rises!

Editor’s retroactive notes:

Oh man. This team assumed the mantle of “The Great African Hope”, eliminating the U.S. both this time AND in 2010. Some players I neglected to mention included future Fulham star John Paintsil. Juventus’s own Stephen Appiah, Non-German related Derek Boateng, and soon-to-be Inter specialist Shelley Muntari. These boys gave us quite a show, complete with Israeli Flags, improbable smackdowns, and downright blatant straightforwardly entertaining football. Expect nothing less from one of Africa’s finest democracies. Can’t wait to see my Black Stars back in action!”
 
That year they would boot the Americans out during the Group Stages after a controversial penalty. It was indeed a lousy call. I saw fit to offer over two pages in detailed condolences. That was all well and good. The rage subsided and I was able to write this glowing farewell to Ghana one match later

From “WM 2006 --The Curse of the Syndicate—Quarterfinals”
WM 2006 
Ghana 

Give it up for the “Black Stars”. Africa will rise again in no small part thanks to this team. This 1982 African Cup of Nations Champion is back in a big way, poised to claim some silverware in the coming years. Asamoah Gyan is only twenty. How limitless the world is at that age! Other early Vicenarians include Michael Essien, Stephen Appiah, John Mensah, Habib Mohammed, John Paintsil, Razak Pimpong, and Shelley Muntari. We behold an extremely young team that will return to go even further in subsequent tournaments.

Prospects for peace never appeared better. It was such that I wrote this during the 2009 Qualifying Round.

From “WMQ 2009—“Syndicate with A Vengeance”

WMQ 2009Ghana 

Congratulations to the Gold Coast Republic on what has been a spectacular year! Note to Cote d’Ivoire: Now that you’ve been independent for some years, perhaps you might consider ditching the name of your oppressive colonial exploiters? Aesthetically, it rings somewhat cruel to name a country after an export that has caused so much suffering. Should we also call Congo “Rubberland”, Guinea “The People’s Republic of Bauxite”, and South Africa “The DeBeers Confederation”??

Returning to Ghana, this country has surged up of the Rothberg, Ibrahim, and the HDI Indexes! In addition to progress in alleviating poverty, Ghana has, over the past year, replaced Kenya as Africa’s model for stability and good governance. The new administration acknowledged as much, scheduling Ghana as Obama’s first (and as of yet only) African stop.

So what do we have to look forward to on the pitch? Michael Essien for starters. Haven’t seem nearly enough of him on a packed “Chelski” Squad this season. My boys from da “Dorf” (TSG Hoffenheim) Tagoe and Vorsah should also be available! I’m also looking forward to the first cross directed at striker Junior Agogo. “He’s going for Agogo!”  
I owe the Ghanaians a great debt of gratitude. U.S. Fans might recall the vast sums of money I snatched from your prideful purses after that 2-1 defeat in 2006. Hehehe.
Let’s do it again boys!”

It was meant to be tongue-in-cheek. Tongue-in-cheek for chrissake! No one could have predicted that the Black Stars would once again eliminate Sam’s Army in semi-controversial fashion the next summer. I tried my best to ameliorate the situation. (Non-existent) Lord knows I tried.

From WM 2010—“Attack of the Syndicate”—Day 16 Recap:

WM 2010“Two teams I wish were still around have had their dream terminated. Nothing trite to say today, U.S. fans. You proved yourselves worthy over the last two weeks. I’ll even resolve to watch a minimum of two MLS Games this season. That goes for the nascent K-League as well. We may have a blast poking fun at one another over the last two weeks, but when it comes to the final heartbreak, the fraternal order of football fans must share the tears and always be ready to join in on a kitschy rendition of “You’ll never walk alone.”

To illustrate how tight these matches are at this stage, barely better weather might have helped the Koreans finish better. Likewise, had Bradley opted to start Edu instead of Clark, or even Buddle instead of Findley, we might be looking at a different result. Jozey, Hercules, and Feilhaber also missed chances that strikers will ordinarily have the composure to take. Don’t give up, American and Korean football fans!”

It was to no avail. A scant few days later, the Ghanaians would be eliminated in that ridiculously epic Uruguayan match. Again, to no avail. You may think I led you through this stroll down memory lane in a narcissistic attempt to jerk myself off. You may even be correct to a very minute degree. In sincere truth, I merely wished to emphasize that American football fans bear a deep-seated hatred for Ghana….and it’s not going away. If only the Americans could truly appreciate the power of this team…what the Black Stars have meant to Africa over the past six years. Alas, you crushed their hopes and you really can’t blame them for being bitter.

Very well. Enough about the past.

Very well. Enough about the past. Let’s discuss this latest incarnation of the Black Stars. So many old friends are back for the ride. Former Sunderland star Asamoah Gyan may be playing in the U.A.E, but he’s in the best form of his life and perfectly suited to captain this team. Juventus finally forked over the cash for Kwadwo Asamoah and he’s not spurned the opportunity. John Paintsil returns! I’ll remind you no fewer than one thousand times that he was the brave one who pulled the Israeli flag out of his shorts in order to convey a blatant “fuck you” to Ahmadinejad during the 2006 World Cup Finals. I may not be the most pro-Israeli writer you’ll find on the blogosphere, but I’m definitely pro “fuck you, Ahmadinejad”. Jonathan Mensah returns as well, along with Derek Boateng, Isaac Vorsah and Emmanuel Agyemang-Badu.

Some faces we shall miss include the displaced Sulley Muntari, the retired Richard Kingson, the in-crisis Michael Essien, the retired Eric Addo, the retired Matthew Amoah, the inexplicably omitted Andre Ayew, and the equally inexplicably omitted Agyemang Opoku.

Hopes rest squarely on the shoulders of relative tyros Albert Adomah, Christian Atsu Twasam, Mubarak Wakaso, Mohammed Rabiu, and John Boye. It’s do or die time for midfielder Anthony Annan. Schalke has farmed him out to clubs far and wide. Will he finally be prepared to step up?

Vicey’s Fearless Group Prediction (4 to 1 Odds for bookie)

1) Germany 
2) Portugal 
3) Ghana 
4) USA 

Overall Championship Odds

 Germany (NO BETS)
 Portugal (NO BETS)
 USA (8 to 1)
 Ghana (10 to 1)

Round of 16 Odds

 Germany (NO BETS)
 Portugal (NO BETS)
 USA (Straight up)
 Ghana (Straight Up)

Quarterfinal Odds

 Germany (NO BETS)
 Portugal (NO BETS)
 USA (Straight Up)
 Ghana (Straight Up)

Semifinal Odds

 Germany (NO BETS)
 Portugal (NO BETS)
 USA (3 to 1)
 Ghana (5 to 1)